There were a ton of injuries in the past couple of weeks, and new Daily Fantasy Football options have emerged at cut-rate prices. It’s amazing how one week a guy has absolutely zero exposure, and then the next week that player is all anyone can talk about. Will this week’s flavors-of-the-week live up to their expectations? Or will they lay an egg and kill DFS players?
There are also some juicy matchups for teams that haven’t been having a whole lot of success this season. The Detroit Lions head to New Orleans for Monday Night Football, and while neither team needs to worry about postseason reservations, this game has the potential to be one of the most entertaining of the season. Bad defense tends to put a smile on the face of Fantasy Footballers. Vegas expects the Detroit-New Orleans game to be a shootout, setting the total at 51 points, highest on the big board this week. Sunday’s primetime game between the Arizona Cardinals and Philadelphia Eagles also has a total at 50-51 points depending on the shop, so the sharps are expecting a high-scoring battle, a.k.a. a Fantasy Fiesta.
If you use a mix of players from those potential shootouts, as well as some mid-tier players and low-priced injury replacements, you will easily field a winning lineup in cash games and GPPs.
For more recommendations from me throughout the week, plus tips from other top industry analysts like Drew Dinkmeyer, check out DailyRoto.com for comprehensive free and premium DFS content.
Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit ($6,900 at NO – Mon.): Megatron (ankle) did not practice Thursday, and it is believed that he was having a ‘maintenance day’ to preserve him for gameday. As long as he is active he is going to be busy and productive. The New Orleans pass defense has been putrid, giving up seven more touchdowns than any other team.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina ($7,800 at NYG): If you do not trust Stafford (see below), then Newton is a sound DFS investment, especially since RB Jonathan Stewart (foot) is OUT, leaving Newton to possibly pass (and run) even more than usual. It also helps that the Giants rank last in the league in passing yardage per game, giving up 308.4 yards per game. That’s 29.4 more yards per game than anyone else is allowing.
Lamar Miller, RB, Miami ($6,300 at SD): Miller (ankle) was limited in practice Thursday, so there is a slight bit of concern with Miller’s ankle. He exploded for big yardage and two touchdowns in the first half of Monday’s game against the Giants, but saw only five touches. While everyone in Miami is saying Miller is fine, there is some worry when you see that ‘+’ next to this name. The Bolts rank 27th in the NFL against the rush, allowing 126.5 yards per game with 12 rushing touchdowns. If Miller is active, and there is no reason to believe he will not be at this point, he will have another banner day.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit ($6,100 at NO – Mon.): Stafford is facing a New Orleans Saints pass defense which ranks last in the NFL against opposing quarterbacks. New Orleans is 30th in the NFL, allowing 278.8 yards per game. They’re last in the league in passing touchdowns allowed with 36. The next-worst team has allowed 29 passing touchdowns, so that tells you a little about how bad the Saints have been defensively.
BARGAIN BIN VALUES AND CONTRARIAN PLAYS
Brandon Bolden, RB, New England ($3,200 vs. TEN): Bolden is expected to get first crack at the primary workload in Foxboro with LeGarrette Blount landing on the Reserve/Injured list. The Titans are middle of the road against the rush, allowing 111.5 yards per game with 10 rushing scores. Bolden might not hit the century mark, but he could see 15-20 touches, 70-80 total yards from scrimmage and a score. That’s not a bad haul at this price level.
Eric Ebron, TE, Detroit ($3,000 at NO – Mon.): With Brandon Pettigrew done for the season due to injury, Ebron is likely to see all of the workload he can handle. Against a terrible New Orleans pass defense which has allowed the most Fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Ebron could be a giant Fantasy value at a cut-rate price. The Saints have allowed the most receiving yardage (1,063) to opposing tight ends this season, and they’re one of just three teams (Oakland and Detroit are the others) to give up 10 or more touchdowns to TEs.
Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona ($4,400 at PHI): Floyd has hit the century mark in receiving yardage in four of the past five games, proving that his hamstring injury is in the rear-view mirror. He posted five grabs for 102 yards and a touchdown last Thursday against Minnesota, so he had a couple of extra days to rest his leg. The Eagles allow 258.8 yards per game through the air with 29 passing touchdowns allowed, second-most in the league. At this price level Floyd is a slam-dunk play.
Denard Robinson, RB, Jacksonville ($4,600 vs. ATL): ‘Shoelace’ appears in line to start and be very productive in Week 15. While head coach Gus Bradley is not yet ruling RB T.J. Yeldon (knee) OUT, the rookie missed a second straight practice Thursday and all signs point to Yeldon being inactive. If so, Robinson is an RB2 or ‘flex’ Fantasy option with plenty of upside. The Falcons are middle of the road against the rush, allowing 107.6 yards per game, but they have also yielded 17 rushing touchdowns, second-most in the league. Atlanta has also given up 11 rushes of 20 or more yards.
Richard Rodgers, TE, Green Bay ($4,300 at OAK): Rodgers will be facing a Raiders defense which has allowed an NFL-high 11 touchdown receptions to opposing tight ends. Rodgers had a giant stat line in Week 13, albeit thanks to a miracle finish, and he came back to Earth in Week 14 with just one grab for three yards. Thankfully, that catch was for a touchdown, his second in as many games, and fifth in the past six outings. Against the Raiders it is hard to envision Rodgers not visiting the end zone.
Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams ($4,200 vs. CLE): The Browns are two-touchdown underdogs, and not expected to do a whole lot in Seattle against a team which is playing up to their standards after an uncharacteristic slow start. Seattle has allowed a total of just 13 points in the past two weekends, and it’s hard to believe Johnny Manziel and company reaching double digits.