Fantasy Football Friday The 13th: Here Are 13 Must-Know Items For Week 6
In honor of Friday the 13th, here are 13 things you should know heading into Fantasy Football Week 6!
1. Kevin Hogan only needed 19 pass attempts to finish as a Top-12 QB in Week 5. Hogan went 16-19 with 194 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. He also rushed for 30 yards on four carries. He finished with more fantasy points than Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, and Matthew Stafford last week. What about the Houston Texans matchup this week? J.J Watt and Whitney Mercilus have been placed on Injured Reserve while they’re also dealing with injuries to the secondary. The Texans are allowing the ninth most Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, which includes a three-touchdown performance by Alex Smith and a five-touchdown game from Tom Brady in Week 3. Hogan is a bye-week replacement and my QB15 in the rankings. Oh, and here is Hogan’s target distribution once he entered the game in Week 5:
Ricardo Louis- 5
David Njoku- 3
Kasen Williams- 3
Isaiah Crowell- 2
Seth DeValve- 2
Rashard Higgins- 2
Bryce Treggs- 1
Duke johnson- 1
2. Jacoby Brissett has finished as a Top-12 quarterback in two of his four starts thus far. That means he’s been a QB1 more times than the likes of Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford, Marcus Mariota, and Ben Roethlisberger. This is your Week 6 reminder as to why you don’t draft a QB early. Regardless, Brissett is looking at another Top-12 finish at the position with a matchup against the Tennessee Titans. The Titans have allowed the third most Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, which includes the sixth most rushing yards. That favors Brissett’s style as well since he’s averaging 16.6 rushing yards per game with three total rushing touchdowns on the season. He’s my QB9 heading into Week 6.
3. Marshawn Lynch is inside my Top-12 running backs in non-PPR leagues heading into Week 6. You may be asking, “Frank, do you realize Lynch hasn’t had more than 12 carries in any game since Week 1?” I am well aware. Here’s the situation. The Chargers have allowed at least 119 rushing yards to opposing running backs in every game this season, plus they’ve allowed a touchdown to that position three weeks in a row. This defense is allowing five yards per carry, tied for third-most in the NFL. Even if Lynch only sees 15-18 carries in this game, it’s more than likely he runs for 60-80 yards and gets the end zone. Also, Derek Carr is returning from a back injury, going up against the Chargers, who have 17 sacks, third-most in the NFL. It doesn’t make sense for him to drop back 30-plus times to pass the ball.
4. In Week 5, Jerick McKinnon played 47 snaps (67 percent) vs. Latavius Murray’s 22 snaps (31 percent). As a result, McKinnon also out-touched Murray 22 to 14. He finished with 16 carries for 95 yards with six receptions for 51 yards. Good news! McKinnon faces the Green Bay Packers in Week 6. The Packers have allowed 100 rushing yards to running backs in four straight games. How were the Cowboys effective against the Pack last game? Keeping Aaron Rodgers off the field by running the ball. Even if the Vikings fall behind, that favors McKinnon as well as the pass-catching back. He’s a low-end RB2 in both standard and PPR.
5. The San Francisco 49ers are allowing the third most Fantasy points to running backs in PPR leagues so far this season. This bodes well for both Chris Thompson and Samaje Perine. Thompson has accounted for 17 percent of Washington’s target share while the 49ers have allowed 35 receptions to running backs. While it’s close in the beginning, Thompson will be involved and should have success against this defense. Rob Kelley is doubtful for this game and the last time he was out, Perine saw 19 carries against the Raiders. According to MyBookie.ag, the Washington football team is favored by 11 points, which leads me to believe they will be running the ball a lot in the fourth quarter. That makes it look good for Perine.
6. Stefon Diggs has already been ruled out for Week 6 against the Packers. Adam Thielen has seen 40 targets to this point, 10th most in the NFL. You see what I’m getting at here, right? Thielen should flirt with double-digit targets against a Packers defense that has allowed five touchdowns to wide receivers over their last three games. Reminder: Thielen had 12 receptions for 202 yards and two touchdowns in Week 16 against the Packers last season. He’s a Top-12 wide receiver this week. Make sure you get him in your DFS lineups, too.
7. Ravens defensive tackle Brandon Williams hasn’t played since Week 2. Here are the results of opposing running backs in the three games since:
Leonard Fournette- 59 yards, touchdown
Le’Veon Bell- 144 yards, two touchdowns
Marshawn Lynch, 43 yards, touchdown
Basically, Jordan Howard is going to score a touchdown in his Week 6 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens. He’s my RB7 in non-PPR leagues based on that matchup.
8. JuJu Smith-Schuster has out-snapped Martavis Bryant 170 to 155 over the past three games. On top of that, Smith-Schuster is also tied for the Steelers’ team lead in targets inside the 10-yard line with four targets (tied with Jesse James). Want to guess how many Bryant has in that part of the field? Go… I’m waiting… oh right, it’s zero. Smith-Schuster was a legitimate wide receiver prospect coming out of USC with 25 touchdowns over three college seasons. He may be overtaking Bryant and is worth adding in 12-team leagues.
9. Since Week 2, Tarik Cohen’s offensive snaps have gone from 40 to 28 to 18 to 17. John Fox, you’ve outdone yourself. There is a reason, albeit probably not a good one. Benny Cunningham has played 30 snaps over the past two weeks, stealing work on passing downs. With Mitchell Trubisky in at quarterback, many believe Cunningham is stealing this work because of his pass protection. Despite the amazing start to the season, Cohen is a drop candidate if you’re hurting on the bye weeks or want one of the potential Ezekiel Elliott replacements.
10. The Saints have two of the top six cornerbacks in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus’ position grades. Marvin and TJ Jones could be in for long days going up against Marshon Lattimore and Ken Crawley. Golden Tate should be just fine, though, matched up with Kenny Vaccaro in the slot.
11. The Browns have allowed 100 receiving yards or a touchdown to opposing tight ends in four of five games this season. Ryan Griffin has 15 targets over the last three games and is a great bye-week replacement.
12. The Washington defense has allowed 100 yards or a touchdown to opposing tight ends in every game this season. Next up, George Kittle who just had seven receptions for 83 yards and one touchdown in Week 5.
13. Over the past three games, Tyler Higbee’s targets have gone from three to six to eight. Unlike the other two, Higbee is more of a stash candidate, but has upside from the tight end position. Sean McVay is an offensive mind that used Jordan Reed a bunch while with the Washington Football Team.
As a bonus for reading this, here are my weekly positional rankings for both standard and PPR. Have a question? Feel free to ask away on Twitter @Roto_Frank!
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