The first trade of the 2015 NFL season is in the books. Vernon Davis has been traded to the Denver Broncos for late-round (see: worthless) draft picks. Not only is the arrow and value pointing up for Vernon Davis, the same goes for Garrett Celek in San Francisco.
Vernon Davis isn’t the stud tight end he once was, but he’s looked explosive at times this season. In fact, he looks the best he has since 2013, when he finished with 161.0 Fantasy points (Yahoo!). Davis will now receive passes from the best quarterback he’s ever seen, and while Peyton Manning isn’t what he once was either, he looked pretty darn good on Sunday night and needs a third option behind Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Remember how good Julius Thomas was with Manning? Davis immediately becomes a great red zone threat for Manning and the Broncos.
So how do you rate Davis? Honestly, there is plenty of risk with him, but the upside is still in the TE1 territory if not just for the touchdown potential alone. After all, the 12th best tight end so far is Jason Witten, sandwiched between Charles Clay and Martellus Bennett. Eric Ebron, Ladarius Green and Ben Watson are in the Top 10, and Jacob Tamme and Crockett Gillmore are knocking on the TE1 door. Bleh. Ugh. Pfft! You don’t think Davis can crack that group or do even better? If you need tight end help at all or even need some Flex options during the bye, Davis is a great waiver grab.
As for the 49ers and Celek, he’s hurt by Colin Kaepernick and that offense, but he’s still in line for high single-digit targets each week. That alone carries some upside, albeit much less than Davis. If you miss on Davis and/or have a bye week coming up, Celek is a decent flier to step in; just don’t expect anything more than mid-level TE2 value given his situation. Then again, being a TE2 isn’t any great feat this year.
Stay tuned for more NFL Trade Deadline analysis and the Fantasy impacts.