Fantasy Football Week 10 Rankings By Matchups: Where Is Mark Sanchez?
It figures that of all of last week's matchups, the one I highlight at tight end results in Charles Clay having a huge day. The rest of the column was near aces: Marshawn Lynch, Mark Ingram, Bobby Rainey, Alfred Morris, Jeremy Hill, Jeremy Maclin, Steelers WRs, Travis Kelce… just to name a few. It was your typical 70-80 percent success rate for Fantasy Football rankings by matchups, yet, everyone wants to focus on Clay. Look, the tight end position has been nuts this year, and who knows, my analysis might just be counteracted when it comes to tight ends. It's frustrating, sure, but as I always say, you're not going to find 70-80 percent accuracy in anyone's rankings. So, saddle up for the Week 10 Fantasy Football rankings by matchups.
|Quarterback Points Allowed|
|1||Pittsburgh Steelers||NYJ||21.0||14||Cleveland Browns||CIN||16.6|
|2||Green Bay Packers||CHI||19.6||15||St. Louis Rams||ARI||16.5|
|3||Carolina Panthers||PHI||18.9||16||Baltimore Ravens||TEN||16.4|
|4||Atlanta Falcons||TB||18.8||17||New York Jets||PIT||16.4|
|5||Oakland Raiders||DEN||18.8||18||Jacksonville Jaguars||DAL||16.3|
|6||Arizona Cardinals||STL||18.6||19||Cincinnati Bengals||CLE||16.1|
|7||Philadelphia Eagles||CAR||18.3||20||Denver Broncos||OAK||15.9|
|8||San Francisco 49ers||NO||18.2||21||New York Giants||SEA||15.8|
|9||Seattle Seahawks||NYG||17.7||22||Buffalo Bills||KC||15.5|
|10||Tennessee Titans||BAL||17.7||23||Kansas City Chiefs||BUF||15.1|
|11||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||ATL||17.1||24||New Orleans Saints||SAF||15.0|
|12||Dallas Cowboys||JAX||16.9||25||Detroit Lions||MIA||14.0|
|13||Chicago Bears||GB||16.8||26||Miami Dolphins||DET||13.9|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
Now the Defense Adjusted Fantasy Points (DAFP) has a smaller gap than usual here, but there are additional factors involved. The Giants allow 17.7 DAFP to quarterbacks, while the Titans allow just 16.4. The Giants DAFP went from under 15 to 17.7 in just four games. How? Injuries have decimated the Giants’ secondary. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie has been battling and less than 100 percent (back), Walter Thurmond (pec) is done, Trumaine McBride (thumb) is too, and they just lost Prince Amukamara (bicep) for the season as well.
It’s time to take advantage of the Giants matchup like you did last year. Russell Wilson needs a bounce back game, and this is the perfect storm: at home, Giants reeling, no secondary. Meanwhile, Joe Flacco faces the Titans and they have allowed more than one passing touchdown just twice. That list includes Alex Smith, Tony Romo and Andy Dalton, so it's not all lesser talents. Flacco continues to be inconsistent with nearly as many one-touchdown games (four) as games with two or more (five). There is a good chance those numbers even up this week. By the way, as the title suggest, Sanchez comes into a great matchup with the seventh-easiest opponent.
Other matchup-boosted QBs: Ben Roethlisberger (good grief), Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton, Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer, Mark Sanchez
|Running Back Points Allowed|
|1||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||ATL||26.0||14||Jacksonville Jaguars||DAL||17.4|
|2||Denver Broncos||OAK||23.5||15||Detroit Lions||MIA||17.4|
|3||Philadelphia Eagles||CAR||22.4||16||Green Bay Packers||CHI||17.4|
|4||Cleveland Browns||CIN||21.7||17||Miami Dolphins||DET||16.8|
|5||Seattle Seahawks||NYG||21.5||18||Oakland Raiders||DEN||16.5|
|6||Baltimore Ravens||TEN||21.2||19||Pittsburgh Steelers||NYJ||16.3|
|7||Dallas Cowboys||JAX||20.3||20||Arizona Cardinals||STL||16.2|
|8||Cincinnati Bengals||CLE||20.2||21||New York Giants||SEA||16.1|
|9||Chicago Bears||GB||19.6||22||Buffalo Bills||KC||15.2|
|10||Atlanta Falcons||TB||19.5||23||New Orleans Saints||SAF||15.1|
|11||San Francisco 49ers||NO||19.2||24||Kansas City Chiefs||BUF||15.0|
|12||Carolina Panthers||PHI||18.9||25||Tennessee Titans||BAL||14.4|
|13||New York Jets||PIT||18.3||26||St. Louis Rams||ARI||14.3|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
The Bengals matchup was extremely favorable last week, and that's what made Jeremy Hill an easy fill-in for Gio Bernard. With Bernard still questionable for this week, Hill is a borderline RB1 again, as the Browns’ defense is almost as forgiving as the Jaguars’. It's a short week (Thursday night game) which means the running game is always the better bet and the Browns just had Bobby Rainey put up 12.1 FP on 121 yards and 20 touches (one catch). Hill should easily replicate those numbers, which is why I'd use him over Mark Ingram… and you know I love Ingram.
In the Week 10 rankings by matchups, the 49ers rank fourth with 15.1 DAFP. It's a very tough opponent, and there is a good chance that Khiry Robinson and Pierre Thomas are both back and in the mix. Ingram will still be the lead dog, but going from 25 touches to 15 is a significant loss of value, and that is why Ingram drops into RB2 territory.
Other matchup-boosted RBs: Bobby Rainey and Charles Sims, Ronnie Hillman, LeSean McCoy, Terrance West (Shanahanigans?), Justin Forsett, Marshawn Lynch
|Wide Receiver Points Allowed|
|1||Atlanta Falcons||TB||28.2||14||Chicago Bears||GB||22.3|
|2||Tennessee Titans||BAL||27.4||15||Baltimore Ravens||TEN||22.0|
|3||Carolina Panthers||PHI||25.8||16||Green Bay Packers||CHI||21.9|
|4||St. Louis Rams||ARI||25.6||17||New York Jets||PIT||21.7|
|5||San Francisco 49ers||NO||25.5||18||Oakland Raiders||DEN||21.6|
|6||Arizona Cardinals||STL||24.9||19||Seattle Seahawks||NYG||21.5|
|7||Cincinnati Bengals||CLE||24.5||20||Buffalo Bills||KC||21.1|
|8||Philadelphia Eagles||CAR||24.4||21||Detroit Lions||MIA||19.6|
|9||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||ATL||24.1||22||Jacksonville Jaguars||DAL||19.2|
|10||Pittsburgh Steelers||NYJ||23.4||23||Cleveland Browns||CIN||19.1|
|11||Kansas City Chiefs||BUF||23.2||24||Denver Broncos||OAK||19.1|
|12||Dallas Cowboys||JAX||23.1||25||Miami Dolphins||DET||18.7|
|13||New Orleans Saints||SAF||23.0||26||New York Giants||SEA||18.6|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
The Bucs’ defense is simply giving away Fantasy Points to receivers this year. In fact, 7.1 FP is the lowest they've ever held a team's top receiver, and that was Brandin Cooks in Week 5, when the Bucs still gave up 15.0 FP overall to Saints’ receivers. Roddy White has been mildly disappointing, but he has taken advantage of good matchups: 13.2 FP vs. Saints, 13.3 vs. Vikings, 16.0 vs. Ravens. With a bye week to rest and get ready, White is once again a great WR2 play with potential to hit WR1 numbers. Meanwhile, the Giants are not only flailing defensively, the offense hasn't been the same since the loss of Rashad Jennings… even with Odell Beckham adding to their impressive list of rookie receivers. Last year, Manning had -2.2 FP, zero touchdowns and five interceptions… and that game wasn't in Seattle!
Rueben Randle is still struggling to connect with Manning. Through eight games, Randle has 67 targets (on pace for 134… you know, just double it) but only 38 receptions for a poor 56.7 catch percentage. That’s outside the Top 80 for receivers and alongside guys like Allen Hurns, Andre Holmes and Jason Avant. White is clearly the better play.
Other matchup-boosted WRs: Julio Jones, Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter, Kelvin Benjamin, Kenny Britt, Michael Crabtree and Anquan Boldin, Cardinals WRs
|Tight End Points Allowed|
|1||Green Bay Packers||CHI||12.8||14||Chicago Bears||GB||7.8|
|2||Pittsburgh Steelers||NYJ||11.9||15||Miami Dolphins||DET||7.5|
|3||Jacksonville Jaguars||DAL||11.2||16||Denver Broncos||OAK||7.5|
|4||Seattle Seahawks||NYG||11.2||17||Detroit Lions||MIA||7.2|
|5||Cleveland Browns||CIN||10.6||18||Philadelphia Eagles||CAR||7.1|
|6||New York Giants||SEA||10.5||19||Kansas City Chiefs||BUF||7.0|
|7||New York Jets||PIT||9.7||20||Cincinnati Bengals||CLE||6.8|
|8||Oakland Raiders||DEN||9.6||21||New Orleans Saints||SAF||6.8|
|9||Baltimore Ravens||TEN||9.3||22||Tennessee Titans||BAL||6.7|
|10||Dallas Cowboys||JAX||8.9||23||Arizona Cardinals||STL||6.3|
|11||St. Louis Rams||ARI||8.7||24||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||ATL||6.2|
|12||Buffalo Bills||KC||8.3||25||San Francisco 49ers||NO||5.8|
|13||Atlanta Falcons||TB||8.2||26||Carolina Panthers||PHI||5.6|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
This is the boldest call of the week, and what do you know, it's with tight ends again. Maybe I'm a sucker.
Okay, maybe I'm just guaranteeing a big game for the lesser player after the Clay call last week. But it's not just the head-to-head Week 10 rankings behind the call, so hear me out. If I told you a player was the 29th ranked tight end, who’s averaged just 4.0 targets, 2.4 catches, 23.4 yards and 2.34 FPPG since Week 2, would you start him? Heck, would you even roster him? That player is Vernon Davis. Even in Week 1, with his 16.4 FP, Davis still only had four catches for 44 yards. So, give me a reason to use him. In fact, tell me why I should start him and not Mychal Rivera. Over the last two games, Rivera has 20 targets, 15 receptions, 121 yards, two touchdowns and 24.1 FP. Rivera also faces a Broncos defense ranked eighth with 9.6 DAFP. Meanwhile, Davis draws a Saints team allowing just 5.8 DAFP that hasn't given up a tight end touchdown since Week 1, while holding names like Jason Witten and Greg Olsen to 6.1 and 3.0 FP, respectively. Not so crazy now, is it?
Other matchup-boosted TEs: Heath Miller, Larry Donnell, Jace Amaro, Owen Daniels
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