SportsGrid’s NFL Picks Vs. The ‘Experts,’ Wild Card Round: Pete Prisco Is Bad, And Bill Simmons Is Worse (But Honest)
The SportsGrid staff has completed an entire season of picking (virtually) every single NFL game against the spread.
The motivations behind this were, mainly:
- To have fun.
- To allow you to make fun of us when we did poorly.
- To illustrate the absurdity of the graphic to your left.
I do not know Pete Prisco and don't want to be too harsh, but calling him an expert at picking football games is dishonest and dumb. One year of bad picking is not definitive proof, but given his history, and this year's results, well, I'm confident in saying that it is ridiculous to characterize him as an expert at picking football games.
(He isn't alone, of course; this applies to virtually everyone you see on ESPN or around the Internet. Rule of Thumb: If someone calls him or herself an expert, he/she is probably not an expert. I discussed this in the first installation of this column. The word "expert" is a pervasive parasite in sports media.)
It was also fun to beat Bill Simmons, but he does not call himself an expert and understands that picking NFL games, especially picking every single NFL game against the point spread, is incredibly difficult.
I can keep going .500 or worse, year after year after year, while repeatedly assigning myself Grantland's gambling corner without earning it. And nobody can do anything about it. I wish there were a way to sit in a fancy luxury suite watching my terrible picks unfold as my son-in-law picked his nose and hung on my every word.
Self-awareness is the best. Really. Thanks for not being awful like most pickers, Bill.
Here are all of the contestants' final records. The dollar figure is the amount each person would have lost (or won) if he had bet each game to win $100. Obviously, no sane person would do this, but it's a fun exercise. Also, many insane people probably do this.
1. Matt Rudnitsky, Non-Expert: 137-114 (.546) +$1,160
2. @BorganMurrows, SportsGrid reader: 92-84 (.523) -$40
3. Eric Goldschein, SportsGrid Managing Editor: 116-119 (.494) -$1,490
T-4. Rick Chandler, Came Up With Putting A Cat On A Vacuum Cleaner To Pick Games: 123-127 (.492) -$1,670
T-4: Jake O'Donnell, Claims His Girlfriend Made These Picks: 123-127 (.492) -$1,670
6. A Cat On A Roomba Vacuum Cleaner: 107-127 (.457) -$3,270
7. Pete Prisco, Definitely Not An Expert: 115-136 (.458) -$3,460
LAST PLACE: Bill "A Sports Guy" Simmons: 106-145 (.422) -$5,350
We'll start over for the playoffs. The playoffs are hard. I don't feel strongly about a single bet this weekend.
NFL WILD CARD ROUND ATS PICKS
It is surprising and interesting that we all picked Green Bay. Hopefully, the others will enter picks soon. Happy betting/picking/footballing, everyone.
Notes: Point spreads are taken from 5dimes.eu sometime near the end of the week. They fluctuate, but we have to pick a number and stick with it.
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