Play Trevor Siemian in DFS, Drop Jason Witten
Congratulations on reading a Fantasy Football column in Week 15. You are either in your Fantasy playoffs or just a huge fan of The Playlist and want to start prepping for 2017 and beyond. In these very special Playoff editions of The Playlist, we’ll go through players you need to start, sit, play in DFS and consider in dynasty leagues. Enjoy and good luck!
Go Flex By Post Malone
“Man I just wanna go flex. Gold on my teeth and on my neck. And I'm stone cold with the flex. With my squad and I'm smokin' up a check.”
[caption id="attachment_112206" align="alignright" width="375"] Trevor Siemian has 15 TDs and just four picks in his last nine games. He is a consideration against the Patriots in Week 15. Photo Credit: Marc Piscotty/Icon Sportswire[/caption]
Tyrod Taylor (QB, Bills) - Taylor has a plus matchup against the Browns this weekend, but that is not the only reason to get him into your lineup. He has registered multiple scores seven times and has averaged 36 yards rushing per game thus far. Taylor has a healthier Sammy Watkins and a run game that should be in command all day. That should allow Taylor to run freely and make plays on the run. TyGod is a Top 10 QB for Week 15 and a great bet to return at least triple value on DraftKings once again. On a side note, do the Bills really believe that E.J. Manuel should ever be an NFL starter again? The reports that the coaching staff was not committed to Taylor for the last three weeks of the season is laughable.
Devonta Freeman & Tevin Coleman (RBs, Falcons) - The most enticing matchup of the weekend for running backs belongs to the Falcons dynamic duo. Freeman has a chance to redeem himself after laying an egg in Week 14, while Coleman works his way into RB2 territory. The Niners have been getting mauled against the run, giving up 22 total TDs and over 2,300 yards to backs. Add in the fact that Julio Jones is likely to be out or limited and we could get Top 20 days from both backs.
Alshon Jeffery (WR, Bears) - After being suspended for taking performance enhancing drugs (which he should’ve returned), Jeffery is back with the Bears for possibly just three more games. He should also go instantly back into your Fantasy lineup as a WR2. Matt Barkley, dare I say, has not looked completely terrible filling in for Jay Cutler, who was filling in for Brian Hoyer. Barkley should be able to force feed his number one receiver at least 10-15 targets per game. Jeffery has missed more time than he’s played in the past two years, but he’ll have a chance at redemption in the Fantasy playoffs. It will be very interesting to see where he ends up playing next season.
Eric Ebron (TE, Lions) - Despite not having a receiving TD since Week 1, Ebron is a TE1 option for the Fantasy playoffs. The Giants have given up 60 receptions, 864 yards and three scores to tight ends. Given the current state of the tight end position, if you do not own one of the elite few, you are in a crapshoot. Players like Ebron, Cameron Brate and Ladarius Green are all in play.
You Know I’m No Good by Amy Winehouse
“I cheated myself. Like I knew I would. I told ya I was troubled. You know that I'm no good.”
Dak Prescott (QB, Cowboys) - Do Cowboys fans realize just how lucky they are to have found a franchise QB in the fourth round? Tony Romo-truthers need to relax and appreciate what they have stumbled into. Real life football aside, Prescott cannot be trusted in Fantasy at the moment, despite what appears to be a bounce back matchup. The Bucs have actually been playing well against the pass over the past five weeks, giving up just five TDs and no more than 261 passing yards in a game. If you have an option with a better matchup, play him. If you don’t, do a quick check of the waiver wire before locking him in.
Rashad Jennings (RB, Giants) - Jennings has a plus matchup against the Lions on paper, but can he really be trusted in the Fantasy playoffs? Not for me, especially since he is splitting carries with Paul Perkins, who looks more explosive. I would not want to play Jennings as anything more than a deep league Flex option this week and that is only because of a lucrative matchup. Avoid.
Allen Robinson (WR, Jaguars) - Robinson could’ve had a regular spot here the past month or so. He has had some drops and mental errors, but is also dealing with the poor play of Blake Bortles. Against the Texans’ strong pass defense, Robinson is an easy lineup decision...bench him. He clearly has elite upside, but we have only seen a handful of flashes this year. Next week, he’ll be back as a recommended WR3 thanks to a prime matchup versus the Titans.
Jason Witten (TE, Cowboys) - Just drop him at this point, there have to be better options out there for you. Or there were at one point and you ignored them because you thought Witten would bounce back. It is not happening, outside of maybe one or two random games. It is not happening next year either, so do yourself a favor and put him on your avoid list next summer.
DFS Top 5 Countdown
Make It Rain (Remix) by Fat Joe featuring Lil Wayne, R. Kelly, Birdman, T.I., Rick Ross, Ace Mac & DJ Khaled
“Gotta handful of stacks, better grab an umbrella. I make it rain, I make it rain, make it rain on them.”
- Charles Clay (TE, Bills) - There is a little bit of chasing last week’s stats here and that is why Clay is last on this list. He scored his first TD of 2016 in Week 14 and now gets a matchup against the Browns, who’ve given up the most points to TEs on DraftKings. Clay is basically here thanks to his matchup and dirt cheap salary ($2,800), not his actual upside as a player.
- Trevor Siemian (QB, Broncos) - At $5,200 on DK, there is a lot to like about Siemian this week. If the Patriots are able to score early on the Broncos’ dominant defense, he’ll be forced to throw in a comeback effort. He has 15 TDs and just four INTs in his last nine. He hasn’t had less than 258 passing yards since Week 7 against Houston. Choose one or both of his receivers and you have yourself a nice little tournament stack.
- Tyreek Hill (WR, Chiefs) - TyFreak is one of the most dangerous players in the NFL, that much has been established. Even with Jeremy Maclin back in the mix, Hill is a WR3 option. On DraftKings, he is just $5,700 despite double-digit performances in five straight and seven of his last eight. Of course, there is risk that the big play does not happen, but Hill has a decent floor thanks to involvement in many facets of the offense. The Titans have ceded the most points to Fantasy receivers this year. Play the man.
- Kenneth Farrow (RB, Chargers) - Farrow will get the start this week with Melvin Gordon out, but how much will Ronnie Hillman play? At $4,400 on DraftKings, he’s has obvious upside that should come with a lead back workload. Expect double-digit touches, but he’ll have to look better in pass protection to get near 20. There is too much risk for him to be a definite chalk play, he’ll be in lineups thanks to his salary.
- LeGarrette Blount (RB, Patriots) - How is LeGarrette Blount, owner of 14 rushing TDs this year, only $5,000 on DraftKings? The Broncos have a top tier defense, but their strength is shutting down the passing attack. This seems to be the type of game where Blount could roll up 75-100 yards rushing and a score easily. I’m in.
Next Up and New Releases (Keeper/Dynasty Discussion)
We Are Dreamers by Frida Sundemo
“'Cause you know we are the dreamers. We are Dreamers. 'Cause you know. We are the dreamers. We are Dreamers. And I feel like eeeeh. Yeah, I feel like eeeeh.”
Daniel Brown (TE, Bears) - Digging deep, Daniel Brown has been the pass-catching TE of choice for Matt Barkley with Zach Miller out for the year. He was on the Ravens’ practice squad for parts of the last two years before the Bears snagged him. He was a WR in college and as a member of the Ravens, but he is better suited as a move tight end. In TE-premium and two-TE leagues, he’s definitely one to watch.
Paul Perkins (RB, Giants) - Perkins is splitting touches pretty evenly with Jennings and that makes for a messy Fantasy situation right now. Moving forward, though, Perkins is obviously the player you want in this backfield. He has three down upside, and could be an RB2 next year if the job is his alone. He’s an offseason trade target in dynasty formats.
Blake Bortles (QB, Jaguars) - Where do the Jaguars go from here? Bortles had a monster statistical season a year ago, but the volume was masking development issues. This year has been ugly and while he won’t turn 25 until this offseason, it is time to wonder if he’s finished in Jacksonville. If you own him in a dynasty league, his stock has plummeted. You likely will have to keep him and hope he can get back to at least respectable value. 2017 is going to be a big year for Bortles one way or another.
Donte Moncrief (WR, Colts) - Moncrief was viewed as a major breakout candidate heading into 2016, but a Week 2 injury sidetracked that. He returned at the end of October, but has just 28 catches for 277 yards on the year. On the plus side, he has six TDs in eight games played, including two of those in which he left due to injury. He is now dealing with a hamstring and may not be an asset for the remainder of the playoffs. In dynasty, his low season totals give you a buying opportunity. He’ll be 24 years old next season and could be ready to overtake T.Y. Hilton as the Colts go-to receiver.
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