Sneak Peak 2016 Fantasy Football Bold Predictions
Jake Ciely @allinkid is just one of the many writers involved in the RotoExperts Fantasy Football Draft Kit.
One of his articles just happens to include 32 Bold Predictions (one for every NFL team) that will make you think twice and adjust your Fantasy Football rankings. Here's a sneak peak at about a fifth of them (first six).
This Fantasy Football piece isn't for the weak willed or faint of heart. If you're a smart owner, you know boldness is how you win Fantasy Football leagues. Doing what everyone else does or using the same ol' rankings as the rest just means you have to win by luck. No one wants that. Now, I won't go 32-for-32 in my bold predictions… otherwise, I would be in Vegas and not writing articles like this… but plenty of these will come to fruition and help you win your 2016 Fantasy Football league.
Arizona Cardinals – Michael Floyd finally has his breakout season and is the Cardinals best receiver.
Reason: Since the NFL merger, only 53 receivers at age 33 or older have finished with at least 1,000 receiving yards… or about 1.15 per year. Of those, another 13 would have fallen short of WR2 status last year. Larry Fitzgerald has the ability to be a success story, but the odds are against him, and Floyd is emerging. From Weeks 6-17, Floyd had fewer targets and receptions but more yards and touchdowns than Fitzgerald (745/6 to 725/3). In addition, over the last four weeks, Floyd saw the most targets and led the Cardinals in receiving yards (299) with 104 more than second place David Johnson.
Atlanta Falcons – Devonta Freeman won't finish as a Top 10 running back.
Reason: Before we even get to Freeman, everyone seems to have forgotten that Tevin Coleman was the lead option to start 2016 and rush for 80 yards on 20 carries in Week 1 against the Eagles. Coleman suffered a broken rib in Week 2 and the rest is history. Coach Dan Quinn has praised Coleman, the team spent a third rounder on him and we could see a timeshare this season. That timeshare has much to do with Freeman being a better pass-catcher than lead running back as seen with his declining numbers last year. Freeman averaged 3.14 yards per carry over his final seven games, when we also saw Coleman rush for 158 yards on 35 carries in Weeks 11-12.
Baltimore Ravens – Kenneth Dixon will be the Ravens best running back.
Reason: Justin Forsett's yards per carry dropped from 5.4 to 4.2 last season, and he'll be 31 this year. In the Super Bowl era, only 21 running backs at the age 31 or older have topped 1,000 rushing yards. Forsett has also missed significant time in three of the last four seasons. Dixon averaged 3.6 yards after contact on a team with a poor offensive line. He's more talented than Javorius Allen and the best option for the Ravens.
Buffalo Bills – LeSean McCoy will fail to finish as a RB1 in back-to-back years for the first time in his career.
Reason: I could focus on McCoy's injuries and his missing time in four of his seven seasons, but it's more than that. Look at McCoy's yards after contact by year: 3.0, 2.5, 2.5, 2.4, 2.1, 2.0. McCoy had more than five touchdowns just once in the last four years – his first season under Chip Kelly in Philly. Karlos Williams showed he has RB1 ability if he could stay healthy, and Jonathan Williams is a favorite of the metric community. McCoy already saw more than 20 carries just once last year before adding another injury and the realization that Karlos Williams deserves a share of the work.
Carolina Panthers – Kelvin Benjamin will post double-digit touchdowns.
Reason: I could have said Cam Newton would lead the team in rushing touchdowns… again… but that's too easy. Sure, Benjamin now has to contend with Ted Ginn and Devin Funchess since he last played, but he's the team's best red zone threat by far. Think about this too: Benjamin had nine touchdowns as a rookie, was raw as a player and had Derek Anderson at quarterback for two games with Cam only throwing for 18 touchdowns in 2014. Newton threw nearly twice as many, 35, last year… or more than enough to get Benjamin his 10-plus and share with the rest.
Chicago Bears – Jordan Howard will have better Fantasy numbers than Jeremy Langford.
Reason: Mike Clay is hell bent on making sure everyone knows how poor Langford performed last year. After all, Langford averaged just 3.6 yards per carry and 1.8 after contact. Howard is significantly better between the tackles, as he should be at 6'0", 230 pounds. Howard fits the Bears offensive scheme and uses his blockers well. Ka'Deem Carey is still in the mix, but the Bears will turn to Howard in the red zone (or should) given his ability and Langford's lack thereof.
Cincinnati Bengals – Giovani Bernard will...
To see the rest of Jake's Fantasy Football Bold Predictions plus rankings, customized projections, sleepers, busts and everything else you need, jump over to RotoExperts.com and check out the Draft Kit!
Image via Getty
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