Time To Move On From Your Bust RB
First, stop wasting time with a bust RB.
In the modern era of running back-by-committees and high-powered passing offenses, more and more RBs are becoming Fantasy busts. Many times, an owner will invest an early round pick on a RB that simply doesn’t live up to expectations. Many Fantasy seasons are ruined when a patient owner keeps plugging the same disappointment into their starting lineups on a weekly basis. A great example was Trent Richardson last season.
One key to Fantasy success is knowing when to cut your losses. It’s time to move on if your third-round pick hasn’t started to contribute yet. You can survive drafting a bust RB but you cannot survive when you continue to start him throughout the duration of the season.
Entering last season, Richardson was considered an elite RB, but he failed to crack 100 yards rushing in any particular game at this point (through six weeks). Since he was often a first-round pick, most owners stuck with him. How did he reward patient owners during the final 10 games of the season? Well, he never cracked 100 yards rushing and didn’t run for another TD until Week 17 (when most leagues are over). If you were too patient with Richardson, the result was a lost season. I was one of those owners who were too patient.
[caption id="attachment_82546" align="alignright" width="300"] C.J. Spiller has been to inconsistent to start in Fantasy anymore. Photo Credit: Jarred B[/caption]
C.J. Spiller has been extremely underwhelming. He played on 12 of the Bills’ 69 offensive snaps last week and received only six carries. Perhaps the Bills aren’t using him right, maybe it’s not his fault, and yes, I am aware he was great in college. It’s time to move on. You don’t have to outright drop Spiller, but he’s not worthy of a starting RB spot for a competitive Fantasy team.
Everybody on Twitter asks about benching Eddie Lacy. He’s been a disappointing, T-Rich-like bust in his sophomore campaign. However, you better have elite alternatives to plug in if you want to bench a healthy Lacy. He should continue to get 15 touches per game and just scored two TDs in Week 5. Unlike Spiller, there is still a significant opportunity for Lacy to come around. Owners will have to evaluate their individual situations if he continues to disappoint, but I’m more confident in Lacy today than I was Richardson a year ago.
Adrian Peterson is still owned in 66 percent of CBS leagues. His next court date isn’t until Dec. 1, which happens to be Week 14. Even if a best-case-scenario occurs and AP is cleared to return to the NFL, he’ll only be helping Fantasy teams that actually make the playoffs. Plus, the 2-4 Vikings will probably be eliminated by then and the public relations nightmare AP’s reinstatement would cause simply isn’t worth the headache. Peterson probably has a better chance of serving jail time than helping Fantasy owners this season. Move on…
Players that are busts due to injury are actually better than players that just simply don’t perform. You’re probably not doing very well if you’ve been starting Spiller on a weekly basis. At least you are able to plug in a replacement if your RB2 suffers an injury. What kills Fantasy owners is relying on the injured guy to come back at 100 percent. Have you read about Montee Ball’s injury? It seems quite painful.
A ton of Fantasy owners are stashing Ryan Mathews and hoping he’ll contribute once he returns from a knee injury. I’m sorry to deliver bad news if Mathews was supposed to be your RB2, but Branden Oliver is a more talented player. Toby Gerhart owners are in the same situation, as there is a legitimate chance that Toby will get Wally Pipped by Storm Johnson. Move on...
- Jared Cook has been targeted 21 times in the past two weeks and he’s been targeted at least eight times in all but one of the Rams’ games. Cook has only managed 23 receptions without a TD on 42 targets this season, but those numbers should eventually adjust. The targets will remain high, as Austin Davis clearly feels comfortable looking for his big tight end. Don’t be surprised if Cook explodes for something like six catches, 100 yards and a TD in the very near future.
- Shane Vereen is emerging as one of the most annoying players to own in Fantasy football. After a disappointing Week 6, in which he only saw six touches for seven yards, many owners benched him entering Week 7. All Vereen did was go off for 114 total yards and two TDs against the Jets while sitting on a ton of Fantasy benches.
- Roddy White told reporters he's gotten off to a "really slow start," and that he's "got to turn my game around." Ummm, hello, Roddy… you were awful last season, too! The 32-year-old WR has only 19 catches for 253 yards this season after a disappointing 63 receptions for 711 yards in 2013. It appears White’s decline is in full effect.
- I loved Cordarelle Patterson entering the season and really thought Norv Turner would make him this year’s version of Josh Gordon. I guess you can’t win ‘em all. Between using his hip injury as an excuse and a clear inability to get open, Patterson is clearly in head coach Mike Zimmer’s doghouse. He shouldn’t be relied on for Fantasy purposes unless something changes.
- Le’Veon Bell will probably be suspended for the first few games of next season. He waived his right to a preliminary hearing on marijuana possession and driving under the influence charges and hopes to enter a first-offender's program, his attorney told the Associated Press. So, remember he’ll probably serve a suspension if you play in a Keeper league.
- Joseph Randle might be considered a fool after his recent shoplifting arrest. However, he’s a fool that you’ll want to own if DeMarco Murray gets injured. Randle is arguably the most valuable handcuff in the league right now.
- Jonas Gray isn’t worth adding in standard leagues. The Patriots are simply too annoying when it comes to touch distribution. Gray isn’t worth the headache.
- Last week’s win over the Seahawks was the second straight game in which the Cowboys allowed fewer than 300 yards. It was also the third straight game in which they allowed fewer than 24 points. So why is the Cowboys defense still available in so many leagues?
- Is it fair to question whether Calvin Johnson has a low pain threshold compared to other professional athletes? It seems like any injury completely derails Megatron.
- I told you not to drop Tom Brady.
Questions? Hit me on Twitter @briansflood
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