Updated Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings | Sleepers | DFS Picks
As we near the Fantasy Football playoffs, some of you will enjoy watching others struggle while you're on a bye, some will celebrate squeezing into the playoffs thanks to good fortune and others will experience the agony of wondering what to do now that your team is finished.
Let's make sure that you're not one of those in the final group. Even if you are, the good news is we have Daily Fantasy Football these days, so while your season long team might be finished, your weekly enjoyment of playing Fantasy Football doesn't have to be.
Oh… and one quick note before we get rolling this week. Remember, the first section is for sleepers.
These aren't guaranteed, must-start players. Sterling Shepard last week? Yea, I know he goose-egged us. Heck, Shepard was in many of my lineups, but I didn't start him over Michael Thomas or other high-end receivers. Sleepers carry risk with their potential reward. I could give you my "must-start" picks of each week, but that's 1) boring since the names would always be obvious and 2) if you had to be told to start those players, your team would have likely been out of the playoff hunt a few weeks ago.
As a reminder, if you missed this week's Waiver Wire and Quarterback Streamers piece, click over to find help at every position, including quarterback streamers.
Week 13 QB Sleepers
Matthew Stafford, DET – While we're focusing on sleepers here, I'm not about to recommend that you start Jared Goff to make your playoffs. Matt Barkley? Well, maaaybe, and you can see I rank him higher than the average, but I seriously hope you have better options than Barkley. One may be Stafford, and owners may be reluctant to use him with his run over the last five games. While Stafford hasn't topped 18 points since Week 6, a matchup with the Saints can fix that. Not only is the Saints defense highly exploitable, the offense runs the second most plays per game, which in turn allows opponents to run the ninth most plays per game when in New Orleans. You know the Lions are going to pass plenty, especially when they need to keep up with Drew Brees at home. Stafford is a Top 10 quarterback this week.
Week 13 RB Sleepers
Jordan Howard, CHI – Howard isn't a true "sleeper" because it would be hard to find many teams not starting him, but I wanted to point him out for his upside and just in case some owners have the depth. (Oh, and to make up for Howard, I'll be including four receiver sleepers instead of three this week.) Since returning to lead duties in Chicago, Howard has 528 yards and a touchdown in four games. His lowest total was 99 against a Giants defense that has been one of the best over the last month. In addition, the 49ers are on tap in Week 13, no team is worse against the run, and they also allow the highest number of opponent plays per game at 70.4! Even if Barkley doesn't do as well as last week, Howard will get his and is a Top 10 option. If you look at the rankings, I'd even start him over options such as Jay Ajayi and Matt Forte.
Wendell Smallwood, PHI – Smallwood's first go as the team's lead running back wasn't anything special. That's the life of being a running back under Doug Pederson though, as his running back use never makes much sense.
But the situation is better this time. While the Packers are one of the toughest teams against the run, the Bengals are much more forgiving with the fifth most rushing yards allowed. Smallwood has flex value in this matchup.
Kenneth Dixon, BAL – If you watched the last few games for the Ravens, you can see that Dixon is a superior running back to Terrence West. While their numbers were similar last week, Dixon finally out-snapped West, which points to a turn in Dixon's favor. Shared backfields are always risky, but Dixon has the higher ceiling, and if he starts seeing 60 percent or more of the work, Dixon could be a playoff winner. For now, he's a high-end RB3 with a ceiling near the Top 15.
Week 13 WR Sleepers
Quincy Enunwa, NYJ – In the Jets last five games, Enunwa has double-digit points in three of them with one of those down games coming without Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. The Colts pass defense hasn't stopped much this year, and over the last four weeks, they've allowed more FPPG to receivers than anyone else (35.4). In addition, all three of Enunwa's high scoring games came with touchdowns, and the Colts have allowed a league-high seven receiver touchdowns the last four weeks… and that includes a bye for the Colts.
Marquess Wilson, CHI – It's a one-game sample, and I won't guarantee a repeat yet, but Wilson looks to be Barkley's top option. Wilson saw a team high 11 targets against the Titans, catching eight for 125 yards and a touchdown. Three other receivers had nine targets, but none caught more than five thanks to drops and less chemistry with Wilson. The 49ers allow more FPPG to receivers than any other team with a league leading 20 touchdowns. Wilson looks to be a nice fill-in for Rishard Matthews or Terrelle Pryor owners.
Will Fuller, HOU – It's been awhile…
since Fuller had one of his big games, but this week sets Fuller up for his best game since Week 4. Fuller is near 100 percent again and now faces the Packers. They have allowed the eighth most receptions of 20-plus yards (40) and sixth most of 40-plus (nine). If Brock Osweiler can manage to toss just 7-8 targets Fuller's way, we'll be looking at a big game.
Pierre Garcon, WSH – By no means is Garcon a guarantee, but if we're predicting matchups this week, DeSean Jackson should see a lot of Patrick Peterson with Tyrann Mathieu back in the slot and covering Jamison Crowder. That should free up Garcon, and even if Peterson covers him at times, Peterson is dealing with a knee injury. If Kirk Cousins is going to throw for big yards again, Garcon could easily benefit in this matchup. Scratch Garcon and get Crowder in every lineup! Matthieu is out, which gives a big boost to Crowder.
Week 13 TE Sleepers
Jermaine Gresham, ARI – The Cardinals receiver situation has been a mess this year. Who's the No. 2 for the team? Turns out it's their running back, David Johnson. Okay, then who is the No. 3? Over the last two weeks, it might just be Jermaine Gresham. In fact, Gresham has 23 targets, 14 receptions and 32, 37, 33 and 35 yards over the last four games. The last two weeks include a touchdown in each, good for 9.3 and 9.5 points in standard and 11.3 and 14.5 in PPR. Obviously, Gresham is touchdown reliant, but John Brown looks doubtful this week and the Redskins are allowing the second most FPPG to tight ends over the last four weeks. But one more time… this is a sleeeeeperrrr!
Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings | Week 13 Flex Rankings
Week 13 Blind Spot Players
In case you're new to this, the Fantasy Blind Spot refers to players that you want to target in tournaments, such as the Millionaire Maker, etc… contrarian players if you will. They usually have one of the following characteristics:
1) have been performing well but haven't had a breakout game or big enough numbers to get Fantasy players talking, and/or
2) are in a price range of other more popular option, and/or
3) have frustrated with disappointing performances but have a great matchup to finally break through
DraftKings Week 13 Sleepers
Ben Roethlisberger $7400 – It's Big Ben at home. That's the majority of the argument here, as many will see the numbers for the Giants defense (and Roethlisberger's recent road struggles) and become wary. However, Roethlisberger's home/road splits make Drew Brees look like the epitome of consistent. Roethlisberger is averaging 34.9 FP, 337 yards, 8.8 yards per attempt and 3.8 touchdowns (60 TD pace) at home this year versus 17.8/233/6.8/1.3 (21) on the road. And it's not just this year. Over the last three years, his numbers are 30.8/346/9.0/2.9 (47) at home and 17.7/272/7.5/1.1 (18) on the road. Whoa, buddy.
Matt Forte $5900 – Forte is coming off a down game, but it was against the Patriots, and this week's matchup is more favorable and points to better usage for Forte. The Colts have the third highest FPAD for running backs, allowing over 1,500 total yards and 12 touchdowns to running backs this year. In Forte's five games with 20-plus touches, he's averaging 23.9 FPPG.
Carlos Hyde $5300 – Over the last two games since Hyde returned from injury and got back to 100 percent health, he has 14.0 and 20.5 points with 22 and 18 touches. The 49ers are using Hyde as their workhorse, and there are very few backfields where you can find a true workhorse running back at this point of the season. The Bears were decent against the run before allowing big games and a rushing touchdown in each of their last three matchups. Hyde is primed to make it four straight.
Michael Thomas $6900 – Why would I suggest the higher-priced Saints receiver in a great matchup and with Brandin Cooks having some of the best big-play ability? Well, because everyone is going to be on Cooks. "He's going to go off after being shut out last week; plus, Cooks complained about his usage." Yes, Cooks is likely primed for a big game, but so is Thomas, as it's Drew Brees at home. The fact that Cooks is cheaper and grabbing the attention of smart DFS players means the smarter ones (like us) should pivot to Thomas… who is quite terrific in his own right.
Julian Edelman $6800 – The focus in New England is on Malcolm Mitchell, especially with Edelman having only two touchdowns on the year. Even so, Edelman still has at least 13.7 points in each of the last five games and narrowly missed the 100-yard bonus against the Seahawks. Rob Gronkowski is out, and the Rams have given up five receiver touchdowns over the last two games with two coming from the Dolphins (before you brush it off to facing the Saints last week).
Jermaine Gresham $2500 – This is a pure punt and chase of a touchdown, but if Gresham can make it three straight games of decent production, he'll hit 4x or 5x value. Gresham has 11.3 and 14.5 over the past two games with touchdowns in each, and the Redskins pass defense is weak and has struggled against several tight ends. Just make sure you use the savings to grab some heavy hitters and don't get too cute after already using a flier like this.
FanDuel Week 13 Sleepers
Russell Wilson $7700 – The Panthers pass defense has been brutal this year, an even with a modest improvement in the second half, they still gave up 296/1 to the rams, 285/2 to the Saints at home and 315/2 to the Raiders. Wilson is back at home and coming off a huge stinker last week. Unlike Cooks at receiver, quarterback ownership being more flat will lead to less people rostering Wilson for a "bounceback" game, but you should. Wilson put up 26.3, 29.5 and 25.3 points before last week and is a great spot to reach that level again in this matchup.
Spencer Ware $7400 – No running back has a better matchup in FPAD, and the Falcons allow the third most FPPG to running backs. They have six games where they allowed 25-plus points, and Ware is still seeing the lion's share of the backfield work. People have cooled on using Ware, as he is a risk for a mediocre outing. However, Ware also has a high ceiling, as we saw earlier this year, and with a heavy workload and cake matchup, Ware could be a low-owned difference maker.
Jeremy Hill $5800 – You'll want to make sure Hill is getting in full practices, but the backfield is all his at this point. Until he left with an injury, Rex Burkhead rarely saw work, and the best part is that Hill caught all six targets for 61 yards. With workloads of 20-plus touches coming for Hill and use in the passing game, Hill has the upside to hit 3x or 4x value if he can find the end zone too.
Doug Baldwin $6900 – After last week's stinker, many will be off the Seahawks, but as you can see with the quarterback pick, I'm "all in" with the Seahawks and doubling down.
Baldwin mainly works out of the slot, which means a good dose of Leonard Johnson, who rates quite poorly at defending receivers. In the two games prior to the Bucs letdown, Baldwin had 26.9 and 17.0 points on FanDuel, one game coming with 104 yards and the other with three touchdowns. That shows what we all know; Baldwin can get it done many ways and he will against the Panthers.
Marvin Jones $5600 – No one wants anything to do with Jones at this point, and as a reminder, these are contrarian plays. There is plenty of risk here. However, Jones saw 11 targets last week as the Lions look to work Jones back into the mix. Jones also has the best corner matchup with Delvin Breaux struggling this year and has 11 red zone targets on the year. Obviously, we're hoping for a touchdown here, but the matchup potential gives Jones a good opportunity for one. And scratch Jones. Practice reports did not sound good Friday. I'd pivot to his teammate and go with Anquan Boldin for touchdown upside.
Eric Ebron $5700 – Speaking of opportunities for big days, you have to like Ebron, even after posting a goose egg last week. Ebron had 11.4, 12.7 and 14.6 in the three games prior, and that's without even scoring a touchdown. This game has the highest over/under by far at 53.5, which points to both teams scoring plenty and giving their players the opportunity for big FanDuel scores.
Photo Credit: Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire
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