Week 13 Rankings by Matchups: Muck ‘Em
It's Thanksgiving Week, but it's hard to be thankful for many of us… isn't it? Every year, the majority doesn't make the Fantasy playoffs - hey, it's the odds - and we lament the busts or angering outcomes that knocked us out. How about watching Jimmy Graham score a garbage touchdown last week to cause your team lose by 0.6 after scoring 164 points! Yep, that happened to me. I threw a remote, knocked over a couch, punched the wall and dropkicked a puppy.
I'm sure you all have your stories, and frankly, I'm tired of the "no one wants to hear about your team" talk. We all want to vent, so let us. In fact, here I am. Vent to me. Leave it in the comments below, or tweet me - whatever you please. I understand. I've been (am) there. It's also why I brought back my Muck Pile.
What players royally screwed up your season? Muck 'em! I'm not talking about one bad week either. Who did you draft early and then rarely use or even cut? Muck 'em. Who did you spend a high waiver spot or big FAAB money on and watch, as they never had another start-worthy performance? Muck 'em. Who disappointed but then bounced back only to let you down when you trusted them again? Muck 'em. Who frustrated you so much that not only will you not start them again, but now you will never draft them again? Muck 'em!
For what's it's worth, here are the recent additions to my Muck Pile: Jay Cutler, Andre Johnson, Kendall Wright and any receiver or tight end with Robert Griffin at QB.
They join the likes of Colin Kaepernick, Cam Newton, Montee Ball, Jonathan Stewart (to be fair, Panthers RBs are the Muck Pile founders), C.J. Spiller, Doug Martin (started the year here), Toby Gerhart, Keenan Allen, Michael Floyd, Marques Colston and Jordan Cameron.
So, forget "thanks" this week. We have enough of it. Give me your grief! Share your stories of misery and tell me your mucked players! After all, what is the Internet if not a place to spew hatred?
Before we move on, a bit of hope for everyone. Jump in the DFS pool. This column is supremely helpful in finding the best value-based matchups. Just read through and bookmark these Week 13 rankings by matchups and more often than not, you'll cash out.
Oh, and as a reminder, here is the link to the DAFP with Fantasy Playoff matchups!
|Quarterback Points Allowed|
|1||Miami Dolphins||NYJ||20.0||17||Philadelphia Eagles||DAL||16.3|
|2||Indianapolis Colts||WSH||19.5||18||Tennessee Titans||HOU||16.3|
|3||Detroit Lions||CHI||19.4||19||New England Patriots||GB||16.2|
|4||Dallas Cowboys||PHI||19.0||20||Green Bay Packers||NE||16.1|
|5||Minnesota Vikings||CAR||18.2||21||Baltimore Ravens||SAD||15.9|
|6||Kansas City Chiefs||DEN||18.1||22||Carolina Panthers||MIN||15.6|
|7||Jacksonville Jaguars||NYG||18.1||23||Denver Broncos||KC||15.5|
|8||Pittsburgh Steelers||NO||17.6||24||Houston Texans||TEN||15.3|
|9||San Diego Chargers||BAL||17.6||25||Atlanta Falcons||ARI||15.3|
|10||Oakland Raiders||STL||17.3||26||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||CIN||15.2|
|11||Cincinnati Bengals||TB||17.0||27||Buffalo Bills||CLE||14.8|
|12||New York Giants||JAX||16.9||28||New York Jets||MIA||14.8|
|13||St. Louis Rams||OAK||16.9||29||Cleveland Browns||BUF||14.6|
|14||Arizona Cardinals||ATL||16.6||30||Chicago Bears||DET||14.2|
|15||New Orleans Saints||PIT||16.4||31||San Francisco 49ers||SEA||14.2|
|16||Washington Redskins||IND||16.3||32||Seattle Seahawks||SAF||13.9|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
Who is the eighth-best Fantasy quarterback this season, and who is also the seventh-best in Fantasy Points Per Game (FPPG) since Week 6? I'll give you a minute… Ryan Tannehill. Jon Gruden "loves this guy" and so should you. Not only is Tannehill a bona fide QB1, thanks to his 20 touchdowns and 276 rushing yards, but he faces the Jets, which happen to be the best in the Week 13 rankings. The Jets have allowed every quarterback to hit the double-digits while allowing two or more touchdown passes in all but one game. Ben Roethlisberger only had one, but he still threw for 343 yards. That's why Tannehill is a great play yet again, and he's the preferred option over Russell Wilson. The rushing yards have buoyed Wilson's value, and he's actually the fifth-best QB through Week 12. However, the 49ers allow just 13.9 DAFP and 73 quarterback rushing yards all year. The 49ers have also held their last four opponents (Rams, Saints, Giants, Redskins) to 7.25 quarterback FPPG. Wilson only had 33 rushing yards, 357 passing and two touchdowns in two games against the 49ers last year.
Other matchup-boosted QBs: Andrew Luck, Matthew Stafford, Tony Romo, Teddy Bridgewater, Alex Smith, Ben Roethlisberger
|Running Back Points Allowed|
|1||Houston Texans||TEN||23.1||17||New England Patriots||GB||18.1|
|2||Arizona Cardinals||ATL||23.1||18||New York Jets||MIA||18.0|
|3||Jacksonville Jaguars||NYG||22.6||19||Baltimore Ravens||SAD||17.8|
|4||St. Louis Rams||OAK||22.3||20||New Orleans Saints||PIT||17.4|
|5||Carolina Panthers||MIN||21.4||21||San Francisco 49ers||SEA||17.0|
|6||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||CIN||21.3||22||Detroit Lions||CHI||16.8|
|7||Washington Redskins||IND||21.0||23||Denver Broncos||KC||16.5|
|8||Pittsburgh Steelers||NO||21.0||24||Chicago Bears||DET||16.5|
|9||New York Giants||JAX||21.0||25||Miami Dolphins||NYJ||16.3|
|10||Minnesota Vikings||CAR||20.9||26||Oakland Raiders||STL||16.2|
|11||Cincinnati Bengals||TB||19.9||27||Kansas City Chiefs||DEN||16.0|
|12||Tennessee Titans||HOU||19.3||28||Seattle Seahawks||SAF||15.3|
|13||Green Bay Packers||NE||19.3||29||Cleveland Browns||BUF||15.2|
|14||Dallas Cowboys||PHI||19.2||30||Indianapolis Colts||WSH||14.9|
|15||Buffalo Bills||CLE||18.8||31||Atlanta Falcons||ARI||14.5|
|16||Philadelphia Eagles||DAL||18.1||32||San Diego Chargers||BAL||14.4|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
Owners might be a bit frustrated with Jerick McKinnon and his struggles of late.
McKinnon was a hot pickup after Week 4 and brought good PPR value. Over the past three games though, McKinnon has just 6.3 FPPG standard and 9.6 in PPR leagues. The good news is that McKinnon is still getting his work (37 carries and 14 targets in those games) and faces a Panthers defense that's weak against the run… well, everywhere really. The Panthers have allowed the seventh-most receptions to running backs (62), which gives McKinnon plenty of potential, even if Matt Asiata steals all of the touchdowns again. Conversely, Ryan Mathews has it bad… real bad. As seen on Monday night, the Ravens' defense is near impossible to run against, averaging just 14.4 DAFP (Week 13 rankings top defense) and only allowing three rushing touchdowns on the year. Mathews had been good since returning, but the defenses faced don't measure up to the Ravens. Go with McKinnon over Mathews if given the choice.
Other matchup-boosted RBs: Arian Foster, Andre Ellington, Denard Robinson, Tre Mason, Panthers, Bucs (ha, on those last two), Alfred Morris, Le'Veon Bell, Rashad Jennings
|Wide Receiver Points Allowed|
|1||San Diego Chargers||BAL||26.9||17||Atlanta Falcons||ARI||22.2|
|2||Dallas Cowboys||PHI||26.9||18||Carolina Panthers||MIN||22.1|
|3||Tennessee Titans||HOU||26.9||19||Cleveland Browns||BUF||22.0|
|4||Oakland Raiders||STL||25.6||20||New Orleans Saints||PIT||21.9|
|5||Arizona Cardinals||ATL||25.3||21||Seattle Seahawks||SAF||21.8|
|6||Pittsburgh Steelers||NO||25.2||22||Jacksonville Jaguars||NYG||21.7|
|7||Minnesota Vikings||CAR||25.1||23||New York Jets||MIA||21.6|
|8||Cincinnati Bengals||TB||24.9||24||Houston Texans||TEN||21.5|
|9||Indianapolis Colts||WSH||23.9||25||Denver Broncos||KC||20.7|
|10||New York Giants||JAX||23.8||26||Washington Redskins||IND||20.4|
|11||New England Patriots||GB||23.5||27||St. Louis Rams||OAK||20.3|
|12||Miami Dolphins||NYJ||23.5||28||Philadelphia Eagles||DAL||20.3|
|13||Detroit Lions||CHI||23.2||29||Chicago Bears||DET||19.6|
|14||Buffalo Bills||CLE||22.7||30||Green Bay Packers||NE||19.5|
|15||Baltimore Ravens||SAD||22.3||31||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||CIN||18.5|
|16||Kansas City Chiefs||DEN||22.2||32||San Francisco 49ers||SEA||18.0|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
Unlike his teammate, Keenan Allen is actually a great play given the matchup. The Ravens have the highest DAFP versus receivers, and Allen has picked things up of late. Over his last four games, Allen ranks as the 30th best receiver in both total points and PPG. No, that's not near-WR1 levels as owners wanted, but it's start-worthy in all leagues. The Ravens have allowed a league high 2,250 receiving yards already, giving Allen - and teammate Malcom Floyd - plenty of potential, even if they don't find the end zone. It's why I'm using Allen over either receiver from the Redskins, although to be fair, you weren't considering Pierre Garcon anyway. Since Robert Griffin's return, DeSean Jackson has put up 18.0 (nice!) 3.7 and 3.9 Fantasy Points… err, not so nice. The worst part is while some might argue the tough matchups last week against the 49ers, RGIII limited DJax against the Bucs the week before - a team with a 24.9 DAFP. The sad truth is that as long as RGIII is at quarterback, the Redskins receivers are in trouble. To be fair, even if they make a switch to Colt McCoy this week, the Colts matchup is tough enough to still be wary.
Update: Colt McCoy is starting. As noted, I'd still chose Allen over DJax given the matchups, although it's a closer race now.
Other matchup-boosted WRs: Cowboys, Titans, someone for Oakland?, John Brown, Steelers, Charles Johnson alert, Bengals, Colts, Giants
|Tight End Points Allowed|
|1||Detroit Lions||CHI||11.4||17||Seattle Seahawks||SAF||7.6|
|2||Miami Dolphins||NYJ||11.0||18||Denver Broncos||KC||7.5|
|3||Philadelphia Eagles||DAL||10.6||19||New England Patriots||GB||7.4|
|4||Washington Redskins||IND||9.8||20||San Diego Chargers||BAL||7.3|
|5||Jacksonville Jaguars||NYG||9.7||21||Cincinnati Bengals||TB||7.1|
|6||Atlanta Falcons||ARI||9.4||22||Minnesota Vikings||CAR||6.9|
|7||New Orleans Saints||PIT||9.3||23||Dallas Cowboys||PHI||6.8|
|8||Houston Texans||TEN||9.0||24||Carolina Panthers||MIN||6.5|
|9||Green Bay Packers||NE||8.8||25||Buffalo Bills||CLE||6.4|
|10||San Francisco 49ers||SEA||8.8||26||Oakland Raiders||STL||6.4|
|11||Kansas City Chiefs||DEN||8.7||27||Arizona Cardinals||ATL||6.3|
|12||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||CIN||8.6||28||Tennessee Titans||HOU||6.3|
|13||New York Giants||JAX||8.5||29||Cleveland Browns||BUF||6.2|
|14||Indianapolis Colts||WSH||8.5||30||New York Jets||MIA||5.9|
|15||St. Louis Rams||OAK||8.4||31||Pittsburgh Steelers||NO||5.8|
|16||Chicago Bears||DET||8.2||32||Baltimore Ravens||SAD||5.6|
HOLD ‘EM OR FOLD ‘EM
Week to week, the tight ends finishing as a TE1 include several with miniscule yardage and a touchdown. It's turned into the Touchdown End position. Look at just last week. Anthony Fasano, Scott Chandler, Cooper Helfet, James Casey, Adrien Robinson and Richard Rodgers were all TE1s thanks to touchdowns. Robinson and Rodgers had ONE YARD receiving while none of the others topped 30. It's enough to make you go mad.
So where do we look this week? How about the Jets? After all, the Jets have allowed the most tight end touchdowns (12), which is why they have an 11.0 DAFP, second only to the Bears in the Week 13 rankings. Meanwhile, recent hot name, Mychal Rivera, faces a Rams defense that has a 6.4 DAFP, has only allowed two tight end touchdowns and the seventh lowest FPPG allowed at 5.7. If you don't have a tight end stud, just go for the touchdowns.
Other matchup-boosted TEs: Zach Ertz or Brent Celek, Jordan Reed (risky), Jimmy Graham, Garrett Graham, Travis Kelce
Notes: Click here for a full list of FPPG allowed by site. Also, DAFP include various defense adjusted metrics in addition to FPPG.
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