Updated Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings | Sleepers | NFL DFS Picks
This is your fault.
If you're playing in Week 17 and looking for sleepers… heck, just warm bodies… to fill your lineup, you have no one to blame but yourself. The only lineups you should be concerned about in Week 17 are NFL DFS lineups. Otherwise, you can look at the rankings and see how difficult the task at hand can be. Predicting usage and game flow/game scripts is part of the weekly process, and it's quite difficult. Now, we are forced to predict those two aspects in games where usage could mean a full game, three quarters, a certain number of snaps, etc. No.thank.you. In fact, I blame all of you for making me work as hard as normal this week. I could have taken things a bit easier, but nooooo, we have people playing in Week 17. Thanks numbskulls!
As a reminder, if you missed this week's Top 10 Waiver Wire Pickups of 2016 with a few Week 17 options piece, click on over.
Week 17 QB Sleepers
Sam Bradford, MIN – Bradford put together the best game of his season last week, and since Pat Shurmur took over, Bradford is averaging 41.6 attempts. That's up from his 34.6 mark prior to Shurmur as head coach, and Bradford's completion percentage has gone from 69.8 to 73.6. You can attribute part of that to Adam Thielen's emergence (more on him in a moment) but Bradford is clearly performing better under Shurmur, and the Bears give him a nice matchup to close out the season. The Bears have allowed nine quarterbacks to reach 20-plus Fantasy points with only Colin Kaepernick and Matthew Stafford (first meeting) failing to reach 14.
Week 17 RB Sleepers
DeAngelo Williams, PIT – Remember what Williams did last year in place of Le'Veon Bell? Or, how about what he did in the first two games this year? Williams has proven time and again that he carries Top 5 running back value when starting for the Steelers, and there is a good chance that he sees the majority of the work in Week 17. After all, with Bell having the most touches since activated, why wouldn't the Steelers wrap him in bubble wrap, box him up in foam peanuts and put him on the shelf until the Wild Card game?
Williams update: Reports suggest Williams could be limited with Fitzgerald Toussiant seeing decent work. Toussaint would be a good sleeper as well – not as good as Derrick Henry or Kenneth Dixon though.
Alex Collins, SEA – There is a decent chance that Thomas Rawls could miss Week 17. That's quite unfortunate from a Fantasy perspective because the 49ers are on tap. No team allows more FPPG to running backs than the 49ers do, and it's not even close. They allow 28.0 FPPG with 2,239 yards and 23 touchdowns rushing allowed. Second place is 23.69, 1,911 and 18 (mix of Browns and Bills). If Collins gets around 20 carries, he's a near lock for a touchdown and one of the better plays in Week 17.
Collins update: Now, it sounds as if Rawls WILL play in Week 17. Ugh. See? THIS is why you don't mess around with Week 17. Chris Ivory is another good sleeper running back if available.
Alfred Blue, HOU – With the Texans locked into their playoff spot, there is no reason to play their starters the full game let alone Lamar Miller, who already sat out last week. That puts Blue in line for another start, and Chris Ivory just totaled 114 yards and a touchdown against the Titans last week. Speaking of last week, Blue had 90 yards and a score of his own against the Bengals. It's all about guaranteed opportunities in Week 17.
Week 17 WR Sleepers
Adam Thielen, MIN – Having Thielen as a sleeper this week won't be as rewarding or exciting as it was last week, but you need to stay on the bandwagon to finish out the season. Thielen has not only been the Vikings best receiver since Week 11, he's the seventh highest scoring receiver in Fantasy during that time. Even on a FPPG basis, Thielen is still ninth overall. Counting on Bradford for a championship is tough to swallow, but counting on his top receiver is an easy choice.
Eli Rogers, PIT – Back to the Steelers for another sleeper pick, although there are a few others out there, which you can see in the ranks compared to the ECR. That said, Rogers is one of my favorites, as there is a high likelihood that Rogers play the majority – if not all – of the game. Rogers has 13.5 and 9.0 points in the last two games and is back to being the team's No. 2 receiver. In addition, Rogers should see a good amount of Tramon Williams in coverage, which is a highly favorable matchup.
Jamison Crowder, WSH – Crowder not only fell apart late in the season, he has just 4.4 Fantasy points in the last three games including 0.4 and 0.3 the last two weeks. If Crowder helped you make the playoffs, he easily could have lost them for you. The good news is that the Giants are strong against outside receivers and weak over the middle, and Crowder had 78 yards and a touchdown in the first matchup. I wouldn't want to start Crowder for a Fantasy title, but you're the one playing in Week 17 and forcing a decision like this. So you and Crowder belong together for having done messed up the end of your season.
Week 17 TE Sleepers
Charles Clay, BUF – Do you know which tight ends have more Fantasy points than Clay does over the last three weeks? No one. Not a single player. In fact, Clay has 8.7 more points than second place Travis Kelce. Clay apparently woke from his deep slumber to help Fantasy owners to a championship, either already or for those going for it this week. This is the best matchup for Clay yet, as the Jets are giving up 16.2 FPPG to tight ends over the last four weeks with seven touchdowns allowed.
Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings | Week 17 Flex Rankings
Week 17 Blind Spot Players
In case you're new to this, the Fantasy Blind Spot refers to players that you want to target in tournaments, such as the Millionaire Maker, etc… contrarian players if you will. They usually have one of the following characteristics:
1) have been performing well but haven't had a breakout game or big enough numbers to get Fantasy players talking, and/or
2) are in a price range of other more popular option, and/or
3) have frustrated with disappointing performances but have a great matchup to finally break through
DraftKings Week 17 Sleepers
Carson Palmer $5700 – The last three quarterbacks that faced the Rams put up three touchdowns a piece (Colin Kaepernick had one rushing). The average score for those quarterbacks (Matt Ryan and Russell Wilson the other two) was 23.3. Palmer has a handful of 20-plus point games this year with seven games of three or four touchdowns. There are some strong plays at quarterback this week, which should keep Palmer's ownership quite low, low, low, low...
Ty Montgomery $5700 – Seasonal and DFS owners were disappointed last week, but don't write off Montgomery just yet. The Packers and Lions need a win to guarantee a playoff spot, and Randall Cobb sounds doubtful for the Packers. Ezekiel Elliott tore apart the Lions defense with limited touches, and while Montgomery is no Zeke, he is still blowing away the competition in yards after contact at 5.4. The next closest player is Jalen Richard and Jay Ajayi at 3.7 and 3.5. Montgomery is also just one game removed from that 33.3-point effort in Chicago.
Robert Kelley $4400 – The Redskins win and they’re in. The Giants can't change their playoff position, and while the Giants starters will… start… it would be a surprise to see them into the fourth quarter or even deep into the third. That goes double for the defense, which is struggling with a few injuries of late. Enter Kelley, who is averaging 4.3 yards per carry outside of that letdown against the Panthers. Don’t forget the touchdown upside Kelley carries with six touchdowns in eight games, including the three-score games against the Packers.
Michael Thomas $6700 – Thomas' last four games include two decent performances, a missed game and a quiet showing, but it was the game against the Rams in Week 12 when he had 9/108/2 for 34.8 points. With Trumaine Johnson mainly outside, the Rams just have no one that can defend Thomas, and the Rams have allowed the third most receiver touchdowns (six) over the last four games. Thomas should have another big day with at least one touchdown.
Eli Rogers $4000 – While the Steelers are resting all of their starters, that actually means just Ben Roethlisberger, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown. Rogers should be on the field for most of the game, and it's the Browns. They have allowed 18 receiver touchdowns this year, good for fifth most. The expected volume for Rogers make him a near must-own at this price, even with Landry Jones at quarterback.
Zach Ertz $4800 – Only the Redskins have allowed more receptions to tight ends than the Cowboys have (102 and 100, respectively). The Cowboys are also one of three teams with more than 1,000 yards given up to tight ends. With the role that Kelce has been on, he'll have a high ownership, especially at just $200 more. However, the Chargers have allowed just four tight end touchdowns all year with no tight end having more than 87 yards in a game. Ertz can rack up the receptions and yards in no time against a weakened Cowboys defense (resting some players) similar to his 10/112 game against the Redskins a few weeks back.
FanDuel Week 17 Sleepers
Russell Wilson $7600 – The Seahawks still have a potential bye worth fighting for in Week 17. The best part about the Seahawks playing to win is that they're facing the 49ers. It doesn't get any easier than that. Earlier this year, Wilson and Trevone Boykin (yes, Boykin) combined for 308 yards and two touchdowns. The 49ers have given up multiple quarterback touchdowns five of their last nine games, but check out the ones who they stopped: Carson Palmer (still had 376 yards), Matt Barkley, Bryce Petty and Jared Goff. Yea, using the word "stopped" is a bit aggressive.
Devonta Freeman $8000 – The Falcons are playing in the afternoon games at the same time as the Seahawks and need to win in order to clinch the second bye. As with the Seahawks, the good news is that the matchup is terrific. In the first matchup, the Saints sold out to stop Julio Jones, and while that worked, it let Freeman and Tevin Coleman score 29.2 and 28.4 Fantasy points! The Saints have also given up double-digit scores to Kerwynn Williams and Jacquizz Rodgers the last two weeks, making Freeman's high price more than worth it.
Fitzgerald Toussaint $4500 – With DeAngelo Williams' usage in question, Toussiant could end up leading the Steelers backfield to close out the season. Obviously, Toussaint is a pure tournament play, but the upside is here. After all, Toussaint is facing the Browns, a team that's given up 12 double-digit scores to running backs, including seven of 20-plus points.
Steve Smith $5800 – Smith announced his retirement on Wednesday and… hold on… sniff… I need a minute…
Okay, I'm good, I think… And while it's sad to see him go, you can count on Smith and the Ravens doing everything they can to make sure Smith goes out with a bang. Smith should see a dozen targets or more, and in the two games where he had 11, Smith finished with 87 yards and 111 yards and a touchdown. The retirement news makes him less of a "blind spot" player now, but I had to include him to say farewell and that he'll be my highest owned player.
Golden Tate $5700 – I am surprised by this price, as Tate has at least 8.7 points in each of the last five games with two nice games of 24.5 and 16.2. The Lions are fighting for their playoff lives, and they're facing the Packers. Not only do the Packers have one of the most forgiving pass defenses (most FPPG allowed by nearly two points), they are a high-scoring team, which forces opponents to be more aggressive. Remember that huge game by Marvin Jones earlier this year (before he went into hiding)? Well, it came against the Packers, and Tate is back to being the lead option in Detroit.
Richard Rodgers $4600 – On the other side of the ball, Rodgers is a pure touchdown play. Heck, I am not even sure I would dig this deep, but the Lions have given up 10 tight end touchdowns this year, and with Randall Cobb banged up and possibly out again, Rodgers could see a few more targets and score for the second week in a row.
Main Image Credit: John Sommers/Icon Sportswire
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