Week 9 Lineup Rankings: Making You Smarter
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WEEK 9 LINEUP RANKINGS
- Peyton Manning Think his weekly numbers are good? Since the beginning of last year, when the future Hall of Fame has had more than seven days to prepare (includes Week 1, as he has extra time to game plan), he has six-game totals of 2,142 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and … zero interceptions.
- Andrew Luck: Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady have combined for four games with at least 370 passing yards since the beginning of last season. Luck has four such road games this season.
- Colin Kaepernick: He has thrown for fewer than 255 yards in nine of his last 10 home starts.
- Drew Brees: In 2012, he threw twice as many interceptions as touchdowns when playing on short rest. However, he reversed the trend last season, tossing eight touchdowns without an interception. The yardage totals have been there in both seasons, as he has averaged 304 passing yards in those five contests.
- Philip Rivers: The Chargers enter this game as favorites and if you buy what Vegas is selling, a big day is in store. In five of the Chargers last six victories following a loss, Rivers has thrown at least three touchdown passes.
- Carson Palmer: Opponents are throwing the ball 33 times per game against the Cowboys this season. In six of his last seven games with at least 33 attempts, Palmer has tallied 300 yards and multiple touchdowns.
- Russell Wilson: The greatest home field advantage in sports? Not thus far in 2014 for Wilson owners. He is averaging 34.6 percent more Fantasy points per opportunity (pass attempts or rushing attempts) on the road than at home this season.
- Tom Brady: This will be his third straight home game. Since 2007, his Fantasy production has increased when progressing through a stretch of home games in all but one case (he set the bar high with 37.7 points last week).
- Ben Roethlisberger: Only twice in his career has he produced a better Fantasy day when facing the Ravens at home than on the road (he didn’t set the bar very high with a 217-yard, zero touchdown, one interception game in Baltimore during a Week 2 loss).
- Nick Foles: He ranks second in the league in pass attempts per game (42.7) and Houston opponents averaged 40 attempts for 315 yards in October.
- Cam Newton: He has totaled 955 yards and five touchdowns in games that the Panthers score at least 20 points. He has totaled 902 yards and three touchdowns in games that the Panthers fail to score at least 20 points. Carolina has scored 20-plus points in three of their seven games and the Saints have only held one opponent under 20.
- Andy Dalton: Subtract the Week 7 shutout at the hands of the Colts and he is completing 69.3 percent of his passes this season, not a bad trend against a Jags defense that has allowed quarterbacks to complete 68 percent of their passes in the last three road games.
- Eli Manning: Over the last seven-plus seasons, he has thrown for multiple touchdowns with no interceptions in back-to-back regular season games just once when at least one of the games was played at home (three scoring tosses and no interceptions in Week 7 against the Cowboys).
- Ryan Tannehill: He has rushed for at least 45 rushing yards in three straight, something Robert Griffin has never done in the NFL.
- Ryan Fitzpatrick: He has yet to throw for multiple touchdowns at home this season, not a good trend when you consider that the Eagles are allowing opposing quarterbacks to throw for 240 yards per game on the road (against a trio of quarterbacks who are better than Fitzpatrick: Luck, Kaepernick, and Palmer).
- Tony Romo: The Cowboys are averaging 31 points per game following a loss over the last season-plus.
- Joe Flacco: Seven straight games with 22 or fewer completions. His 19.7 completions per game over that stretch rank behind the “game-managing” Alex Smith of 2013.
- Brian Hoyer: Sneakily averaging 13.7 yards per completion, 13.2 percent more than yardage leader Andrew Luck.
- Teddy Bridgewater: His completion percentage has declined in every one of his four professional starts.
- Alex Smith: He has thrown for six touchdowns in his last two games against the AFC East and three in his last six games against the rest of the league.
- Washington QB: The Vikings gave up 42 points to the Packers in a Week 5 debacle but have allowed just 47 points in the three games since.
- Mike Glennon: He hasn’t been great, but he has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns just once since his first NFL start last season.
- Blake Bortles: He threw more touchdowns to the Dolphins than the Jaguars last week. That being said, his Top 2 QBR games have come on the road against defenses that are giving up less passing yardage per game than the Bengals.
- Austin Davis: In Weeks 3-6, he averaged 322 yards. In Weeks 7-8, he has totaled 314 yards.
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WEEK 9 LINEUP RANKINGS
- Arian Foster: He was a Top 3 running back in 2012 when his best touchdown streak included eight trips in six games: he has scored eight times in his last four games.
- Demaryius Thomas: Including playoffs but not transitioning from season-to-season, he has followed his last nine 100 yard performances with either another 100 yarder or a touchdown.
- Le’Veon Bell: He is averaging 5.9 yards per touch at home this season and the opponent have rushed the ball at least 30 times in three of four road games this season against the Ravens, scoring six times in those three games.
- DeMarco Murray: For just the second time this season, Murray failed to get into the endzone. On the positive side, he totaled 146 yards and a touchdown against an elite NFC West run defense in the game following the other instance.
- Antonio Brown: 12 straight, and 17 of his last 18, games with double digit targets or a touchdown.
[caption id="attachment_83465" align="alignright" width="300"] Marshawn Lynch wants YOU to trust him this week. Photo: Dave Sizer[/caption]
Marshawn Lynch: Since 2012, the Seahawks have lost six games (including both Weeks 6 and 7) when scoring at least 20 points. In the next home game following those losses, Lynch has averaged 23.3 touches for 140.3 yards and two touchdowns (26.3 Standard Fantasy points).
- Jeremy Maclin: Double-digit targets AND a touchdown in the majority of games this season.
- Jamaal Charles: The Jets have faced an unprecedented number of reserve running backs this season, but are oddly enough finding more success against teams with their starter intact. They’ve played four teams with their season opening RB active and have held them to a mere 3.26 yards per carry (34.3 rush yards per game).
- T.Y. Hilton: Think the Giants come up short in this one? The secondary has coughed up at least four pass plays of 20-plus yards in three of their four losses … good news when you consider 24.5 percent of Hilton’s receptions this year have resulted in at least a 20 yards gain (up from 15.9 percent last season).
- LeSean McCoy: Even with J.J. Watt, the Texans’ defensive line ranks 27th in ability to stuff the run. Shady has at least 21 rush attempts and multiple catches in three straight games.
- Andre Ellington: The versatile second year back has been more of a receiver (34.4 PPR Fantasy points) over his last two road games than a viable running back (18 Fantasy points and just 3.0 yards per carry). Ellington is explosive and the Cardinals look to get him the ball in space, not a bad trend against a Cowboys’ defense that isn’t getting beat over the top very often (26th in the league in 20-plus pass yard pass plays allowed).
- Justin Forsett: He has four more carries in his last three games than he did in his first five. He was less involved against the Steelers when these divisional rivals first met in Week 2, yet he managed 72 yards on 12 touches.
- Dez Bryant: A touchdown or double digit targets in seven straight and 13 of his last 14 games.
- Kelvin Benjamin: Four touchdowns in five games not played against the NFC North.
- Ahmad Bradshaw: Looking to double down on the Giants losing (Hilton stat)? In their four losses this season, New York has allowed an average of 120 rushing touchdowns while surrendering six touchdowns via the handoff.
- Jerick McKinnon: He is averaging 6.1 yards per carry in games in which he has carried at least 15 times. With him accounting for 98.8 percent of rushing yards gained by Minnesota running backs last week against the Buccaneers, it stands to reason that 15 attempts is a given for the foreseeable future.
- Steve Smith Sr.: The Steelers have allowed the top deep threat total at least 100 receiving yards and a 30 yard reception in three straight games.
- Alfred Morris: 100 rushing yards or a touchdown in four of his last five games with less than seven days between games.
- DeAndre Hopkins: The big-play upside is unquestioned (20-plus yard reception in the majority of his career games) but the consistency (at least five receptions in five of his last six) is a value-booster.
- Lamar Miller: Very quietly averaging 17.1 PPR points over his last five games.
- Marques Colston: Multiple touchdowns in two of his last three games against the Panthers.
- Frank Gore: The veteran has totaled at least 100 total yards in each of the last four seasons the week following a bye. He has faced the Rams in two of those instances, totaling 269 yards and two scores in the process.
- A.J. Green: At least 16.1 PPR points in each of his last eight games (minimum one target).
- Mike Wallace: The Chargers are allowing opponents to complete 62.5 percent of their passes this season, a number that has been on the rise over the last two weeks (69.8 completion percentage). Wallace has scored in all five games this year and eight of the last nine when Ryan Tannehill completes at least 56 percent of his passes.
- Mark Ingram: He is averaging 6.6 yards per carry in the three games in which he has touched the ball at least 14 times and has seen his snap percentage increase each week this season. He played 55 snaps against the Packers after playing a total of 66 snaps in his first three games of 2014.
- Larry Fitzgerald: He owns the lowest aDOT (average depth of target) on the Cardinals (minimum 25 percent of snaps played). The Cowboys have allowed the opponents lowest aDOT receiver to catch just six passes for 30 yards over the last three weeks.
- Giovani Bernard: Subtract an 89-yard carry and he is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. But wait, he catches passes, right? He’s hauled in four passes for one yard over the last two weeks and the Jags have allowed starting running backs to catch just five passes for 26 yards over their last three games.
- Ronnie Hillman: He is working on a streak of three straight games with at least 100 total yards and three receptions, something neither DeMarco Murray nor Arian Foster haven’t done that this season.
- Doug Baldwin: Since the trade of Percy Harvin, Baldwin has 13 receptions. Jermaine Kearse, the next most involved receiver, has eight targets.
- Emmanuel Sanders: He has caught a pass on 19 percent of routes run over the last two weeks.
- Allen Robinson: He has accounted for 26 percent of the targets and receptions since Blake Bortles took over under center in Jacksonville.
- Andre Johnson: He has caught at least six passes in nine of his last 11 home games. He also has a reception of at least 20 yards in nine of those 11 home games since the beginning of last year.
- Vincent Jackson: His catch percentage (40 percent) is well on pace to decline for the fourth consecutive season.
- DeSean Jackson: He has caught a total of just seven passes in his last three games on short rest. That being said, he’s made the catches count as he is working on a career-high four consecutive games with a 35-plus yard reception.
- Denard Robinson: The Panthers, Ravens, and Colts have run all over the Bengals in the past three weeks; though, none rode an above average running back. Robinson has averaged a shade under six yards per touch over the last two weeks against similar or better rush defenses without much help from the passing game.
- Keenan Allen: It took Allen seven games before reaching paydirt this season. It took him three games to do so last year, but once he broke the seal, he tallied eight scores in 11 games.
- Shane Vereen: The Broncos have allowed 16 catches on 21 targets to the three running backs that are viewed as legitimate threats as receivers. They’ve accounted for 209 receiving yards and just 83 rushing yards in those games.
- Rueben Randle: Five straight games with at least nine targets, something that Julio Jones (second most targets this season) has not done.
- Jeremy Hill: His snap percentage has increased in three straight weeks and the Jaguars have allowed the second most runs of at least 20 yards this season.
- Pierre Garcon: Catching 76.3 percent of passes thrown his way on the road this season and 52.6 percent at home.
- Eric Decker: He may be underwhelming Fantasy owners this season, but his 31 catches for 363 yards and three touchdowns give him eight more PPR points than the Jets next two leading WR’s this season.
- Andre Williams: The Giants have run the ball 69 times for 280 yards and three touchdowns over the last two seasons in the game immediately following their bye.
- Terrance Williams: Only the Aaron Rodgers to Randall Cobb tandem has connected on more passes this season with a higher wide receiver (quarterback rating on passes thrown in that specific receiver’s direction) rating than Tony Romo to Williams.
- Ben Tate: Fantasy owners have been satisfied with his three touchdowns in his last three games, but he is averaging just 2.5 yards per carry over that stretch. In fact, his yards per carry rate have declined with each passing week this season. The Buccaneers defense isn’t very good, but they do rank at the league average in yards per carry against.
- Chris Ivory: He has scored a rushing touchdown in seven of the last eight games in which he carried the rock at least 13 times.
- Julian Edelman: Over his last six games, Edelman doesn’t have a single catch over 20 yards and has seen his target count increase from the week prior just once.
- Michael Floyd: He has more games with two or fewer catches than he does at least five catches over the last calendar year.
- Michael Crabtree: Is averaging nearly 17 yards per catch for his career against the Rams and has found the endzone seven times in their last eight meetings.
- Cordarrelle Patterson: Disappointing or ahead of pace? He had 16 catches for 146 yards and zero touchdowns through eight games last year (25-299-1 this year).
- Jonathan Stewart: He has been responsible for 80.6 percent of running back carries over the last two weeks and we like running backs on Thursday night. DeAngelo Williams is expected to return, and possibly start, but chasing a touchdown here isn't an awful play given that the Panthers will need to hold the ball in order to be competitive.
- Dwayne Bowe: Has not scored a touchdown in 14 of his last 17 games.
- Anquan Boldin: His target count has increased in four straight weeks and he has a reception of at least 18 yards in every one of those games.
- Darren McFadden: In the Seahawks three wins where the quarterback was more of a threat to throw than run, they’ve allowed the opponents top running back to total just 101 rushing yards on 39 carries (2.59 yards per carry).
- Percy Harvin: His seven offensive touch debut with the Jets matched his highest touch count since Week 1 this season.
- Martavis Bryant: Markus Wheaton’s snap percentage dropped from 93.6 percent in Week 6, to 46.3 percent in Bryant’s first game, and to 40.5 percent last week. Only Malcolm Floyd has a higher aDOT and multiple touchdowns this season.
- Brandan LaFell: He has been targeted 22 times over the last three weeks, the exact same number as Julian Edelman, and he has caught 19 (14 for Edelman).
- Torrey Smith: He has caught just 41.4 percent of the passes thrown his way for an average 34.3 yards per game over his last nine road divisional matchups.
- Odell Beckham Jr.: The Giants leader in aDOT gets a nice matchup with a Colts’ defense that allowed three different receivers haul in a pass of at least 45 yards.
- Wes Welker: On the bright side, he has caught every pass thrown his way over the last three weeks. Less positive is the fact that he’s been targeted just six times in those games (10 targets per game over his previous five seasons).
- Malcolm Floyd: His 21.2 aDOT is tops amongst receivers with at least 10 catches this season, a skill set that is not advantageous against a Miami defense that is allowing the fewest yards per pass attempt through eight weeks.
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WEEK 9 LINEUP RANKINGS
- Rob Gronkowski: Since emerging in 2011, he has followed up a game in which he scored with a touchdown in 17 of 24 instances.
- Julius Thomas: Has gone one entire season (16 games) without being targeted at least 10 times in a game. He has also recorded 51 or fewer receiving yards in 15 of his last 20.
- Jimmy Graham: After playing a total of 48 snaps in his previous two games, he played 43 snaps against the Packers last week (a number that would have been higher had it been a competitive game).
- Greg Olsen: He has caught at least five passes and scored in the game following each of his last three games with four or fewer receptions.
- Antonio Gates: He has done many things in what is sure to be a hall of fame career, but October 2014 is the only month in which he scored six times.
- Zach Ertz: Set a season-high in receptions (5) and routes run (38) last week against the Cardinals.
- Vernon Davis: Being asked to block on 45.1 percent of his offensive snaps this season.
- Travis Kelce: Ranks 45th among tight ends in aDOT but has managed a 15-plus yard reception in six of seven games this season.
- Jason Witten: The season numbers aren’t very good, but he has tallied at least 9.9 PPR points four of his last five.
- Dwayne Allen: The Giants rank above average in stopping tight ends (even higher if you don’t include Galvin Escobar’s outlier two-touchdown performance in Week 7) and have given up an average of 13.5 points following their bye week over the last four seasons.
- Larry Donnell: He has caught 21 of the last 23 passes thrown in his direction.
- Charles Clay: Five straight games with five or fewer targets after having just three such games all of last season.
- Niles Paul: His ability to pass block is putting him on the field more often than Jordan Reed (40 snaps to 28 last week). He’s running fewer routes, but the best way to produce is to be on the field and Paul seems to have the inside track as Washington is going to look to protect its quarterback.
- Heath Miller: Eight targets against the Colts after being looked at just eight times in the three games prior. His two big games have now come in a loss to Tampa Bay and a win over Indianapolis, not sure he is as critical to Pittsburgh’s success as he used to be.
- Jared Cook: Has scored just one road touchdown since joining the Rams a season ago.
- Austin Seferian-Jenkins: He is being targeted once every 12.8 snaps played this season.
WEEK 9 LINEUP RANKINGS
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