Wild Card Weekend: Giants vs. Vikings Matchups & Keys to the Game
The Minnesota Vikings went 13-4 to win the NFC North for the first time in five seasons, but despite their record and status as a division champ, there’s little faith in them from the betting market. At +1200 to win the NFC, they sit behind a team with a losing record and a Wild Card squad.
The 9-7-1 New York Giants are right behind the Vikes (+2400) to win the conference as they’re back in the postseason for the first time since 2016. While Minnesota (-3 point differential) is perceived as lucky, first-year headman Brian Daboll gets most of the credit for New York’s success.
Despite four more wins and home-field advantage, the Vikings are a three-point favorite. They are 6-5 ATS as a favorite this season, while the Giants are an NFL-best 6-1 ATS on the road. New York has covered four straight, but this matchup could favor Minnesota as they’re 4-1 ATS versus bottom ten passing offenses (the Giants are ranked 26th in passing offense).
Darius Slayton has averaged 5.7 yards after the catch this season, tied for eighth-best of qualified wide receivers. The Vikings have allowed 5.5 yards after the catch this season, the fifth-worst in NFL.
The Giants have scored on 46.1% of their drives in the second half, the best in NFL. The Vikings’ defense has allowed scores on 39.4% of opponent drives in the second half this season, the fifth-worst.
Matchups in Minnesota Vikings Favor:
The Vikings are 7-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season, the best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average time of possession of 32:38 this season, the highest in the NFL.
K.J. Osborn has averaged 6.5 yards after the catch since Week 11, tied for third-best of qualified wide receivers. The Giants have allowed 4.8 yards after the catch per reception to WRs since Week 11, tied for the fourth-worst in NFL.
Vikings vs. Giants Keys to the Game:
The Giants are undefeated (8-0-1) when allowing less than 22 points this season, tied for the eighth-best in NFL.
The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when leading at the end of the first half this season, tied for the eighth-best in NFL.
The Giants are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than three sacks this season, tied for the ninth-best in NFL.
The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when within seven points entering the fourth quarter this season, the best in NFL.
When K.J. Osborn has more receptions than his average (three receptions), his team is 12-8 (.600) since the 2020 season, tied for the 14th-best of 58 qualified NFL WRs.
The Vikings are undefeated (12-0) when favorites this season, the best in NFL.
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