Quick Thoughts around a variety of situations that developed in Week 3 and Thursday Night in Week 4
We are all witnesses. NIKE needs to switch this LeBron James advertising campaign over immediately to Larry Donnell. The Giants TE put on a show Thursday night by converting eight targets into seven catches and three touchdowns. Your eyes do not deceive you here; Donnell is a top 10 TE the rest of the way. As he showed in Week 4, he even has the potential to finish in the top five. Sell high if you want to, but I think this kid is legit.
Alshon Jeffery received more targets than Brandon Marshall for the first time this season in Week 3. The ball was thrown Jeffery’s way 13 times to Marshall’s six. Since their Denver days, Jay Cutler has always had an affinity for Marshall. In every season they have played together for at least a stretch, Marshall has tallied at least 164 targets. The year Cutler left Denver, 2009, Marshall’s targets fell to 154 (down from 181 the season prior). However, the Bears receiver situation should remain fluid for the rest of the season. Marshall’s 26 targets through three games put him on pace for approximately 128 targets. Something has got to give here. Either Jeffery’s talent level will even the playing field and make them a crap shoot week-to-week, or Marshall will return to dominance as he gets healthier. Both have been hobbled this far, but it will be interesting to see how this situation plays out. I still prefer Marshall to Jeffery for the season, but by the slimmest of margins.
Tampa Bay’s offense ran much smoother after Josh McCown went down with a thumb injury. McCown was suffering through another miserable day (5 for 12, 41.7 percent completions, 58 passing yards) before his hand connected with a helmet. Mike Glennon came to the rescue (well, at least for Fantasy owners with Vincent Jackson because the game was already out of hand) and revitalized an offense that looked anemic. Glennon completed 17 of 24 passes (70.8 completion percentage) for 121 yards and the aforementioned Jackson TD. He’s not worth owning in one quarterback leagues but he is worth adding in all leagues in which you can start two. His pace last year over a full season would look like: 3,210 yards, 59.4 completion percentage, 23.38 TD and 11.08 INT. While he won’t set the world on fire, he’s serviceable and loves Jackson. As a whole, give Tampa Bay’s offense an upgrade heading into Week 4.
Panicked owners of Giovani Bernard should settle down. After last week, Jeremy Hill has scored a touchdown in two straight , but the numbers suggest that will not continue. Bernard received 71.4 percent of the team’s red zone carries to Hill’s 14.3. Bernard even received one red zone look in the passing game. There is something to be said for a player converting opportunities when given to , but a majority will continue to go to Bernard. I would not use Hill as anything more than a desperation FLEX play until further notice because he will be borderline useless unless he scores.
The NFL’s leader through three weeks in yards per target (minimum 10 targets) is Malcom Floyd. At the tight end position, the leader (min. 10 targets) in YPT at this point is Zach Ertz. He leads second place Niles Paul by almost 1.5 yards (1.4). Third is everyone’s favorite breakout candidate Travis Kelce.
Colin Kaepernick is as bad as I thought he would be. Three touchdowns through four games is not what the doctor ordered. The only attribute keeping him afloat is his 129 rushing yards (43 per game). According to RotoWire, Kaepernick ranks 13th in Fantasy points among quarterbacks, or not even a starter in 12-team leagues. His tendency to lock onto receivers combined with the inability to throw to the left side of the field does not warrant sustained success. ESPN’s Chris Mortensen once suggested Kaepernick possessed the talent to end up as the greatest quarterback of all time. Looks like someone’s eyes were bigger than their stomach. Kaepernick needs to work on becoming the best QB in the division before he can set his sights on greatest ever.
Allen Robinson is a must-add. If you missed out on him, I would send over an offer to the owner who grabbed him. Nine of his 10 targets came after Blake Bortles replaced Chad Henne this week. Finishing with seven catches for 79 yards, Robinson now leads the team in receptions and targets for the season. The young kid Bortles seemingly likes him; therefore, Fantasy owners should too. It’s not unreasonable to think Robinson has Top 25 WR upside if Bortles remains the QB……and why wouldn’t he?