Leave it to the Edmonton Oilers to stage a dramatic third-period comeback, scoring a shorthanded goal and tying things up in the final few minutes of regulation, only to lose moments into overtime. They’ll have to regroup in a hurry as they are back on the ice Thursday against the Los Angeles Kings, with Game 6 scheduled to go at the Crypto.com Arena.

The betting market is short on a Kings squad that has found a way to neutralize the Oilers’ offense, leaving value in backing the home side.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings Odds, Total

Moneyline: Oilers -146 | Kings +122

Spread: Oilers -1.5 (+162) | Kings +1.5 (-196)

Total: 6.5 Over -104 | Under -118

Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings Analysis

Through the first five games of the series, the Oilers have out-chanced the Kings in high-danger opportunities just twice in five games and just once in overall scoring chances. What’s driving LA’s success in their own end is their ability to fill the shooting lanes and prevent the Oilers from directing opportunities on target.

That’s not to diminish the play of Jonathan Quick, who has been outstanding so far this postseason. Although Quick’s standard metrics have been suboptimal, the veteran netminder has come up with a few clutch saves at crucial moments, preventing the Oilers from gaining any offensive momentum. That was plainly evident over the final few minutes of Tuesday night’s overtime victory. Quick weathered the Oilers storm, as he helped the Kings secure the series lead.

Offensively, LA has shown that they can hang with the Oilers. The Kings have attempted 28 high-danger and 66 scoring opportunities over the past two games, equalling or eclipsing the Oilers in both contests. Los Angeles is a high-volume team and their system continues to serve them well in this Western Conference Quarterfinal, outplaying Edmonton at their own game.

The Oilers are being dominated on both ends of the ice, reinforcing their typecast that they are unable to adapt in the postseason. LA’s best chance at moving on to the next round comes with a win on home ice in Game 6. The betting market may not be sold on the Kings, but we’re not passing up the implied advantage on the moneyline.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings Predictions

The Pick: Kings +122