Checking NBA Stock Values for the Second Half
Time for Fantasy Owners to Check NBA Stock Values
All-Star weekend is here, a good time for Fantasy Basketball owners to check NBA stock values for the second half, reevaluate their season-long rosters and project success for the rest of the regular season. Forming educated opinions on what has already been established at this point, along with being able to foresee player development, will make it easier to achieve all that gushy Fantasy Basketball success by the end of the season.
Let's take a look at players that are trending upward for season-long Fantasy leagues and dive into some of the best DFS value for after the All-Star break.
One Rising Star and One DFS Value for the Top 8 Eastern Conference Teams
Rising Star: Delon Wright
His player efficiency rating is 16.6, which is nearing the rating of the player he is currently backing up, All-Star Kyle Lowry (19.4). Wright is averaging a career-high in MPG (21.3) and all his stats are reflecting the opportunity he has been given. While Wright should be owned in all Dynasty formats, as he will be a free agent in 2019 (after his 2015 rookie contract expires), he can also provide value in deep leagues with 16 or more teams. He should be monitored in DFS and used as a streaming play if Lowry misses any time for the remainder of the season.
DFS Value: Jonas Valanciunas
Game script is more of a Fantasy football term but think of Jona Valanciunas as a running back who needs to be fed early if he is going to eat. When the Raptors involve the big man, he has the potential for a double-double (17 this year) and the ability to connect from long distance. The former fifth overall pick was only $6400 on DraftKings as of February 14, and he can certainly exceed that price point given the matchup.
Rising Star: Terry Rozier
Another hidden gem from the 2015 draft, Rozier has had his time to shine since Marcus Smart has been out with a hand injury. Rozier has seen his minutes and production shoot up as he is averaging 31.3 Fantasy point per game in 27 MPG in the last month. During that span, Rozier has recorded a triple-double and had a 30-point game. Rozier can be played in Fantasy lineups while Smart is out. It’s also worth noting that Smart is set to be a free agent after this season, which might have implications for both players’ court time moving forward.
DFS Value: Marcus Morris
Morris is averaging just over 24 MPG this season. Over the last two weeks, that number has shot up to 30 minutes per contest. Over that span, Morris is averaging 25 FPPG, as Brad Stevens has put him into the starting lineup. If Morris continues to start, he is a great DFS play as he was only $4700 on FanDuel and $5200 on DraftKings as of February 14.
Rising Star: Rodney Hood
Hood was having the best year of his career before being traded to the Cavs. Now he is in a role in which he is in games to flat-out score. In the two games he has played for Cleveland coming off the bench, Hood is averaging about 30 Fantasy points. He has knocked down seven threes in that time and could find himself creeping into a starting role soon.
DFS Value: J.R. Smith
Smith has been the beneficiary of the new-look Cavs, which adds to the narrative that something was not quite clicking with this team prior to the trade deadline. Smith has been rejuvenated in the past two games with monstrous Fantasy outputs of 40 and 50 points in back to back games, which included 18-points from six three-pointers against OKC on Wednesday. He was only $4600 on both DraftKings and FanDuel and can return value with 29 MPG.
Rising Star: Tomas Satoransky
Since stepping into the starting point guard role for John Wall, Satoransky has averaged 33.7 FPPG. He distributes the ball willingly and effectively and most recently posted a career-high 11 assists against the Knicks. Wall should be out for another couple of weeks making Satoransky a must-play until he returns.
DFS Value: Otto Porter Jr.
Porter Jr. is another player that has benefited from a Fantasy perspective while Wall has missed time. The ball has been in his hands an exceptional amount over the past nine games and his usage rate has shot up from 18.1 percent to 22.1. At $7400 on FanDuel and $6900 on DraftKings, that sort of usage will exceed that price with the talent that Porter possess. He’s averaged 16 points, six rebounds, one and a half steals and half a block per contest over the last month.
— NBA (@NBA) February 17, 2018
Rising Star: Myles Turner
After being out for most of the season with a knee injury, Turner has slowly played his way back into form this season. Many season-long owners stashed Turner and have been waiting for his arrival hoping he could return to last year’s production. Since January 29, when Turner has played at least 20 minutes, he has at least one block in each game including two games with three blocks. Turner averaged 2.1 blocks per game last season and should continue similar production for the remainder of this season to go along with 13 PPG and seven RPG.
DFS Value: Thaddeus Young
Young’s price in both DFS has gone up in recent weeks with his stellar play. But, he is still only $6400 on DraftKings and $6000 on FanDuel. Young is playing over 34 minutes per game over the last month and averaging 29 FPPG while attempting almost 11 shots per contest. That sort of volume and opportunity makes him a great play in DFS formats moving forward.
Rising Star: Tyler Zeller
The Bucks went out of their way to acquire Zeller, giving up 2015 first round pick Rashad Vaughn AND a future second round pick. With John Henson dealing with a hamstring injury, Zellar has shined, logging back to back 14-point outings. The former first round pick played 30 minutes in his last contest, so it will be worth keeping an eye on how the minutes are distributed once Henson returns to the floor. Zeller should be owned in deeper leagues.
DFS Value: Eric Bledsoe
Malcolm Brogdon could be out at least another month with a torn quadriceps injury. Bledsoe has found his stride in Milwaukee and his usage will be substantial without his backcourt mate. Over the last two weeks, Bledsoe is averaging a ridiculous 41 FPPG, which includes 19.4 points, seven assists, two steals, and almost a block per contest. He is a ridiculously low $7100 on DraftKings, which makes him a must-play at that price.
Rising Star: J.J. Reddick
Reddick is having perhaps the best season of his career. He is now one of the main threats for Philadelphia on offense averaging a career-high 16.9 PPG. As he continues to regain form coming off an injury, Reddick has sneaky upside as he provides Fantasy owners with almost three treys per contest. While he has yet to meet his season average of 30.4 FPPG since returning from injury (27 FPPG in that span), Reddick can be considered a buy-low candidate at the All-Star break.
DFS Value: Dario Saric
Saric has not scored single-digit points since November 27 against the Cavs. Since then, the former first round pick has six double-doubles. His season averages are almost 15 PPG and seven RPG and he is only $6200 on DraftKings, which makes him a solid play that can get you 30-plus Fantasy points at a discount.
Rising Star: Wayne Ellington
When Goran Dragic and Tyler Johnson were out with injuries, Ellington took over as the primary ball-handler for Miami. He has kept a prominent role on this team now that everyone is healthy as he has shown the ability to be consistent from long distance. Since December 13, Ellington has nine games with at least five three-point field goals made. He is fifth in the NBA with 168 deep buckets drained and third in the league in attempts with 434. Ellington is owned in just 23 percent of Yahoo leagues.
DFS Value: Hassan Whiteside
Whiteside is continuously cheap for the production he puts up on a nightly basis. At only $7400 on DraftKings, Whiteside averages 14 PPG and almost 12 RPG. His ability to block shots adds value to his stock and gives him the chance to exceed that low price point in Daily Fantasy.
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