Derrick Henry Waiting For More, Hold Kenneth Dixon
Week 9 brings us another six teams on bye, along with a host of injuries and game-time decisions. Let's check out fluctuating player values in this week's Playlist.
Over The Rainbow by Israel Kamakawiwo'ole
Brock Osweiler (QB, Broncos)- “Somewhere over the rainbow. Way up high. And the
[caption id="attachment_114863" align="alignright" width="300"] Derrick Henry is a high end handcuff that would be an RB1 if DeMarco Murray ever misses time. (Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire).[/caption]
dreams that you dreamed of. Once in a lullaby. Somewhere over the rainbow. Blue birds fly. And the dreams that you dreamed of. Dreams really do come true ooh oh.” You would be hard-pressed to find many people that believe Osweiler is a true franchise QB, yet he had two teams fighting over him in the offseason. Such is life in today’s pass-happy NFL, where you cannot compete without a top-notch signal caller. Osweiler has struggled this year, especially on the road and against above average defenses. Perhaps he just needs more experience and he’ll be improved in year two as full-time starter. Or, maybe he doesn’t even get to next year as the locked in starter. Tom Savage has the physical tools necessary to put some heat on Osweiler and perhaps even replace him. There’s a good chance he is also not a franchise savior, but better to find out sooner rather than later. He’s no more than a streamer in seasonal formats, but even then he’s hard to trust. If you own Osweiler in a dynasty league, it is likely that you have deep benches or it is a 2QB league. There is a glimmer of hope because he’s still inexperienced but the Texans did put great weapons around him and he’s shown so little. Dreams don’t always come true unfortunately and it does not look as if the Texans have found their future at the position.
Badfish by Sublime
Ryan Tannehill (QB, Dolphins) – “Baby you're a big blue whale Grab the reef when all duck diving fails I swim, but wish I'd never learned The water's too polluted with the germs.” Speaking of looking for franchise QBs, the Dolphins might be dipping back into that pool this offseason. Statistically, he has actually been pretty solid. Numbers can be deceiving though as he has struggled to find any type of consistency throughout his career. The physical tools are intriguing and the hope was that since he was only a QB for one season in college, he would continue to develop in the NFL. His passing game weapons are not the best in the league, but they are certainly more than adequate. His lack of development as a passer has hurt not just the offense but the entire franchise. Next year is when he starts making almost $18 million per year and despite a lack of QB talent in the NFL, his play has not justified that type of salary. The Dolphins could conceivably draft a QB in the first round and either start him or Matt Moore until the youngster is ready. He’ll likely get another shot to start if the Dolphins part ways with him, but that is the only reason for optimism right now. Completely unrelated, he is actually worth a start (seasonal streamer and daily GPP play) this weekend against a Jets secondary that has been torched all season.
Right Here Waiting by Richard Marx
Derrick Henry (RB, Titans) – “Wherever you go. Whatever you do I will be right here waiting for you. Whatever it takes. Or how my heart breaks. I will be right here waiting for you.” We saw Henry shine during the pre-season and the hope was that he would force an immediate timeshare with DeMarco Murray to start the year. Murray had other plans though, as he threw it back to 2014, looking like an elite Fantasy back right out of the gate. Henry has seen a handful of carries here and there, but nothing to even get on the FLEX radar. Last week with Murray banged up, Henry toted the rock 16 times for 60 yards and a score, adding four receptions for 37 more yards. Henry is a high upside handcuff that absolutely needs to be owned at this point in the season. Should Murray miss extended time, Henry would be a plug and play RB1. He might be worth a desperation play this weekend against the Chargers, even if Murray is active. In dynasty formats, he is a great target for rebuilding teams to swap a producing veteran like Larry Fitzgerald for.
So Wat Cha Sayin’ by EPMD
Kenneth Dixon (RB, Ravens) – “The employees of the year, yeah we're back to work. I took time off, while other rappers got jerked. Due to the fact they wack and their track. Have to go back and stack ‘cause they lack.” Dixon was a hot name this offseason and early on as a sleeper in the Ravens backfield. While Dixon has a quality all-around skill set, it was also a testament to the lack of talent ahead of him on the depth chart. Dixon just got healthy a few weeks ago and has started to see some snaps, but is taking a backseat to Terrance West. That will not last as West simply is not that talented. The Ravens staff talked about getting Dixon more involved as they come out of their bye to take on the Steelers. It might not be an immediate changing of the guard, but I’d expect Dixon to get a season high in touches on Sunday. If he’s still on your waiver wire, snag him as a speculative play that could pay dividends. In dynasty formats, this could be your last opportunity to buy before his price goes up.
Un-break My Heart by Toni Braxton
Alshon Jeffery (WR, Bears)- “Un-break my heart. Say you'll love me again. Undo this hurt you caused. When you walked out the door. And walked out of my life. Un-cry these tears. I cried so many nights. Un-break my heart. My heart.” Jeffery was expected to be a Fantasy beast with Brandon Marshall traded to the Jets last year, but he was too injured most of the year to capitalize. When he was on the field, he was a target monster and a top performer as advertised. This year, optimism was abound once again and he has failed to deliver. Up until the last three games where he’s seen 33 targets, he simply was not getting enough looks. He just caught his first TD of the season last week and has registered just one 100-yard performance. Jay Cutler is back at the helm and should once again make sure Jeffery is fat and fed every week. Expect WR2 production from here on out. He’s an excellent buy in seasonal and dynasty formats and now is the time to inquire because he is on a bye.
Get Ur Freak On by Missy Elliott featuring Ludacris
Tyreek Hill (WR, Chiefs) – “I know you dig the way I sw-sw-switch my style. (Holla) People sing around. Now people gather 'round. Now people jump around.” Tyreek the Freak has been one of the most impressive rookies, yet continues to fly under the radar. Perhaps it is because he has run limited routes in every game or that he is in an Alex Smith-led Chiefs offense. He has caught at least one pass in every game and already has four scores, but hasn’t been targeted more than seven times in a contest. Last week, Hill had his best Fantasy game yet, with five receptions for 98 yards and a TD. The Chiefs have are committed to getting the ball to him a handful of times a game. With Spencer Ware out for Sunday’s game, Hill might get a few more carries. He’s an upside play for Daily Fantasy and a roll of the dice start in seasonal formats. Hill is a prospect to own in Dynasty formats.
Rollin’ V.I.P. by Kevin Federline
C.J. Fiedorowicz (TE, Texans) – “Who got it better than me? Federline on the block, rolling V.I.P.” I either didn’t realize or totally tried to forget that K-Fed was a rapper, and not a complete joke as you’d expect. While I picked the song because C.J.’s last name reminded me of Britney Spears’ former husband, it fits because Fiedorowicz owners are rolling V.I.P. right now. He has been quite the find over the past month. He has four double digit PPR performances over his last five (the other being an eight-point outing). Fiedorowicz still loses the occasional target to Ryan Griffin and young Stephen Anderson, but he is the lead TE here and Osweiler is looking for him often. Consider him a backend TE1 option moving forward and one to use in daily if his price remains affordable. Do not go overboard in dynasty, though, as he is far from a lock to continue this production into 2017 and beyond.
Country Boy Can Survive by Hank Williams Jr.
Gary Barnidge (TE, Browns) – “I can plow a field all day long, I can catch catfish from dusk 'til dawn. Make our own whiskey and our own smoke too. Ain't too many things these boys can't do. We grow good old tomatoes and homemade wine. And country boy can survive, country folk can survive.” Barnidge came from out of nowhere last season to be one of the best waiver wire finds as a 30-year-old. Regression was expected to an extent, but he has been solid other than the lack of TD production (he hasn’t scored yet in 2016 after nine a year ago). Still, he remains a weekly TE1 option because of his upside and a lack of consistency throughout the position. Barnidge is the perfect buy in seasonal formats if you need a set it and forget it type. In dynasty leagues, he is best paired with a young prospect type like Austin Hooper or yet to breakthrough veteran Zach Ertz.
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