What’s On TV Tonight, And How Not To Lose Your Money Gamblin’

  • Matt Rudnitsky

Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice inclines you to do so. Good luck, America!

Heat (-2) at Nets (8:00 p.m., ESPN)

Your instinct is probably to bet on the Heat because Big Three! NBA Title Favs! But Miami is a bad road team against-the-spread (8-12), and Brooklyn is a solid one at home (11-10-3). The Nets have been really good in 2013, while the Heat have struggled, especially on the road, where they’ve lost to Boston, Utah, Portland and Indiana. The Barclays Center will be packed.

Then again, the Nets are 0-2 against the Heat this season (both in Miami), losing by a combined 33 points.

You’re probably crazy for betting the Heat on the road with how they’re playing. But you’re probably equally crazy for taking the Nets with how they’ve performed against Miami. It’s tough to find an edge in this game. If you must bet: when in doubt, take the better team. In this case, that’s the Heat.

College Basketball: Texas at Kansas State (-9.5) (8:00 p.m., ESPN2)

The line opened at 8 and was bet up to 9.5. Texas is in desperation mode, but they’re still without probably their best player in Myck Kabongo. Kansas State is the superior team, at home, coming off two straight losses. They’ll be fired up. The best play was probably to bet the Wildcats at -8, but it’s too late now. Texas’s offense is a joke, but their defense is tough, and 9.5 is a big number. Consider Kansas State on the first-half line (-4.5), as they come out pissed off, looking to punish an inferior team. And take a hard look at the under 123.5, with two angry, slow-paced teams with very good defenses squaring off.

NHL: Blackhawks (-126) at Wild (+116) (8:00 p.m., NBC Sports Network)

The Blackhawks are undefeated and look damn tough. But this is their first game of a three-game road trip, and they may be looking forward a bit to tomorrow’s big matchup against Vancouver. Minnesota has disappointed a bit and is at home in one of the tougher places to play in the NHL (Minnesota is hockey-crazy). They likely won’t be looking ahead; they need this more than the Blackhawks.

Minnesota is starting its backup goalie, but he might even be better than their starter. That caused the line to climb where it’s at now, and it creates some value. This is far from a guarantee, but it may be worth placing a bet on the underdog Wild at a solid price.

Lakers (-2.5) at Suns (10:30 p.m., ESPN)

The Lakers are playing much better with Neo Bryant leading the way, but they are a miserable 5-15 ATS on the road. Phoenix is a decent ATS team at home, where they recently beat the Clippers outright. Still, wins against talented teams are scarce in Phoenix, and you’d be crazy to back a team this bad. This is either Lakers or stay away. If you have the balls to back the new Kobe because of three impressive games, by all means, take the Lakers.

What else is on: PGA Tour Golf: Phoenix Open Pro-Am (9:00 p.m., Golf Channel); International Soccer Friendly: Denmark vs. Mexico (10:00 p.m., ESPN2)

Lines taken from 5dimes.eu