AFC South Odds, Futures and Predictions
The south may be the most competitive in the AFC as three teams could make a legitimate claim to the title. The Colts have one of the best overall teams in the league, but questions about new quarterback Phillip Rivers may keep them from reaching their ultimate goal. The Texans gave away WR DeAndre Hopkins but still should have enough offensive firepower to possibly defend their title and the Titans are a tough team that no one enjoys facing. Yeah, I didn’t mention the Jaguars and I’m sure you know why. We will use FanDuel Sportsbook odds as our baseline. The over/under win total is listed first, followed by the juice for each total and finally the odds to win the division. The teams are listed in alphabetical order.
Houston Texans (7.5, O -105, U -115, AFCS +320)
Everyone wants to discount the Texans because of some questionable moves by head coach/general manager Bill O’ Brien. Listen, I can’t defend the Hopkins’ trade and won’t try, but this team should not be forgotten about. There is a reason they seem to always win this division. That being said, yeah, I think they might hit the over 7.5, but I’m not going to place anything on that. One thing for sure, we’re going to find out just how good Deshaun Watson is this season.
Indianapolis Colts (9, O -120, U +100, AFCS +125)
The Colts are a strange team. They have no obvious weaknesses. This depth allowed them to draft Jonathan Taylor at RB even though they have Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines. At wide receiver, they probably did need someone opposite T.Y. Hilton if only because Hilton always seems to have a nagging injury or two. The offensive line is at least top five and possibly even better than that. What about defense you ask? Well, they traded their first-round pick to trade for DeForest Buckner and they already had an above-average defense. Indy is one of the best overall teams in the NFL, but I do wonder about Phillip Rivers. Has that shotput motion of his finally caught up with him? How much would we be talking about his 20 interceptions last season if not for Jameis Winston? Still, I don’t think the Colts expect Rivers to throw the ball 35+ times a game. Give the Colts at plus money to win the division.
Jacksonville Jaguars (4.5, O -130, U +110, AFCS +2300)
Let’s be honest here, do the Jaguars want to win? Sure, the coaches and players do. They have to give their best as they are filmed and coaches are judged on their record, but the organization doesn’t want to. They will trade anything that isn’t a big part of their future. Yannick Ngakoue wants not part of the franchise tag or to be playing in Jacksonville and it should only be a matter of time until he is moved. Leonard Fournette would already be gone if another team was interested. Teams just don’t bite on aging running backs. This team wants the number one pick next season so they can draft who in their minds is the best QB available as Gardner Minshew is just not the answer. I’m tempted to take the under here as this smells like a 2-14 or 3-13 team.
Tennessee Titans (8.5, O -125, U +105, AFCS +165)
You don’t see this kind of team all that much in the NFL anymore. A team that will go up or down depending upon the fortunes of the running back. The Titans need Derrick henry to soften up defenses, to play their safeties closer to the line of scrimmage so that Ryan Tannehill can get one on one matchups and hit big plays. If Henry were to go down at any point, it’s all over but the crying. If the Colts don’t win the division, I expect that it will be the Titans who do, but I can’t bank on Tannehill, not after watching him in the playoffs last season.