AFC West Odds, Futures and Predictions
You will likely want to parlay it, but the Chiefs are going to win this division once again. I’m not so sure it will be even close, and neither are the oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook. They don’t seem to think a team will finish within three games of KC and I agree. The fun in this division is betting the win totals for each team. We will use FanDuel’s odds as our baseline. The over/under win total is listed first, followed by the juice for each total and finally the odds to win the division. The teams are listed in alphabetical order.
Denver Broncos (7.5, O -110, U -110, AFCW +1100)
Perhaps GM John Elway has finally got it right at the QB position with Drew Lock. He better have if he expects the Broncos to compete for a wildcard spot this season. All signs are positive in regard to Lock and with a solid running game in Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay, the offense should be more than capable. The defense no longer features the no-fly zone but can still get to the QB in Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. Still, 7.5 seems like the correct number here and they will likely need to stay healthy to reach the over.
Kansas City Chiefs (11.5, O -125, U +105, AFCW -420)
As we mentioned above, they will win the division, the only question in my mind is how many games they will win and whether or not they will get home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs (assuming we have playoffs this season). Looking at their schedule, they will lose at most two division games, and probably just one. So where are the other losses coming from? They do play at Baltimore on a Monday night in Week 3 and at Buffalo on a Thursday night on Week 6. Those could be losses. They also have games during the second half of the season at Tampa Bay and at New Orleans. Not the easiest of schedules when you consider that all of their toughest games are on the road. They won’t lose all four but won’t all four either. if they split those four games and lose two divisional games, then we are only looking at needing another loss for the under. I’m not going to bet that, but if I was, that’s where my money would be placed.
Las Vegas Raiders (7.5, O +125, U -145, AFCW +1200)
Talk about bad timing. You move into a new state and a beautiful new stadium, yet there won’t be any home-field advantage as no fans will be allowed to attend games at the “Death Star” this season, and one more thing, while I love that they have nicknamed the stadium the “Death Star”, last I checked that space station didn’t end up doing all that well in “Star Wars” or the “Return of the Jedi”. The NFL is a QB driven league and I just don’t think the Raiders have their QB of the future on their roster right now. It’s hard to win consistently without one. The Raiders are improving but they aren’t there yet. Their schedule, especially in the early part of the season is brutal, give me the under here.
Los Angeles Chargers (8, O -115, U 1105, AFCW +700)
I’m a Charger’s believer. Then again, I’ve been so for quite a few years now and they always seem to disappoint. Somehow, I don’t expect this season to be any different. The big question of course is when first-round draft pick Justin Herbert will take over behind center. I’m of the belief that most of not all rookie QBs will suffer this season because there weren’t any mini-camps and even training camp has been abbreviated. Still, Herbert will play and will likely struggle in my opinion. I love the Chargers personnel, but they are going to have growing pains at QB. I’m leaning the under here.