Rivalry weekend continues Saturday night as Stanford hosts Cal in a Pac-12 matchup. Stanford won last season's matchup, 23-13, on the road.
Let's take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
California +2: -110
Stanford -2: -110
Over 40: -110
Under 40: -110
Key Points to Consider
X-Factor: The visiting Golden Bears need one more win this season to be bowl-eligible. Following their 41-17 home loss vs USC last week, we're expecting them to come out extra aggressive in this one to strike first. A key factor in this one is the health/injury status of QB Chase Garbers who left last week's game vs the Trojans. He has an 8-to-2 TD-to-INT ratio this season.
Defense: Cal's defense is what has kept them competitive this season. Sure they struggled against an explosive USC offense last week, but they have been above average most of the season. They have one of the better rush defenses in the country, holding opponents to under 23 points per week. The issue, more so, is the inability to get points on the board.
Bounce Back: Stanford, also, needs one more win this season to be bowl eligible. They head into this weekend's matchup following a 49-22 road loss vs Washington State. The defense specifically needs to bounce back after giving up 500+ passing yards last week.
For Cal, Chase Garbers is projected to finish with 214 passing yards on 19 completions, and 97 rushing yards on 23 carries. He averages 2.1 TDs and 0.8 INTs per sim.
For Stanford, K.J. Costello averages 112 passing yards on 10 completions. He averages 0.8 TDs and 0.4 INTs per sim.
Cal to cover.
Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick. The Golden Bears cover the spread in close to 58 percent of simulations.
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