Cowboys-Rams Week 1 Betting Preview
Week 1 is officially underway, and the first Sunday of the NFL season approaches this weekend with a slew of 13 games on tap. One of the more anticipated matchups of the week will take place on Sunday Night Football as the Dallas Cowboys travel to the west coast to take on the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Let’s take a look at some player props and game odds, brought to you by our friends over at FanDuel.
The first player prop I recommend avoiding is Amari Cooper as an anytime touchdown scorer set at +140. In 38 games played at home, Cooper is quite solid in his career with 22 touchdowns. The issue comes when the Cowboys top wide receiver hits the road. He has played 39 away games in his career with just 11 touchdowns to show for.
I’ll be staying away from this bet in every road game with certainty until Amari Cooper can prove that he poses to be as strong of a threat when the Cowboys aren’t in Arlington.
Your best bet may be to run with the other top wideout in Cooper Kupp here. His price mirrors Amari Cooper at +140 with far less risk involved as he is one of the more stable options in the Rams passing game.
Kupp had 10 receiving touchdowns a season ago, more than Tyler Higbee, Todd Gurley, Robert Woods, and Brandin Cooks combined. He is their clear first option when they are in the red zone and feels almost like a shock to be put at the same odds as Amari Cooper. Kupp is the play here.
And if you really like the Rams’ chances, you could get his touchdown prop partnered with a Rams victory at +340, although there doesn’t seem to be much correlation. The Rams were 5-4 last season when Kupp found the paydirt.
Odds: Cowboys -3, over/under 51.5
With two offenses that ranked each within the top 10 in total yards and a matchup last season that flew over this number in a 44-21 rout by Dallas, it’s hard to blindly take an under due to a slightly inflated total. A 2018 matchup between the two also went over this number in a 30-22 Rams victory in the divisional playoffs. The Cowboys were 10-6 to the over last season.
In 2019, the Cowboys had a 1,000-yard rusher, two 1,000-yard receivers, and were 98 yards away from a 5,000-yard passer. Those are video game numbers for the league’s No. 1 offense based on total yardage. Having a defense that ranked top ten in yardage allowed and 11th in points allowed, it takes some digging to realize what forced the Cowboys to an 8-8 record last season.
In games with a spread of four points or shorter, the Dallas Cowboys were 2-5 against the spread and 2-5 straight up in 2019. The Cowboys were just a lowly 1-6 in games decided by ten points or fewer last season. Jason Garrett could not get his team to close out and win close games.
Whether Mike McCarthy can change, that is yet to be seen. But in a game where you may have to rely on Dallas to win you the game late on the road, do you trust your money in the hands of a team that couldn’t find enough wins to make the playoffs with a top ten offense and defense? History points towards the Rams, and the points here and +126 to win outright holds some value.