MNF: Chargers-Saints Betting Preview and Picks
The Chargers will travel to New Orleans on Monday night as they take on Drew Brees and the Saints. Los Angeles is coming off a tough road loss to the Buccaneers in a game they were leading late, and New Orleans notched a hard-fought road win over the Lions in their previous outing.
The line opened with the Saints as 8.5-point favorites last Sunday night and has seemed to sit right on 7 at FanDuel for most of this Sunday. Many believe Justin Herbert showed plenty of promise in last week’s performance as he maintained a 137.9 passer rating while throwing for three touchdowns and just one interception against a strong Tampa Bay defense. He faces yet another real test this weekend on primetime as he travels to the Superdome.
Herbert’s inexperience and struggles have shown late in games this season. The former Oregon standout boasts a 117.1 passer rating in the first half that dips to 96.7 in the third quarter and 84.3 in the fourth. Until L.A.’s rookie can prove his worth in the big spots when needed most, you should be wary of how much you can trust this team to cover numbers and hang close later on in games. You’d be best off to lay the touchdown and roll with the Saints in this spot.
After opening at 52, the total has been bet down to 50 for tomorrow night’s matchup. It feels slightly high, but it’s becoming common to see totals near and around 50 this season with games flying over the number in recent weeks.
The Chargers have an underrated offense under their rookie quarterback and rank sixth in the NFL in total yards this season. Regardless of their occasional offensive woes, the Saints are still scoring at a high level, ranking top five in points scored this season entering Week 5. New Orleans has gone over the total in every game so far this season, and it’s hard to see anything drastic that’ll make that change this week. Don’t be turned off by a slightly inflated total and take the over.
The Picks: Saints -7, Over 50
The Saints offense hasn’t quite looked the same this season with the prolonged absence of star wide receiver Michael Thomas. But Emmanuel Sanders has slowly stepped up into the role as the number one receiver on the depth chart and has only improved his output since Thomas has been out.
A quiet 18-yard outing in Week 2 was followed by 56 yards and 93 yards just last week against the Lions. Sanders has grown more comfortable in his temporary new role, and a chemistry with Brees seems to be developing more and more each week during his first season in the Big Easy. With his total set at 53.5 receiving yards, you should buy stock on this quarterback-receiver duo and take the over for Emmanuel Sanders on the game.
Keenan Allen has also become Herbert’s clear number one option. He is averaging 13.3 targets over the last three games, while the Saints have allowed at least six receptions by a receiver in three of their four games this season. With a quarterback that seems to be growing after each snap, take one of the league’s most talented wide receiver over 6.5 receptions on the evening.
The Picks: Sanders over 53.5 receiving yards, Allen over 6.5 receptions