NFC East Odds, Futures and Predictions
I’m sure you have already seen this statistic, but if you haven’t, no team has won back to back NFCE division titles since 2003-04 (Philadelphia). The Eagles are good once again this season so perhaps they will repeat as champs once again, perhaps not. This division is top-heavy with the Cowboys and Eagles about even to win it, while the Giants and WFT will battle to see who can stay out of the cellar. We will use FanDuel’s odds as our baseline. The over/under win total is listed first, followed by the juice for each total and finally the odds to win the division. The teams are listed in alphabetical order.
Dallas Cowboys (9.5, O -150, U +125, NFCE -105)
The Cowboys have all the pieces I place to not only win the division but perhaps even win more than one playoff game, something they haven’t done since the mid-90s. The Cowboys, as always, made plenty of noise in the offseason. The good was that they had a great draft which should help them immediately. The bad? Well, they once again failed to sign Dak Prescott to a long-term extension, something that may come back to haunt them as soon as next season. The Cowboy’s strength is their offense. They should be able to score with just about anyone outside of Kansas City. The weakness will be the secondary (shocking) but a strong pass rush might not allow the opposing QB to take advantage of that weakness. It’s hard to trust the Cowboys, but the change from Jason Garrett to Mike McCarthy may be just what this team needs to finally get to where they want to go. Still, I’ll pass here.
New York Giants (6, O -115, U -105, NFCE +900)
The Giants shouldn’t have many problems scoring points. We all know that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the NFL. Daniel Jones should make progressions from last season, especially when it comes to seeing the rush and putting the football on the ground. The OL is adequate and WR corps is solid to maybe even above average. The problem is the defense. To say it’s a work in progress is being kind. They have issues at all levels. I’ll love playing the over in totals involving the NYG this season as points should be aplenty. I lean toward the under here but not quite enough to put any money on it.
Philadelphia Eagles (9.5, O +100, U -120, NFCE +140)
The Eagles were quite impressive in winning this division last season as they were playing with backups to the backup on offense, specifically at WR. They are well-coached and don’t discount that they are the only team in the division that didn’t make a change at head coach this offseason. That continuity has to account for something when you consider that there were not mini-camps and even training camp will be abbreviated. That’s a leg up in my book. I love the defense. This division will come down to the Eagles and Cowboys with an injury or two likely to be the deciding factor. I mentioned the stat above about no team in this division repeating as camps in about 17 years, but still, +140, I might just take my chances.
Washington Football Team (5, O -120, U +100, NFCE +1300)
Has any team had a worse offseason than this team in recent memory? New head coach, name change, all sorts of ownership issues, starting RB released because of off-field issues. Yikes. This team is the anti-Giants. They have a legitimate defense, but the offense is what will keep them in check. The only question WFT has to answer this season is if Dwayne Haskins is indeed their QB of the future or if they will be dipping back into the QB pool next season. They have zero chance to win the east, but five wins seem about right. I’ll pass here as well.