NFL Week 1 FanDuel Odds Boosts
One of the best parts about FanDuel Sportsbook is the odds boosts they offer for certain games. They had some very interesting and exciting ones for the NBA and have now set their sights on the NFL. We will take a look at two of the top odds boost offers for Week 1.
Sunday Night Football SPREAD THE LOVE – 9/13/2020
- Event: Cowboys vs. Rams 9/13
- The Wager: Rams to cover the spread
- Who: All Users
- Max Bet: $50
- States: All eligible states
- Platform: This is an IN-APP offer ONLY
How it works: The spread will increase one (1) point in the Rams favor for every 5000 bets that are placed on the market (Rams with the points). For example, the Cowboys are currently three-point favorites (-3 @ -110). If 100,000 users bet on the Cowboys, the line will close at Rams (+23 @ -110), and regardless of when you bet on the line, you’ll receive the enhanced line. It’s a win-win for everyone!
FanDuel Sportsbook is offering another highly intriguing odds boost on Sunday Night Football. However, this offer is for app users only. The wager is on the Los Angeles Rams to cover against the Dallas Cowboys as laid out above. In what should be a tight contest being able to have the spread pushed to +6 or +9 is highly valuable. However, with the way FanDuel has set this promotion up, the spread can be pushed to +15, or, as laid out in their example to +23.
As alluded to above, teasing the points to a number like +6 or +9 would cost heavy juice. +6 is listed at -200, +9.5 is listed at -300. +23.5, the number used in their example could move the juice to -1800. This serves to accentuate what a great offer is being presented by FanDuel once again. While nothing is impossible in sports, the implied odds of -1800 suggest that there is just a 6.3% chance/probability that the Cowboys win by 24.
This contest is expected to turn into a shootout, and there is no doubt that the Dallas Cowboys will feature one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL this season. However, they will be going head to head with arguably the two top defensive players in the entire NFL in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. There is a strong argument to be made that Los Angeles, a team that underperformed last season, should be the favorites in this contest, especially since they are playing at home.
At the very least, the odds here should be +1.5 or even. However, losses on both sides of the ball have expectations tempered for the 2020 version of the Rams. That may be a mistake. Expecting a team led by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey to lose by 24 points, for example, would likely mean the Rams would have to be held to 14 or fewer points. However, after losing to Dallas by 23 points last season, it may be better to see how high the spread gets boosted before jumping in yourself.
Ravens, Vikings, and Colts all to win (+210)
FanDuel is offering an odds boost on a pre-packaged, three-team moneyline parlay. Taking a cursory look at the three matchups, we have the Baltimore Ravens as -7.5 favorites against the Cleveland Browns. We also have the Indianapolis Colts as -7.5 favorites in their matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Finally, we have the Minnesota Vikings squaring off against the Green Bay Packers.
Let’s start with the Ravens and the Colts. Both of these teams are heavy favorites worth considering at the eight points they would need to cover. Getting both of them in a three-team parlay that pays +210 is worth considering. Indianapolis is listed at -390. Baltimore is listed at -330.
On paper, the Indianapolis Colts are the better team in their matchup. They were the superior team last season when they swept the home series. Now they have added multiple upgrades on both sides of the ball, the gap has widened. Jacksonville added some interesting pieces of their own this offseason. Still, it may regress both offensively and defensively after losing key pieces in running back Leonard Fournette and defensive ends Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue.
Their -390 juice on the moneyline is considerably higher than the Ravens at -330. This is despite being listed at matching -7.5 point spreads. This indicates that the sharp money believes that the Colts have a higher straight up win possibility. The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last nine contests against the AFC South. Jacksonville is 2-6 ATS in their last eight contests overall.
The Baltimore Ravens are the better team in their matchup as well. They split their home and home series with their division rivals last season, with Cleveland surprising and handing them one of the two losses they suffered all year.
Baltimore was already one of the best teams in the league, but adding Calais Campbell and rookie Patrick Queen made their defense one of the most complete in the NFL. Their additions on the offensive side of the ball ensure that they now have the weapons to move the ball through the air when needed.
Cleveland is 0-6 against the spread in their last six road games. Baltimore, on the other hand, is 6-2 ATS in their last eight contests overall. As the juice indicates, there is a bigger gap between Indianapolis and Jacksonville than between Baltimore and Cleveland.
However, with no spread, there is no question as to which teams are the sharper play. FanDuel made a shrewd move by including Baltimore and Indianapolis, as they are likely to be the most popular moneyline parlay of the weekend.
However, the Minnesota Vikings are also in this pre-packaged parlay. Minnesota is set to square off with the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 and are listed at -2.5. As far as line setting is concerned, -2.5 for a home team generally means the oddsmakers see this contest relatively even.
The three points, or in this case, -2.5 points, is what is assigned to the home team in cases like these. This is a contest that can truly go either way. However, if one breaks this odds boost offer down, we are getting two highly attractive -7.5 teases, and the Vikings to win.
The original odds on this parlay would be +171. FanDuel has boosted it to a much more appealing +210. It is true that each team added to any parlay, even a moneyline parlay of all favorites, decreases the overall win probability of the wager. However, if you are comfortable with prospects of both Baltimore and Indianapolis winning their contests, this is a Minnesota Vikings over the Green Bay Packers wager.
I would have honestly been more comfortable with the Packers as the team, but FanDuel likely felt that all favorites might generate more user interest. Green Bay won both of their meetings against Minnesota last season. The first contest was a tight one that the Packers won by a score of 21-16. However, the Week 16 matchup, which was expected to be closely contested, turned into a rout after halftime when the Packers scored 14 unanswered points.
Green Bay may have gotten slightly better this offseason if Christian Kirksey can stay healthy. Minnesota added some interesting pieces in the draft but lost multiple key starters this offseason. Making matters worse, they lost superstar defensive end, Danielle Hunter, to injured reserve just as they brought in Yannick Ngakoue to help form what was supposed to be the deadliest pass-rushing duo in the NFL.
This odds boost offer is all about value. Many would take Baltimore and Indianapolis moneyline this weekend. That means the question here is whether or not one is willing to risk one unit for a 2.1 unit return on Minnesota moneyline. As alluded to above, I do prefer the Packers, but cannot ignore what can be viewed as +210 on a team currently listed as a favorite. This odds boost parlay is well worth a taste, even if it is only a partial unit for a full unit return.