Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 8
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let’s see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Everton vs. Manchester United
Everton to win +190
Everton have undoubtedly played better than Manchester United so far this season. The Toffees are 4W-1D-2L, good enough for fourth in the table, while Manchester United are all the way down in 15th at 2-1-3.
Even if we shift away from records and look at FBRef’s expected goal differential, Everton has a +3.1 expected goal difference compared to United’s -2.7. United have been uninspiring for most of the season, and they are coming off a 1-0 loss to Arsenal in the league last week, which was followed up by a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Istanbul Basaksehir in the Champions League midweek.
United are facing a short quick turnaround, and they have been outplayed by Everton in the league thus far anyway. This game seems like a good opportunity for Everton to grab three points.
West Brom vs. Tottenham
Tottenham +1 (no push) +140
West Brom-Tottenham seems to be a huge mismatch,with the potential for a serious blowout. Spurs are 4-2-1 with a +9 goal differential thus far, good enough for third place, while West Brom are still winless at 0-3-4 and all the way down in 18th.
Expected goal difference takes the separation between these two teams even further, as Tottenham have a +5.4 expected goal differential, compared to -8.4 for West Brom. West Brom have by far the worst expected goal differential in the league, as they are 5.1 expected goals worse than 19th-ranked Crystal Palace.
Tottenham are clearly much superior to West Brom, and they should be able to win this game rather easily.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool
Liverpool to win +240
Liverpool are still first in the table with 16 points after their title-winning season last year, while Manchester City are down in 10th with a modest 3-2-1 record. Despite this, Liverpool are sizable underdogs in this game, providing an interesting betting opportunity.
City have been poor in the league recently (by their standards), winning only 1-0 last week against 19th-placed Sheffield United and drawing with 14th-placed West Ham the week prior. Liverpool have actually faced the same two teams in their most recent league games, winning both contests 2-1.
Liverpool have clearly performed better than Manchester City this season, and yet they are listed as underdogs. City have an extremely talented team, but Liverpool as an underdog are a very enticing bet.