The 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic is hosted by Detroit Golf Club for the 2nd straight year. Nate Lashley won the inaugural event in 2019 with a winning score of 25-under par and more than 15 golfers shot 15-under or better. The PGATOUR players treated Detroit Golf Club like a scramble at your local muni and whenever that happens it introduces some unique elements.
Last year, putting drove nearly 45 percent of the deviation in scoring between players as they peppered the greens, meaning even if you were the best ball-striker in the field you still had to run hot with the flat stick to contend.
Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting Odds
At Fanduel Sportsbook Bryson Dechambeau has opened as the overwhelming favorite in a field that is slightly watered down compared to the first three events after relaunch. Dechambeau is a deserving favorite with 7 career victories and six straight events with Top 10 finishes to his name. Bettors will be tasked with deciding if there is value backing Bryson this week on a course that seemingly requires a streaky putter to win.
Beyond Bryson, it is Webb Simpson, Hideki Matsuyama, Patrick Reed and Tyrell Hatton who find themselves in the next tier of players. All of these golfers are offered with odds of 20-1 or lower. Simpson withdrew from last week’s event due to a family COVID illness but is back in the field this week and looking for his 2nd consecutive victory, while Patrick Reed will be playing in his fourth straight event.
Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook
Travelers Championship Betting Picks
At the top end of the board, bettors will find that Dechambeau has sucked up a lot of the odds but you still aren’t getting a big discount on secondary options.
Going back to the Sungjae Im well for the 3rd straight week at 25-1 I think mathematically makes sense. Im’s price at Fanduel is the best in the industry. Adam Hadwin also is somewhat appealing at 70-1 odds on this course. Hadwin thrives on approach and with the putter and those are two focal areas that can separate players on a course where so many players expect to shoot 15-under par. I also like Hadwin +300 to T20.
But the real appeal this week is in the longshots, as the weak field and randomness makes it plausible that we see a 100-1 or deeper priced winner.
Andrew Putnam is one of the intriguing longshots. Putnam ranks 15th in my weighted stat model but is 24th in strokes gained approach and 4th in strokes gained putting. Putnam’s biggest weakness is his off the tee play, which will be mitigated a touch this week. Putnam’s outright price of 200-1 isn’t particularly appealing, but I think there is value to betting him at +900 to T20, +2200 to T10 or +4800 to T5 depending on your tolerance for risk versus reward.
Sebastian Munoz is one of my favorite bets this week. Munoz is offered at 150-1 on Fanduel Sportsbook to win and +380 to Top 20, while DataGolf makes him 100-1 and +327 respectively. I like Munoz even a bit more than that. Over the last 100 rounds, Munoz is a top 25 putter in this field and this event demands a hot putter to win. On top of that, Munoz recent ball striking lands him inside the Top 35 in off the tee, around the green, and approach play. Munoz is a long shot for a reason, but I believe 150-1 is too steep of a number and he should be priced like a Top 20 golfer this week.
Other Longshots to Consider:
- Tom Hoge (150-1 Outright +500 T20)
- Cameron Tringale (200-1 Outright, +700 T20)