SNF: Week 5 Vikings-Seahawks Betting Preview
Russell Wilson’s Seahawks have been cooking up an offensive feast while the underachieving Vikings may have already cooked their own goose on the drumsticks of a disappointing 1-3 start. Let’s grab our wagering plates and scoop on a smorgasbord of tasty wagering options coming in piping hot from our spread-serving chefs at FanDuel.
In case you’re wondering about the tasty bird/food references…Happy Canadian Thanksgiving!
The Seahawks will have another shot at shining on Sunday night in Seattle. (Say that five times quickly). The ‘Hawks have taken it to another level in night games at home recently. Since 2010, they are an impressive 20-3 in primetime games in their friendly confines. The Seahawks have been cooking at home in general since Wilson joined the club in 2012, sporting the league’s second-best winning percentage at 77.5%.
Minnesota has not exactly been road warriors over that same span to offset Seattle’s home dominance either. The Vikings road record since 2012 ranks 22nd in the league. Minnesota hasn’t won a game in Seattle since 2006, a span of five meetings, including last season’s 37-30 loss and Seahawks cover of 2.5 points.
Seattle has beaten up on the Vikings in every place and every era. Russell’s team sports a perfect 6-0 record since 2012, and following their 1976 inception, the ‘Hawks hold a 12-5 head-to-head advantage.
Sure, matchups from the disco era don’t mean much, but this Vikings team played like the mediocre Minnesota group that closed out the swinging seventies. That team won 15 games through the ’78 and ’79 seasons combined, while the 2020 squad is on pace to win four games. Keep in mind these underachievers started this season with an over/under win total of nine games.
Minnesota’s schedule has been more challenging than Seattle’s relatively easy path to 4-0, but the Vikings have blown some winnable games this year. They opened the year a one-point home favorite against the team most thought they’d battle for the division in the Green Bay Packers. Well, the Packers stomped a 15-point second quarter Minnesota mudhole to lead early on their way to an easy win while hanging 43 on the Vikings. Week 2 brought a 17-point pounding in Indianapolis and to cap the 0-3 start, a blown third quarter 12-point lead hosting a terrible Titans defense.
Somebody had to have the edge in Week 4’s Loser Bowl between the winless Vikings and Texans, didn’t they? Well, Minnesota was able to scrape by after being down 17-16 late in the third.
The Vikings defense is almost as bad as Seattle’s league-worst defense, who gives up an insane 477 yards per game. In Minnesota’s defense of their defense (see what I did there), Seattle has coughed up those yards against a couple of terrible teams in Atlanta and Miami and mediocre at best teams in Dallas and New England. Allowing over 30 points per game and the fourth-most passing yards in the league could lead to things getting ugly quick facing Russell Wilson’s high-powered offense.
Minnesota hasn’t looked great on the offensive end either, floating around the middle of the pack in points scored and near the bottom third of the league in yards from scrimmage. One of the few bright spots is league-leading rusher Dalvin Cook with his 424 yards and NFL-best six scores on the ground. Unfortunately for fantasy-owners and those leaning toward Cook going over 74.5 rushing yards, Seattle’s lone defensive bright spot is their early-season ability to stop the run. Seattle has allowed just 44 yards per game to opposing running backs, second only to the Steelers defensive line.
This game has all the makings of a shootout. Both clubs are terrible at stopping the pass, and both clubs are terrible at pressuring the quarterback. Minnesota has just seven sacks while Seattle has six. They are both in the bottom seven of the league in yards lost due to sacks, and Minnesota ranks 30th with 15 quarterback hits.
Give me Russell Wilson and his league-best; record-breaking paced 136.7 quarterback rating over Kirk Cousins all day long. In a blow-for-blow high-scoring quarterback battle, take Russell’s league-best 407 yards and seven touchdowns on throws of 20+ air yards.
Cousins will have his chance to keep flinging the long ball and improve on his fifth-ranked deep throw attempts this season. The Vikings pivot could take advantage of a Seahawks secondary missing superstar safety Jamal Adams for a second-straight game but will have to deal with the likely return of starting corner Quinton Dunbar.
Seahawks cover alternate spread -6.5 (-120)
Over 56.5 total points scored (-115)
Seahawks over 32.5 points scored (-110)
Seahawks over first-quarter spread -1.5 (-118)
Seahawks winning margin 1-13 points (+130)
Russell Wilson over 310.5 passing yards (-113)
Kirk Cousins under 280.5 passing yards (-113)
Dalvin Cook under 74.5 rushing yards (-113)
Justin Jefferson over 4.5 receptions (-140)
Any touchdown scorer: DK Metcalf (-110)
Any touchdown scorer: Tyler Lockett (-125)
Quick Hit Trends
Vikings are 1-6 against the spread in their past seven games following a win.
Vikings are 0-4 against the spread in their past four meetings in Seattle.
Seahawks have covered in their last four games overall.
Seahawks are 6-1-1 against the spread in their past eight as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in the past six head-to-head meetings in Seattle.