SNF: Week 6 Rams-49ers Betting Preview
SNF: Week 6 Rams-49ers Betting Preview
The NFC West isn’t precisely shaping up like many thought it would. Sure, the Seahawks atop the division doesn’t surprise anyone but San Francisco in the basement and the Rams a game out of first wasn’t exactly how the Futures gurus predicted it. Many sharp gamblers saw a flip-flop position more likely for the Rams and 49ers, including yours truly—two things to consider before we jump into this one. The Rams have overachieved, and the injury bug has decimated the 49ers.
Let’s jump right into this one with all odds coming to you from our friends at FanDuel.
Defensive standout Nick Bosa going down with a torn ACL in Week 2 certainly hurt the defensive line. Ezekiel Ansah’s torn bicep didn’t help either. It was thought star cornerback Richard Sherman could return this week, but a setback will keep him shelved against a fierce division rival dating back to his Legion of Boom days in Seattle. Things have been much worse on the other side of the ball.
Of the starting six skill positions, only third receiver Kendrick Bourne has played every game this season. Wideouts Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, running back Raheem Mostert, Jimmy Garoppolo, and all-world tight end George Kittle have missed a combined 10 games during San Fran’s 2-3 start.
Despite the rash of injuries, the 49ers were still able to move the ball. Their 414 total yards per game are good enough for the fifth-ranked offense in the league.
While there are still some questions with the offensive line allowing the fourth-most sacks in the NFL, this is the healthiest the Niners offense has been all year.
Garoppolo had a full week as a full participant in practice, and the aforementioned offensive skill players will all suit up on Sunday night.
You’ve got to believe the NFC champs will be fired up in pretty much a must-win divisional game, looking for their first home victory following an embarrassing 26 point loss to mediocre Miami in San Francisco.
The defense has been the name of the game for the 2020 Rams. Los Angeles has limited four of its first five opponents under 20 points. A big reason for their success has been Aaron Donald.
Donald has been an absolute monster this year. The Rams defensive tackle has 17 tackles, 7.5 sacks, and has pressured the quarterback a ridiculous 33 times on the season. How ridiculous? Well, the entire Detroit Lions defense has just 43 quarterback pressures all year.
Donald is a huge reason the Rams are tied atop the NFL and lead the NFC with 20 sacks. Donald is also a huge reason why Jimmy G needs to be careful he doesn’t have his head separated from his body. The six-time Pro Bowl player has 11 career sacks against San Fran, and the Rams will undoubtedly be bringing the pressure against a struggling offensive line.
If Garoppolo can breathe a sigh of relief when going back to pass, it will be because starting safety Jordan Fuller is out after re-inuring his shoulder last week.
Of course, these teams are no strangers to each other, playing somewhat of a rubber match in the first meeting of 2020. LA swept the 2018 series while San Fran returned the favor last year, taking both regular-season meetings.
49ers cover alternate spread +3.5 (-140)
49ers outright win (+122)
49ers win by 1-6 points (+380)
Over 52 total points scored (-110)
George Kittle rushing or receiving touchdown (+130)
Jimmy Garoppolo throws an interception (-146)
Raheem Mostert over 72.5 rushing yards (-110)
Jared Goff over 269.5 passing yards (-110)
Quick Hit Trends
49ers are 5-1 against the spread in their past six as an underdog.
49ers are 0-4 against the spread in their past four games on grass.
Rams are 5-0-1 against the spread in their past six games on grass.
Rams are 3-0-1 against the spread in their past four vs. NFC West.
Under is 10-2 in Rams past 12 as a favorite.
Over is 5-0 in 49ers last five games following a straight loss.