Week 10 NFL Player Props
Week 10 NFL Player Props
Another 50-50 props payoff performance last week. As recommended, Josh Allen went well over 284.5 passing yards against a sorry Seahawks secondary. The Bills quarterback went Yahtzee to the tune of 415 yards through the air. Not only did the former seventh overall pick throw up his second-best quarterback rating of the season at 138.5 but also tied a season-high in passing yards in the Buffalo win.
The other side of the coin was not quite as successful. Even 70’s tennis great Jimmy Conners in a pair of short shorts might have had more success running the ball for the Steelers than James Conner did last week. The Erie, Pennsylvania native, was pretty much invisible with only nine attempts on the day, second-lowest in a game this season. Facing Dallas’s league-worst run defense, Conner’s 22 yards on the ground didn’t come close to the 79 he needed to give us a perfect 2-0 props play.
So, after all was said and done, Peter paid Paul in a props split. This week let’s try to keep Peter’s money in Peter’s pocket with props picks perfection in Week 10.
Buccaneers QB Tom Brady
Tom Brady is coming off his worst game of the season and one of the most terrible performances of his professional career. The former Patriot looked more like Steve DeBerg than Tom Brady in Week 9 against the Saints. Before the Bucs could say Bill Belichick, they were down 14 in the first quarter. Before Tampa Bay could say Gisele Bündchen, they were down 31-0 at the half, had punted four times, turned it over on downs, and thrown a pair of picks. By the time the smoke cleared, the Bucs pivot had tossed his third interception, and Tampa Bay was embarrassed 38-3 in a game for the division lead. Brady’s 40.4 QB rating was the third-lowest in a game in his NFL career. The thing about the future Hall of Famer, he rarely follows a dud with a dud.
A week after a 150 passing yard performance against Buffalo last year, Brady followed it up with a three-touchdown, 348-yard masterpiece over Washington. Seven days after a December 2018 stinker, Brady bounced back to burn the Jets to the tune of four touchdown passes. Three years ago, the entire planet was saying Brady should hang them up after a rough season opener against the Chiefs. Ten days later, T12 torched the Saints for 447 yards. Facing the Chiefs again, this time in Week 4 of 2014, a big loss and a 159-yard disappointment of a game for Brady. Fast forward to Week 5, and the then Patriots pivot goes off for nearly 300 yards in a blowout of the Bengals. Notice a trend developing?
You can bet the California native is going be up for this one, a second-straight divisional clash. Brady will look to complete the season sweep after getting the Bucs first win of the season in Week 2 over the Panthers.
Carolina’s allowed the 20th most passing yards, and their five interceptions on the season are near the bottom of the league. The Panthers are No. 30 in the NFL with just ten sacks on the year, which means Brady should have plenty of time to sit back and find one of his many weapons for big yardage.
Expect a big bounce-back performance from Brady.
The Pick: Over 286.5 passing yards (-110)
Steelers TE Eric Ebron
Few teams have been worse defending the tight end position than the Bengals this season. Cincinnati is giving up 5.75 catches per game to tight ends, fifth-worst in the league. The middle of the field, being a soft spot for the Bengals secondary, is no longer a secret around the NFL. Tight ends this season are targeted more against Cincinnati than any other team in the league. Along with allowing 8.75 targets per game, the Bengals give up a league-worst 68.1 yards each week to TEs.
Cincy’s bad pass defense hasn’t just been relegated to one position; they’ve been an equal opportunity substandard secondary. Their 27.8 receptions allowed per game is worst in the NFL and goes well with their 25th ranked status in receiving yards allowed.
Eric Ebron hasn’t been exactly setting the world on fire, but he has been a regular target for Ben Roethlisberger. The former first-round pick has been targeted at least six times in four games this year, including a season-high eight looks and six catches a few weeks ago against Tennesse.
Take away his ugly one catch performance in Week 1 against the Giants, and the 27-year-old is averaging four receptions a game. Ebron has been on the Steelers play call radar throughout the year and has three games of five catches or more in 2020.
The Pick: Over 3.5 receptions (-128)
Here’s to a perfect week, and remember, for all your potential prop plays, make sure you visit our good friends at FanDuel for the latest and greatest odds. Happy wagering.