Week 12 College Football Opening Odds Analysis
Week 12 College Football Opening Odds Analysis
We’re almost at Thanksgiving, and that means heading into Week 12 for the college football season this Saturday! How time has flown! As we near the end of the college football season, the stakes get higher, and matchups mean more as races for conference titles get closer. FanDuel luckily has some odds posted on matchups for this weekend’s college football madness that I’ve highlighted below:
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-7.5), O/U 59.5
The interstate battle in the SOONER state brings us to Norman, Oklahoma on Saturday for “BEDLAM.” This game features everything: An offensive genius calling plays, Mike Gundy’s mullet, and copious amounts of plays called, both teams play at lightning speeds. Both teams are at the top of the Big 12 with five wins each.
First, Mike Gundy and the 14th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys. Mike Gundy, best known for exclaiming to the world that “I’M A MAN! I’M 40!” during a press conference, brings an always dangerous Cowboys offense, helmed by star running back Chubba Hubbard and wide receiver Tylan Wallace. What’s surprising here, though, is that the Cowboys have the 15th-ranked scoring defense in college football. I bet you didn’t think you’d read that about a Big 12 team, now did you? Still, Gundy is 2-13 against the Sooners in his head coaching career.
On the flip side, the hottest coaching candidate in the country for the NFL, Lincoln Reilly (who has so far rebuffed the NFL’s interest in hiring him), brings his 18th-ranked Sooners ready to play. After a beginning to the season that could only be described as disappointing, the Sooners have won and covered the number against their last four opponents, winning games by 15+ points in each. They are rolling with quarterback Spencer Rattler finding his groove and the offense clicking.
USC at Utah (+2.5) O/U 57.5
Head Coach Clay Helton has his 20th-ranked Trojans going to face a wild card: the Utes haven’t played a game yet this season because of COVID outbreaks. They have had two games canceled already.
It took a last-minute score for the Trojans to beat a 17-point underdog Arizona team last week. The Trojans should bounce back and start strong in this game because historically, Utah has always played them tough. Quarterback Kedon Slovis helms an offense with weapons such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Tyler Vaughns for USC and they’re putting up big numbers: Slovis leads the nation in completions and is top-10 in passing yardage.
Utah coach Kyle Whittingham is as reliable as one can get in the Pac-12. The 60-year-old has been at the helm since Urban Meyer left 15+ years ago, and what he has to show for it is loads of consistency at high levels, as the Utes are the defending Pac-12 champions. Texas transfer Cam Rising leads an offense that is in transition, needing to replace their bell-cow running back, current Buffalo Bills running back Zack Moss, but they should be up to the challenge here in their first game of the season against a rival that they should be able to hang with (the Utes have won 3 straight at home against USC.)
Tennessee at Auburn (-10.5), O/U 49.5
It just wouldn’t feel like we’ve covered everything for this week if we didn’t make a stop in the reigning powerhouse of college football, the Southeastern Conference. Tennessee head coach Jeremy Pruitt is still looking to turn the Vol’s season around with the team sitting at 2-4. Auburn is 4-2 and, as usual, quietly flies under the radar as the #21-ranked team in the nation.
Tennessee has had a brutal stretch of games after a promising 2-0 start: their last four games have all been losses to Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas, and Kentucky. Pruitt will look to right the ship here, but the Vols will have their work cut out for them with their quarterback Jarrett Guarantano possibly missing the contest. The Vols also have another reason to really be motivated here: A win here would have them at 3-4, and they play perennial SEC cupcake Vanderbilt next week. To win would likely have them at .500 again and bowl-eligible.
The Auburn Tigers, again, are a top-25 team that is as consistent as they come, even if “Roll Tide” is more widely quoted than “War Eagle.” That said, they still haven’t played a game since Halloween due to COVID concerns amongst their games and opponents, but they appear to be playing at a higher level than Tennessee. The Tigers just thumped defending national champions LSU 48-11 in their last game, and quarterback Bo Nix and head coach Gus Malzahn have been in the national spotlight seemingly forever. We should have a battle on our hands down in Alabama!