Week 4 NFL Player Props
Despite COVID-19 taking a few potential wagers off the board, there are still plenty of interesting props to look at in Week 4. Head over to FanDuel for these and many more odds to play this weekend.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott
Expect yet another shootout worthy of Billy the Kid in Dallas this weekend. The Cowboys have put up a bunch of points and yards so far this season, and the biggest reason is the play of their quarterback.
Dak Prescott has put his team on his back and become a straight-up gunslinger this year. The Cowboys’ pivot leads the league with 96 completions, 143 attempts, and 1,188 passing yards.
Being back on home soil should be a good thing for Prescott. The Cowboys quarterback has a career quarterback rating of 101.5 in Dallas compared to 93.0 on the road and is averaging almost 20 more passing yards per game playing in the friendly confines.
Don’t let the Browns 2-1 record fool you. They are still most definitely the Browns. Cleveland’s wins have come at home, barely getting by Joe Burrows’ Bengals and by handing Washington its second loss of the season. Not exactly top-tier competition.
Cleveland has been less than inspiring on the ball’s defensive side, allowing almost 30 points per game. The Browns have been especially susceptible to getting burned in the air. Despite facing a rookie quarterback in Burrow and a guy lucky to have a job in Dwayne Haskins Jr., Cleveland has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game, ranking 22nd in the league this season.
The Pick: Over 317.5 passing yards (-110)
Dolphins WR DeVante Parker
Miami is by no stretch of the imagination an offensive force, but Seattle’s secondary makes the aforementioned Browns pass defense look like the Legion of Boom.
The Seahawks are allowing an insane 430.7 passing yards per game. Not only is that worst in the NFL this season, but by over 80 pass yards per game. The 1,292 pass yards allowed are more than any team through three weeks in league history.
No surprise, they are giving up a lot of points, 86 to be exact, although it hasn’t affected them in the standings. The Seahawks have allowed the third-most points in league history for a 3-0 team.
It doesn’t look like things are going to get any better this week. Jamal Adams, the team’s big offseason acquisition in a trade with the New York Jets, sustained a groin injury, and the superstar safety will miss this game. In fact, the entire secondary is either banged up or out against the Dolphins.
The one thing Seattle’s defense can hang their hat on is stopping the run. The Seahawks have allowed under 67 yards per game, second-best in the league. Part of their success is the Seahawks have jumped out to big leads forcing their opponents to abandon the run and play catch-up through the air. Seattle has held the advantage in every game going into the fourth quarter this season.
Despite their defensive issues, the Seahawks can score, and nothing suggests they can’t jump out to a big lead against a very average Miami team. Playing behind against a decimated secondary should encourage the Dolphins to throw the ball. Starting running back Myles Gaskin rushing for just 152 yards this year facing such a stingy run defense doesn’t hurt either.
The not so fleet of foot 38-year-old Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t have to worry about his limited mobility too much as Seattle only has five sacks on the year, seventh-worst in the league. All signs point to “The Beard,” letting things get hairy through the air.
Fitzpatrick’s favorite target and best option is DeVante Parker. The 2015 first-round pick led the Dolphins with 1,202 receiving yards in 2019 and is due for his first breakout game of this season. Parker’s been a little slow out of the gates averaging just 56 yards so far, but a home game against the league’s worst defense should be just what he needs to get going.
The Pick: Over 61.5 receiving yards (-112)