Week 6 NFL Player Props
Week 6 NFL Player Props
Teddy Bridgewater Under 263.5 Passing Yards (-110)
After starting the 2020 season at 0-2, the Carolina Panthers have ripped off three straight victories with Teddy Bridgewater at the helm. That streak has come against all opponents ranking in the bottom half of pass defense DVOA, and this week they face the No. 6 pass defense unit in the Chicago Bears.
Since Matthew Stafford tossed for 297 yards on them in Week 1, no opposing quarterback has reached this number against the Bears, with two of the four failing to clear 200 yards. Matt Rhule has done a great job of game-planning in his first year at the helm for the Panthers, and I expect him to know the way to attack this defense is on the ground and not through the air.
Will Fuller Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
While the Tennessee Titans are rightfully flying high, sitting atop the AFC South at 4-0, their secondary remains susceptible to large receiving numbers. Stefon Diggs went for a robust 10-106 line against them this past Tuesday night, and before their extended COVID-induced bye, they were hit for 7-175 by Justin Jefferson in Week 3. So long as we don’t have Fuller pull up with a lame hammy like he tends to do too often, we should expect him to clear this receiving prop number and then some.
Jonathan Taylor Over 83.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Phillip Rivers’ shortcomings this season with the Indianapolis Colts have been well documented and on front row display the past few weeks. Frank Reich is too sharp of a coach to continue to let Rivers’ poor decision making be the reason they lose, so we should look to capitalize on Jonathan Taylor’s rushing total prop in Week 6.
Defensive DVOA numbers will tell the tale of a surprisingly strong passing defense in Cincinnati but a rushing front that their opponents gashed to the tune of 159 yards per game (30th in the league). With Marlon Mack out for the season and Nyheim Hines specializing in a passing role, Taylor should get all the work he can handle on Sunday afternoon.
*LONGSHOT PROP PARLAY*
Will Fuller to have 100+ yards receiving and the Texans to win the game (+800)
You can read my thoughts on Fuller above, and a high receiving total for him should correlate well with the Texans winning outright. The Titans may be 4-0, but the Texans have always been a tough divisional opponent for them. If you are still a believer in Deshaun Watson being an elite quarterback, we should feel good about him facing a team he is 3-1 against in his young career. Bill O’Brien seems to be addition by subtraction, and the time to capitalize on them as an underdog on the moneyline is right now.