Our Model’s Favorite Week 2 NFL Player Props
Entering Week 2 of the 2020 season, there’s a little more clarity on what to expect moving forward in the NFL. There’s due to be some regression and breakouts in the second week, though, now that teams have what could be looked at as a glorified preseason game under their belts.
SportsGrid’s player prop betting model has highlighted some potential value bets for Week 2, so without any further ado…
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott
After an average performance in Week 1 against the Rams, Dak Prescott, and the Cowboys get a matchup that is just what the doctor ordered to get their offense going: a home game against the Atlanta Falcons. FanDuel has Prescott’s over/under for passing yards at 296.50, but SportsGrid’s model projects him for 320.56.
Atlanta struggled in pass defense in Week 1, with Russell Wilson going 31 for 35 for 322 yards and four touchdowns. The Falcons’ offense enabled the Seahawks to keep throwing, as Matt Ryan kept the pressure on Seattle by throwing for 450 yards with three wide receivers, each gaining over 100 yards. It’s reasonable to expect a similar kind of shootout involving the Falcons in Week 2.
With a game under their belt this season and three extremely talented receivers at his disposal, it’s fair to expect Prescott will come out slinging on Sunday at AT&T Stadium.
The Pick: Dak Over 296.5 Passing Yards
Eagles RB Miles Sanders
The Eagles played it safe with Miles Sanders in Week 1, and their inability to run the ball proved costly. Philadelphia decided to sit Sanders to preserve him for the long haul, but chances there will be a long haul will decrease if the Eagles start 0-2.
Sanders’ prop on FanDuel for combined rushing and receiving yards in 76.50, but the SportsGrid model projects him at 97.53.
Last season, including the playoffs, Sanders had at least 15 touches in eight games and surpassed 76.50 total yards in seven of those. Cowboys running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard were very effective against the Rams in Week 1. Elliott has 127 total yards, while Pollard gained 32 yards on four total touches.
The Eagles didn’t sit Sanders last week not to feed him, especially facing a potential two-game skid to start the season.
The Pick: Sanders Over 76.50 Total Yards
Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf
D.K. Metcalf’s over/under for receiving yards against the Patriots this week is 51.50 on FanDuel. SportsGrid’s model projects him at 64.19 yards, making him a strong play for Week 2.
Metcalf has gained at least 59 yards in each of his last four games, including two playoff games, averaging 98.75 yards per content with three touchdowns. There’s a reason for optimism that he’s going to break out in his second season in Seattle, and that could continue even against a stout Patriots defense.
In Week 1, Miami’s top receivers – Devante Parker and Preston Williams – each gained at least 40 yards but couldn’t crack 50. Expect a more competent offense to be more effective against New England, with Metcalf leading the way for Seattle.
The Pick: Metcalf Over 51.50 Receiving Yards
Titans WR Corey Davis
While Corey Davis has been a fantasy disappointment throughout his first two seasons in Tennessee, he has a golden opportunity to gain even more momentum in 2020 with a matchup against the Jaguars.
Davis’ over/under against the Jaguars this week is 50.50 receiving yards. SportsGrid has him projected for 60.31.
With A.J. Brown registering 39 receiving yards in the Titans’ Week 1 win in Denver, Davis stood out with 101. Brown will not play in Week 2 due to a knee injury, so Davis can further stand out.
While Jacksonville did get the Week 1 upset over the Colts, Philip Rivers still threw for 363 yards. Davis is going to be the top option for Ryan Tannehill on the outside in a home matchup against Jacksonville, so Davis rightfully provides good value to hit the over.
The Pick: Davis Over 50.50 Receiving Yards