Week 9 NFL Player Props
Week 9 NFL Player Props
Coming off a Week 8 where Derrick Henry paid off, and Patrick Mahomes did not let’s look for a perfect 2-0 Week 9. As always, these and all your NFL odds come to you from our good friends at FanDuel.
Steelers RB James Conner
On the heels of Henry paying off on the predicted over, let’s keep the ball rolling with another running back going up against a horrible run defense.
How horrible, you ask? The most horrible, the high chief of horrible, head honcho horrible. You get the idea.
The Cowboys have been pretty bad at everything this year and stopping the run tops the list. Dallas is allowing a league-worst 170.9 rushing yards per game. Their 5.1 yards per carry allowed is worst in the NFC, and their defense has struggled all year long.
Pittsburgh is a 14.5 point favorite, and if Dallas has taught us anything this year, it’s they have a bad habit of getting behind early and getting behind big. While Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers have plenty of weapons through the air, expect a healthy dose of James Conner on the ground once they jump out to the inevitable big lead.
The Steelers back has been solid most of the season. If you take away his terrible Week 1 performance where he ran for just nine yards against the Giants, Conner is averaging 81.5 yards per game this year. The former Pitt Panther has three games of 100 or more rushing yards this season, with two of those performances coming against run defenses in the bottom half of the league.
The Pick: Over 78.5 rushing yards (-110)
Bills QB Josh Allen
Is there a better team for a quarterback to get back on track against other than Seattle?
Josh Allen will have a chance to answer that question when his 6-2 Bills host the 6-1 Seahawks. Allen came firing out of the gates this season, putting up MVP numbers thru his first three games. The former seventh overall pick passed for over 1,000 yards during a 3-0 start, including a 400 plus yard game against AFC East rivals Miami.
The Bills’ pivot has five games of over 280 yards passing this season and has really only had two duds on his record in 2020. Allen’s season-worst 122-yard game came against Kansas City’s No. 3 ranked pass defense, while his 154-yard performance came in last week’s tight win over the Patriots and their No. 8 ranked secondary. Seattle’s pass defense is on the other end of the spectrum.
The Seahawks are giving up a league-worst 358.7 passing yards per game, almost 60 yards more than the Falcons and their 31st ranked pass defense.
Nick Mullens, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Cam Newton aren’t exactly Hall of Fame arms, yet these quarterbacks are partially responsible for putting Seattle’s pass defense in the basement.
On the flip side, Seattle has surprisingly been pretty good against the run, especially against quarterbacks. The Seahawks have given up just 192 yards on the ground to opposing quarterbacks, good enough for a No. 5 league ranking. Overall, Seattle ranks ninth against the run, and its 3.9 yards per carry allowed is fifth-best in the NFL.
Allen ran for over 1,100 yards in his first two seasons, so he’s no stranger to tucking the ball away and using his feet. Facing a defense so bad against the pass and so good against the run, Allen may think twice about handing the ball off or calling his own number in favor of attacking thru the air.
The Pick: Over 284.5 passing yards (-110)