Texans vs Cowboys MNF Week 11 Picks | NFL Same Game Parlay
Ben DiGiacomo
Host · Writer
A battle for the Lone Star State will ensue tonight as the Dallas Cowboys will host the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football, so we worked up an ultimate same-game parlay for the action.
Valued at +1400, let’s ride!
Leg 1: Texans -2.5
The Texans enter tonight on a skid, losing three of their last four, but whatever skid the Texans may be on, the Cowboys are on one ten times worse. Dallas has lost four straight games heading into tonight, and it’s apparent they have just given up. With no Dak Prescott, it was evident last week that Cooper Rush can’t do anything, and the rest of the roster has responded accordingly. At least for Houston, there are many reasons to be optimistic about a potential rebound, namely the return of Nico Collins. The Texans are seven-point favorites for a reason, so we’ll tease them down to -2.5 to get a field-goal cushion.
Legs 2, 3, & 4: Joe Mixon Anytime TD, 70+ Rushing Yards, 2+ Receptions
Joe Mixon is the machine that gets this Texans’ offense rolling, so we’ll spend three legs on him in our parlay. First, we’ll look for him to find the endzone, which he’s done in every game this season where he hasn’t gotten hurt. We’ll also look for him to run for at least 70 yards, which he’s done in five of six healthy games, and we have no faith in the Cowboys’ run defense. Should Mixon see his usual 20-carry workload, getting to the 70-yard mark should be without question. Lastly, we’ll pin him to get us two catches, as he’s done in six of seven games this season. We’re asking a lot from Mixon, but he’s been up to big workloads week in and week out this season. He’s earned our trust!
Leg 5: Nico Collins 5+ Receptions
CJ Stroud has looked off since Nico Collins hit the IR, but we expect Stroud to target him early and often tonight with him back on the field. In the first four weeks of the season, Collins averaged nearly 11 targets per game before getting injured, so even with that type of volume, we will take our chances for him to make five grabs.
Leg 6: Dalton Schultz 25+ Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz has been underwhelming this season compared to his 2023 production, but he’s still surpassed the 25-yard mark in six of his last seven games, and tonight gets a little bit of revenge, having been a Cowboy who never got the contract extension he sought. We don’t need him to go ballistic, but he can undoubtedly record four catches for about 30-35 yards.
Leg 7: CeeDee Lamb 5+ Receptions
There is no reason to trust the Cowboys’ offense to move the ball consistently tonight, but if they were to have any hope, CeeDee Lamb would need to perform miracles. Last week, with Cooper Rush as his quarterback, Lamb still caught six passes but went for just 21 yards. We don’t want to touch his yardage prop knowing that, so we’ll look for him to record five receptions for us.
Leg 8: Rico Dowdle 2+ Receptions
The Texans’ defensive front should have its way with the Cowboys’ offensive line, so I expect Rush to be forced to throw a couple of checkdowns to Rico Dowdle, who has combined for 13 receptions across the last three weeks. We need two catches from him tonight, and he should see enough volume to make it happen. Let’s ride!
All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
