NFL Week 2 Opening Odds Analysis
Let’s take a look at a few games that are sure to draw bettors attention for Week 2. We will just be discussing the matchups. If you are looking for more concrete predictions and projections, check back throughout the week for our game picks.
All odds are courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Odds: Bills -6, over/under 42
The Buffalo Bills looked excellent in Week 1 against the New York Jets. They will get another divisional foe in Week 2 and will be looking to start the season 2-0. Buffalo is the favorite to win the AFC East, but with New England winning their Week 1 contest (against this same Miami team) the Bills are sure to feel the pressure to win this game convincingly.
The Miami Dolphins had some troubles in Week 1. They do not have the front seven to deal with designed runs from a quarterback with the size of Cam Newton. Christian Wilkins will develop into a Pro Bowl-caliber player, and second-round pick Raekwon Davis could become a force at defensive tackle beside him. Still, the rest of the front could use some upgrades (although they are improved from 2019).
Miami’s offense predictably struggled against New England in Week 1, and have another tough test on deck in Week 2. Head coach Brian Flores did well to keep prized rookie Tua Tagovailoa from opening the season as the starter and facing what would likely have been a confidence shaking two-game stretch.
The Bills at -6 seems large, but given how good their offense looked in Week 1, it makes sense. With that being said, Miami may have an even better secondary than the Patriots, so the Bills may choose to focus on a run-heavy gameplan. The Bills are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 road contests. Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests overall.
The 42 over/under is certain to see some movement as the week progresses, possibly even before the conclusion of Monday Night Football. The under is 6-1 in the Bills last seven contests overall. However, the over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four home contests. Something has to give here, and this will be one of the more interesting totals to monitor throughout the week.
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Odds: Ravens -6.5, over/under 52.5
The Baltimore Ravens are sure to continue to generate bettor intrigue due to their covering the spread in nine of their last 11 contests. They looked strong in Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns, exceeding their team total by 8.5 points. The offense looked explosive, but there were some hiccups, suggesting that despite 38 points scored that they are not as good as they very well could be when they hit their midseason stride. As expected, the defense showed shades of dominance.
The Houston Texans open the season with the AFC’s version of the Murderers’ Row. Week 1 saw them face, and get hammered by the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football. If the defending champions were not bad enough, Week 2 would give them the team with the NFL’s best record in 2019. The Houston Texans had some bright spots in the season opener, but it is clear that the new-look offense still needs time to gel.
Baltimore has been on a dominant tear dating back to last season, and are 5-0 against the spread in their last five road contests. This starkly contrasts with the Texans ATS record at NRG Stadium, which is 3-7 in their last seven home contests. The -6.5 point spread at FanDuel could very well see some movement throughout the week, especially with FanDuel being one of the most responsive books out there.
The 52.5 point over/under is also sure to see some movement leading up to kickoff on Sunday. While the casual fan may think of these two teams as being ones to lean towards the over on, the recent trend data suggests that may not be the most prudent course of action. The under 4-1 in Ravens last five contests, while the under is in the Texans last 13 home contests. Interesting trends to consider, to be sure.
The last meeting between these two teams was expected to be a shootout. Instead, we got the Ravens dominating. Baltimore won 41-7, decimating Houston on all levels of their defense. The Ravens covered the spread in that contest, making the home team 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams.
New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
Odds: Seahawks -4, over/under 44.5
Sunday Night Football is always one of the more popular games action-wise. When two powerhouse brands like the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks are involved, Vegas is likely to see a higher wager volume than normal. Sunday Night Football is often where those who got hit chase their losses, or where those who are up big try to extend their net profit for the day.
New England looked good in the start of the Cam Newton era. The passing game was efficient, quick, and deliberate. Josh McDaniels and Bill Belichick were not afraid to allow Cam to be Cam, dialing up run plays from the huddle. While the performance will not blow anyone out of the water, it did leave room for optimism that the Patriots will indeed be in the mix to win the AFC East.
In Week 1 against the Atlanta Falcons, Seattle looked downright explosive but will have a much tougher test against a much better defensive team in the New England Patriots. Atlanta may have more top-end players on defense, but New England has Stephon Gilmore and is a much better defensive unit from weekly game planning, to synergy, to coaching. However, stopping Russell Wilson and his host of weapons is always a challenge for any team. More often than not, it is the Seahawks’ own mistakes that do them in.
This contest’s spread is very interesting for a Seahawks home game but makes more sense when one considers their margin of victory issues dating back to last season. Seattle at -4 could very well see some movement, but recent trends do not give us any indication as to which way it may move. The Patriots are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven contests overall. Seattle has been poor as well, going 2-7 ATS in their last nine home contests.
The over/under at 44.5 is also sure to see some movement. While we have to go back to 2016 for head-to-head data, the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. Individually, the over is 6-2 in the Patriots last eight contests as an underdog. The under is 5-2 in the Seahawks last seven September contests.
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys
Odds: Cowboys -6.5, over/under 50.5
Any game involving the Dallas Cowboys is sure to generate some of the most bettor interest of any given week. With their opponents being the Atlanta Falcons in Week 2, it would be surprising if any contest outside of the primetime games saw a higher overall handle or volume.
The Atlanta Falcons showed some promise in Week 1 against the Seattle Seahawks. In fact, despite the rather embarrassing loss, the Falcons showed enough to make one believe that they will indeed be a playoff team with the expanded postseason now in effect. They will have problems with the Cowboys three deep near-elite receivers, but better times should be ahead for Atlanta.
The Dallas Cowboys fought hard in Week 1 but ended up dropping a heartbreaker to the Los Angeles Rams. There were no moral victories to be had as the Cowboys suffered some devastating injuries. Most notably, they saw defensive star Leighton Vander Esch go down with a broken collarbone. He will be placed on injured reserve as he undergoes surgery. Blake Jarwin also suffered an injury feared to be a torn ACL. The Cowboys have no meaningful cover at the position and will be exploring both the free agent and trade markets in the coming days.
This will be an interesting contest between two powerhouse offenses. Expected to be a shootout, it will be interesting to monitor which way sharp money moves the total. The over is 5-2 in Atlanta’s last seven road contests. The over has also been strong at AT&T Stadium, where the over is 9-4 in the Cowboys last 13 home contests.
The -6.5 point spread is also destined to see some movement if for no other reason than the volume expected to come in on this contest. Atlanta is 4-0 ATS in their last four road contests and will be looking to make it five in a row against the Cowboys. Dallas has been strong against the spread in Week 2 of recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS over the last seven seasons.
Be sure to check out the rest of Week 2’s NFL lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.