Week 8 NFL Player Props
Week 8 NFL Player Props
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes
The Chiefs could be the best team in football while the Jets are almost certainly the worst. A tale of two teams at the opposite end of the spectrum has produced one of the biggest spreads in the past 45 years. Kansas City opened as high as a 21.5 favorite over a hapless New York squad. The largest line of the 2020 season has dropped down to 19.5 but still has blowout written all over it. Blowouts aren’t always friendly to the QB doing to damage, at least not for four quarters. If, sorry — when the Chiefs jump out to a big early lead, expect a healthy dose of Le’Veon Bell and Clyde Edwards-Helaire on the ground.
The rookie running back is coming off his best game as a pro two weeks ago against Buffalo. Edwards-Helaire rumbled for a career-best 161 yards at a 6.2 yards per carry clip.
In his second game as a Chief, Bell should improve on his six attempts for 39 yards from last week’s team debut. The addition of Bell improves an already strong ground game and gives the Chiefs a very difficult dynamic duo to plan for.
New York’s 20th-ranked run defense has allowed over 125 rushing yards per game. The Jets have also been bitten by the big play on the ground allowing an 80-yard run this season. Only the Houston Texans have allowed a longer rushing play.
In last week’s 43-16 blowout of the Broncos, Mahomes passed for just 200 yards on 23 attempts. With a massive lead in the fourth, Andy Reid decided to rest his star quarterback and throw in Chad Henne to take snaps. Another quick lead could see Mahomes take a sit well before the final whistle.
Mahomes is averaging just over 271 passing yards per game while the Jets are giving up 254, so the prop number seems a bit high.
The Pick: Under 272.5 passing yards (-110)
Titans RB Derrick Henry
As expected, the defending NFL rushing champion has been rumbling and stumbling his way to a fantastic 2020 first half. Derrick Henry leads the league in attempts, rushing yards, and first downs. The punishing back has also busted off the longest run this season with a 94-yard touchdown. Henry’s 110.5 rush yards per game bests second-place rusher, Dalvin Cook, by almost 13 yards.
The Titans get a tasty Week 8 matchup with a team struggling to stop the run this season. Cincinnati’s 936 rushing yards are sixth-most in the league, and its defense ranks 28th against opposing running backs.
The Bengals nine runs allowed of 20 yards or more is tied for the most given up this season.
It hasn’t exactly been a murderers row of backs the Bengals have faced this year either. Cincinnati has faced just two top-ten running backs in its first seven games this year.
Don’t let Tennesse’s 5-1 record fool you. Aside from their blowout win over Buffalo, every Titans game this season has been tight. Their first three wins of the season came by a combined margin of seven points against mediocre teams Denver, Jacksonville, and Minnesota. In Week 6, it took a Henry rushing touchdown in overtime to push Tennesse past a terrible Texans squad. Last week they couldn’t complete the comeback against Pittsburgh in a 27-24 loss for their first defeat of the season.
The point being is this game will be much tighter than the seven-point spread, and the home team Bengals should hang around with a very Jekyll and Hyde Titans’ squad. Don’t expect the Titans to abandon the run or be satisfied by avoiding the ground game in this one.
The Pick: Over 107.5 rushing yards (-110)