SportsGrid Contributor Just Baseball

Braves vs Giants: Previews & Predictions for Tonight’s Game

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Florida State Seminoles
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	<li>Record: 41-14 (17-10)</li>
	<li>RPI: 9</li>
	<li>SOS: 23</li>
</ul>
Oregon State Beavers
<ul class="wp-block-list">
	<li>Record: 45-13-1</li>
	<li>RPI: 8</li>
	<li>SOS: 39</li>
</ul>
Thanks to <a href="https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb-draft/2025-ncaa-super-regional-preview-west-virginia-lsu/">Just Baseball</a> for the stats, analysis, and insights for this slideshow article

Series Overview: Florida State vs Oregon State

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Florida State boasts one of the top starting rotations in college baseball, led by left-hander Jamie Arnold, a projected top pick in the 2025 MLB Draft. Arnold holds a 3.12 ERA over 78 innings with 110 strikeouts and a .206 opponent batting average. He’s joined by fellow lefty Joey Volini (3.68 ERA, 97 K in 80 2/3 IP) and Wes Mendes (4.66 ERA, 90 K in 77 1/3 IP), forming a dominant trio. However, the bullpen remains a concern, with most high-usage relievers posting ERAs above the team average of 4.63, often struggling to close out games. Offensively, the Seminoles are loaded. Six of seven regulars are batting over .300, and four have 15+ homers. ACC Player of the Year Alex Lodise is the star, hitting .405 with 18 homers and 67 RBI. Texas Tech transfer Gage Harrelson and power-hitting freshman Myles Bailey (17 HR) round out an elite lineup capable of scoring against anyone.
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Florida State Seminoles

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Oregon State enters this matchup with several key advantages. The Beavers are dominant at home, especially in the postseason, and Corvallis presents a unique challenge, especially for a Florida State team traveling cross-country. Additionally, Seminoles head coach Link Jarrett will miss Game 1 after a regional ejection, potentially impacting in-game decision-making. Offensively, Oregon State counters Florida State’s left-handed pitching with a lineup stacked with right-handed bats. Shortstop Aiva Arquette, the No. 5 draft prospect, leads the team with a 1.138 OPS, 18 homers, and 65 RBI. Gavin Turley matches that power, while Trent Caraway has caught fire with four home runs in the regional. The Beavers’ pitching is deep and flexible, with standout freshman Dax Whitney posting 101 strikeouts and a 3.78 ERA, and ace Ethan Kleinschmit holding opponents to a .203 average. With multiple quality arms and a red-hot lineup, Oregon State looks like a complete, balanced team built for a deep run.

Oregon State Beavers

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Oregon State’s balance, dominant 21–3 home record, and deeper pitching staff give them the edge over Florida State. Despite lacking conference play, the Beavers excelled against top-tier opponents and led in key metrics like ERA, WHIP, and wRC+. In Corvallis, they shouldn’t be underdogs, and there’s clear value backing them.
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Prediction

D1Baseball Super Regional Preview: Florida State vs Oregon State

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The Oregon State Beavers’ dominant regional run sets the stage for a thrilling showdown against Florida State’s powerhouse pitching and explosive offense.

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