Braxton Ashcraft's Potential Breakout Year Explained

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Braxton Ashcraft: A Potential Breakout Star for the Pirates

Braxton Ashcraft is looking to be a breakout candidate in the upcoming season after showing notable promise last year with the Pirates. Despite facing stiff competition within the team's rotation, which includes Paul Skenes, Bubba Chandler, and the returning Jerrett Jones, Ashcraft's skills suggest he could surpass expectations. His ability to utilize a diverse arsenal, including a four-seamer, a sinker, a changeup, a cutter, and a curveball, makes him a formidable pitcher on the mound.

Last season, Ashcraft demonstrated his potential in various roles, ranging from the bullpen to starter, culminating in a 2.71 ERA over 69 and 2/3 innings. His performance was particularly impressive considering he managed to maintain good health throughout the season, an area he had struggled with in previous years. Ashcraft's pitch mix and execution, characterized by above-average ground ball rates and a capacity to avoid barrels — his barrel rate was a low 4.6%, placing him in the 94th percentile — highlight his ability to keep hitters off balance. This ability is exemplified by his cutter, registering low 90s, which appears to be an effective pitch in his repertoire.

Looking at the broader picture, the Pirates’ rotation promises to be highly competitive. With talents like Mitch Keller presumably holding the number two spot, and potential adjustments when Jarrett Jones is back in play, Ashcraft's role could be crucial in determining the overall efficacy and ranking of the Pirates' rotation in Major League Baseball. Projecting a mid to high three ERA over a full season as a starter, Ashcraft’s continued development and health could elevate the Pirates’ rotation into the top ranks of the league.

The discussion around Ashcraft not only underscores his individual capabilities but also adds an exciting layer to the dynamics within the Pirates’ pitching staff heading into the season. His progression from a swingman role to potentially a more central figure in the rotation speaks volumes about his growth and the trust placed in his shoulders.