Name: NBA Wednesday Preview: Best Bets & Predictions w/ Brad Thomas
Uploaded: 2025-12-10T18:22:30-05:00
Duration: 10 min 45 s
Description: Exploring the Oklahoma City Thunder's quest for NBA records and examining the Phoenix Suns' struggles due to injuries. Brad Thomas previews tonight's slate.

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Exploring the Oklahoma City Thunder's quest for NBA records and examining the Phoenix Suns' struggles due to injuries. Brad Thomas previews tonight's slate.

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NBA Wednesday Preview: Best Bets & Predictions w/ Brad Thomas

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Uh, OK, so tonight. We're back at this chase for like 75 wins or something like that for the Oklahoma City Thunder. I mean, first, we gotta look at the spread here. 14.5 against Phoenix, total of 255.5. They've been the very best team in the NBA and I do wanna go through some of their props in terms of wins in just a minute, but first, let's get your opinion on this game. Catch me up with where things stand back to backs and all that such. I know Phoenix has been up and down a little this year too. Yeah, Phoenix has been up and down, but I think they've been criminally underrated. If you could tell from their uh 15-8-1 uh against the spreading numbers, they're typically rated a little bit lower than Vegas thinks. This is a team that's battled some injuries, but still has fought through it, right? Devin Booker not playing, Jalen Green not playing, uh, Isaiah Livers even out. Booker's questionable for this game, which kind of scares me, but Even like if you just think about the Suns team, they're, I think they're defying a lot of uh the metrics, right? And when you have a player as elite as Devin Booker, he can kind of mask some of their inefficiencies, right? 12th in offensive and 12th in defensive rating. Um, they give up too many points to, uh, to the guard positions, and they're not strong enough in the paint, in my, in my opinion. And now they're playing against the Thunder team that God, I feel like they're never gonna lose. It's kind of sad. It's kind of embarrassing, I, I guess, to them to say their one loss came uh at the hands of the Portland Trail Blazers. You wish it would come from literally anyone else uh than the Trail Blazers, maybe against the Timberwolves, you'd be a little bit more excited, but, um, this is a really interesting match, right? Because Neither team is remotely close to full strength. It's a 14.5, 15 point spread, and it's an NBA cup game. I think the cup probably is going to mean a little bit more to the Thunder, than it will to the Suns. So if Devin Booker is not 100%, and they get down early, I think it could be one of those games where they pull the plug early. All right. Uh, I, I do wanna take a look before we do props at the total wins and the odds for the season for Oklahoma City. So, uh, 75 wins is 6 to 1. That's the projection right now as it stands. Most feel that they won't hit that, that, that number, Brad will somewhere between 71 to 73. But there are other numbers that I've seen that have them winning more than that. I mean, is there value in jumping on a 6 to 1 at 75 wins, 73 is the all-time record. I just feel like 75 is set there as the perfect number because it's one past the record. And I feel like if they are that dominant late in the season, you're gonna see guys like SGA, you're gonna see guys like Jay Will who was banged up and missed time part of the season, really take some time off and kind of get healthy throughout the end of the season and really make a push for another NBA Finals. I don't know. I don't think I'm gonna bet that there was a, there was a 70% price out earlier in the season that was really nice, but now we're 24 games in and we can't, we can't bet it, I don't think. Yeah, do you, do you like any props in this one tonight on any of the players? Yeah, I do. I like Aaron Wiggins over 8, was it now? I think it's 9.5 points. 8.5 is totally fine if you find it, that's what I was on. 9.5 is fine. He's coming back from injury, well, came back an injury uh about 5 games ago, and his utilization was kind of low, but if you see that number, it's starting to pick up a little bit more. With this game possibly being a blowout, I think him coming off the bench is a really vital piece, also gone over and in 8 of his last 10 games. All right, Brad, we'll take a quick break. Brad's gonna stick around with us. We'll discuss all of the NBA rumors out there, including Giannis. Also, one quick note for the NFL before we get back to Brad Thomas. Jaden Daniels, uh, who is officially out this week for the Commanders. The commanders are saying that he could return at some point either next week or maybe for the end of the season. So we'll see, but Daniel's been banged up all year long in Washington. Clearly out of it. OK, let's get back to Brad Thomas here. One more, uh, game in the NBA and then we're gonna go over some, uh, news and notes, uh, from the league as well. Let's take care of this one. We've got the Lakers taking on the Spurs. Spurs playing really good basketball even without Giannis. They're getting 7 tonight, or I'm sorry, without Wemby. 239.5. I get those guys confused sometimes. To total is 239.5. Uh, what do you think? Do you feel like the Lakers can win this one and cover easily? Do you have any leans here? This line's crazy because if, if memory serves me correct, it's already moved like 2 points since the open, uh, back on Monday. Like, and what's weird is there's no additional news, right? We knew Wimby was gonna be out. I know there was a slight chance, and I don't think the books were overly protective of the price. I think the Lakers win this game though, but the Spurs have been good without Wimby, 8 and 3, without Wimby this season. But if you look at the teams they've played outside of Orlando and Denver, not really like these big marketable. NBA Finals contender, contending teams, um, but the Lakers, I just feel like offensively have too much firepower for a team that's really gonna lean on uh Castle and and De'Aaron Fox as their primary scorers, and it's in LA. Yeah, I think the Lakers win. I just don't know about taking the 7, probably could be like a 5, maybe 6 point victory. OK, fair enough. Uh, any, uh, interesting props that you like tonight in the game too? Let's take a look at these. Uh, Luca always has some of the highest scoring props in the NBA. 32.5 assists, 8.5. LeBron is 18.5, 6.5 assists, and then Austin Reeves has had a fantastic season, as you know, Brad, 23.5 points, 2.5 3s. So those are 6 options, and he leans on those. I actually I'm gonna pass on all of those guys, cause I think they're all a little bit either too high or they just have too much volume to fade, right? Like you can't fade Luca, and you certainly can't fade Austin Reeves, even though his utilization is gonna be down with LeBron back and healthy. But he's just been playing such good basketball. I actually would lean closer to Cassel over uh 13 or 14.5 points depending on where, what number you get. He's averaging, uh, since Wimby's been out or while in, in Wimby's been injured, uh, in his career, Cassel's been averaging 16.5 points, and the Lakers are just really terrible at defending guards, 26th in the NBA in points. Allowed to guards, both shooting and point guards. And I was initially gonna say De'Aaron Fox, cause it's a good by low spot for De'Aaron Fox. But if you look at De'Aaron Fox in big game situations, sometimes he takes him over, but more times than not, he is the facilitator, he is the creator, which leaves Castle more than available to hit his 14 or 15 points, whatever number you need. So the NBA Cup, Brad, are you following this? I guess you are, right? Like I am not at all. OKC's minus 130 to win this NBA Cup. I mean, the courts look really cool. I'll give it that. But beyond that, I just don't have a ton of interest. Uh, Knicks plus 360, Magic, hey, you're magic. They're 5 to 1. Lakers 7 to 1, Spurs 16 to 1. I know the Spurs are not winning this NBA Cup. Uh, so is this the amount of, are there 6 teams left? Is that, is that where we're at here? I, yeah, I'm not even far. I don't know if there's a ton of value on anybody except OKC. Uh, I, I thought it's always fun because you want to see teams that have a lot of young role players because this money means so much to them, and the superstars play extra hard to get that extra money for those guys. Thunder, even though they're crazy talented, have a lot of really young role players where this money is going to mean a lot to them and dominance. I would put a little bit on the Orlando Magic, but we have to just kind of monitor Franz Wagner, right? If, if Franz is a really just a two-week injury, they'll have him back by the semifinals. Maybe the finals, which is massive for them. It'll be the first time, I think, what this season, maybe they've played 2 or 3 games with the core 3 available. And what's really good about this, uh, the injuries that the Magic have had and make them more valuable at 5 to 1, is that players like Anthony Black have had to step up and he's been having a tremendous season so far. So the Bucks have said that they are not gonna trade Giannis, Brad, and Doc Rivers has said that Giannis has not asked for a trade. So I wonder where you stand with this stuff, especially with Doc Rivers, who's been around for so long, saying last week that he hasn't asked to leave. Do you think He was playing semantics, where it wasn't him, maybe his agent or something like that. I, I mean, it, usually with this stuff where there's smoke, there's fire, but it's rare to see a team bark back like this if they're going to actually trade a player. It appears the Bucks are not. I think Giannis like in his heart wants to stay, but I also think his mind is telling him that this team, their championship window is gone. And even if you see the comments that he made about these players need to take basketball a little bit more seriously, like, that is some really high level stuff from a player who's desperate to stay. He's basically saying that, I need you guys to focus, so we can get better, we can improve, because I don't want to leave. I think they have to trade him though. This is the best value you're going to get out of Giannis, and you have to see it like we see it, us fans and us analysts, that if you're the Milwaukee Bucks, your championship windows closed. Go cash in because you can get a king's ransom for him. Let's take a look real quick uh at some Calhi odds, and we're gonna look at these, these prediction odds right now on, uh, Anthony Davis. There's some talk that he could go to at the trade deadline. Brad, uh, to stay with Davis, 52%. Pistons is a 20% on probability odds. Hawks, 18%. Raptors, 16%, Bulls, 5%. It does make some sense that they would move AD. I just think what these prediction odds show on Calshi is that we really don't know where he's gonna end up when you have three teams with approximately 20%. It feels like it could be one of those three though. I, I love, I love the Detroit opportunity there. They're playing good basketball. It seems like he could really be helped there. You know, I think that the 52% just kind of tells you, it's not so much about Dallas. It's about the other teams who could find their asking price worth it or not, right? He's 33 years old, set to make 58.5 million next year. So, not only do you need to find a team that can absorb his contract or trade matching contracts or expiring contracts, you also need to find a team that doesn't, that has an allotment of picks and doesn't mind getting rid of. One, maybe two. and that's why I thought the Pistons kind of made sense, right? They can get rid of Tobias Harris' contract. Uh, it doesn't match up fully, but, um, it's still a little comparable, and they can maybe give up one first, but it's also disruptive, right? Because he's going to change the dynamics of your team and might not be available for the amount of games that you expect them to be. Brad, great stuff as always. Have a great rest of your week. Really appreciate it. We'll catch up next week here on Newswire. Thanks again. Thanks for having me. Have a great week.

NBA Wednesday Preview: Best Bets & Predictions w/ Brad Thomas

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