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NCAAB · 6 months ago

How Big of an Upset Could We See in the Round of 64?

Joe Raineri

Joe Raineri

Host · Writer

How Big of an Upset Could We See in the Round of 64?

Segment Spotlight: Quick Hits From The Early Line Prediction Market Edge

Predicting the Top Contenders in the Early Rounds

Exploring the chances of higher numerical seeds progressing to the Round of 32, we delve into the performance and odds of the underdogs. Specifically, the 11th seed is currently trading at an 18% chance of advancing. However, more eyes are on the 12th seed, which is traditionally popular due to its matchups and is now trading at a 25% likelihood of moving to the next round. Even more intriguing is the 13th seed, which impressively stands at a 26% chance of advancing.

Despite the typically safe bets placed on the top seeds, there's a notable conversation around the potential for seeds ranked 3rd or 4th in their quadrants. Beyond these, especially from the fifth seed downward, the tournament could see significant upsets and surprises. The predominant sentiment suggests that the most substantial upsets could feasibly come from a 12th or 13th seed, marking them as notable candidates for those looking to engage with the prediction markets. This engagement strategy, which involves betting on both the 12th and 13th seeds, might not only be viable but potentially profitable under current trading percentages.