Name: Heisman Trophy Kalshi Odds: Analyzing Contenders and Predictions
Uploaded: 2025-11-15T12:29:43-05:00
Duration: 5 min 40 s
Description: Donnie Rightside and Joe Lisi break down the Heisman Trophy predictions for Julian Sayin & Fernando Mendoza. Assess shifting odds and potential winners.

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Donnie Rightside and Joe Lisi break down the Heisman Trophy predictions for Julian Sayin &amp; Fernando Mendoza. Assess shifting odds and potential winners.

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Heisman Trophy Kalshi Odds: Analyzing Contenders and Predictions

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Now let's take a look at the Heisman Trophy winner, Joe, which again, each and every week these numbers are changing on a weekly basis. So if you're buying in cheaply here, you can sell high, but also, Joe, you get a bad number, you can buy out of that number at a nice little loss at this point. Julian's saying, the leader in the clubhouse, a 40% chance. So, what does that mean 40%? You lay $100 down on Julian Saint to win the. Heisman Trophy, Joe, that pays back $257. So theoretically, if it does win, that's 157% of that bet you are getting back here. He's the leader. Do you trust him as the leader? Should he win the Heisman? Well, I mean, top team in the country, playing well, dominating the 33.5 point favorites over UCLA. I just don't know, and it's potentially because they're not gonna be pushed until the Michigan game, right? Is, is that gonna be enough to get Julian saying the Heisman Trophy when he technically isn't a household name right now? You think about, you know, Diego Pavi and you think about Fernando Mendoza, and you think obviously Ty Simpson, right? And, and so you don't think of Julian saying coming out now, if all of a sudden he puts up dynamic numbers, yeah, he has an option. Opportunity, but I would still sell that, that price right here right now. He's got a 40% number right now. It seems high and it seems good because Ohio State is basically living up to expectations, but I still think an SEC player potentially could step up and win it at this point. Let's take a look also, Joe. Number 2 in line here is Fernando Mendoza, 34% chance, which means if you plunk down $100 here at Cascio and that, that pays back $295. Certainly had that comeback victory last week against Penn State down again. One of his better wide receivers, Joe, what do you think are the odds here for Mendoza, because he's probably gonna have to run the table and beat Ohio State in that Big 10 championship game to win this. And it feels like, Joe, who wins the Big 10 is gonna be the Heisman Trophy winner? Is that what it is? Uh, I can't, I still can't buy into now. He, he, he has that Heisman moment because he stepped up in big spots, right? Oregon, he stepped up against Iowa. He stepped up against Penn State and no, and they were left for dead and buried last week in Happy Valley. He got to Gus Johnson. Yeah, right? I mean, I mean, that's it. Now people were upset about that. I mean, come on, we have people who were upset. Guys in the heat of the moment, even though I listened to most of the games with no sound, that was a phenomenal call. By the way, let me ask you this question, Joe, because we always talk about look handicappers and getting the best of the numbers that you have. It's always important to have certain books in your pocket like, OK, let me go shopping around. But look at this difference, Joe, that we're finding right now. I'm just gonna use Fandor as an instance. Fernando Mendoza to win the Heisman Trophy right now, Fadel, Joe. Plus $110 price, so a $100 wager is going to pay back $110 which means $210 as the total on the back end. Now we go back to Calci here. You place the number on Fernando Mendoza $100 Joe, that pays back $295 at this point. So a big difference in just a couple books between the predictive markets. Yeah, the predictive markets give you an opportunity to, to potentially multiple, you know, utilize multiple players and really dive in at a price that maybe the books aren't seeing or suggesting as. Clear cut. It gives you the ability to buy low, sell high, and that's what you want to do. But again, it also gives you other options and, uh, a way to look at the market, maybe potentially that you're not looking at when you just open up a DraftKings or a fan due for that matter, right? You have to incorporate and integrate both, uh, into your, your breakdown and an analytical approach. So, I suggest, and no matter what book you use, you have to go in with a, a, a, a methodology about what player you. believe in because the predictive markets really expose you a little bit more, especially on the downside when you are wrong, right? That's the biggest thing. It's like you lay out in the book, you know what you're laying out with the predictive market, you, a guy's got a 40% shot and you sell it, all of a sudden you're exposing yourself to the upside. Now also understand this, Joe, as we sort of take down the list because it feels to me that we are setting up saying versus Mendoza in the Heisman Trophy race just to come down that one final game. Give me another player outside of those two who are the prohibitive favorites right now. Reid, Simpson, Pavia, Smith, Love, like, who has a realistic chance to win it because again, if we're just looking in the right, it's, it's listed here, they're the quarterbacks like Marcel Reed, if he runs the table, wins the SEC. He's right up there in case San or Mendoza slips. Ty Simpson, same thing in the SEC, Joe. He runs the table, can win that. He's gonna take steps above Marcel Reed and maybe catch Mendoza or San. Anybody else outside of saying and Mendoza that you look forward to, say, you know what, I'd like to invest in that. Well, I mean, it would be Simpson for me. I mean, you know, because of Alabama. Because you know when they play Oklahoma, he has the rivalry game against Auburn. You have a body of work, only one interception, and a player that's stepping up and playing his best at the end of the regular season. But again, Marcel Reed, here's the thing. Who's more of a household name? Is it Marcel Reed or Ty Simpson? Ty Simpson has played in more marquee prime time type of games and has outperformed the competition, right? He went on the road against Missouri when Missouri was undefeated, won that game, had 3 touchdowns. And 200 yards, he goes toe to toe with Pavia, gets him in the end, where Pavia didn't have the best game in that matchup. So the more marquee matchups that Ty Simpson steps up on on the national stage, he's gonna garner that recognition. I will just say this, you know, Jeremiah Smith was in the mention for a lot of these awards, the Heisman Trophy. You know, if Saan's throwing all to Jeremiah Smith in the second half of the season, does that hurt his chances at the Heisman? We'll see.

Heisman Trophy Kalshi Odds: Analyzing Contenders and Predictions

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