Josh Hoover Passing Prop and Indiana-Michigan Best Bets

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Josh Hoover’s Passing Prop, an Indiana-Michigan Under and National Title Odds

Josh Hoover over 207.5 passing yards stands out as a favorite prop on the slate. Hoover has thrown for at least 250 yards in three straight games. He reached that mark against Western Kentucky and North Texas, while throwing only 11 times against Howard. He finished with 201 yards against Northwestern, narrowly missing this number, but has still gone over it in five of seven games.

Michigan’s defense allowed Rocco Beck to throw for 267 yards and benched Hank Brown to throw for 227. Hoover and the Indiana passing attack are better than the offenses Michigan has faced. Marsh and Becker could be the best wide receiver duo in football, with the debate essentially coming down to Marsh and Becker or Smith plus a warm body.

A potential blowout should not necessarily discourage the Hoover prop. The last time Signetti lost during the regular season was against Ohio State in 2024. Indiana then beat Purdue 66-0 in the regular-season finale, with Curtis Rourke throwing for 349 yards on 31 attempts. He played the full first three quarters and continued throwing throughout the third despite the game already being decided. Hoover should be able to reach 250 yards.

The game under is also appealing because it is difficult to know how many points Indiana will score. A blowout is possible, but Indiana would likely need to push the total over largely on its own. Outside of the Rutgers game, the offense has not consistently shown that kind of production this year.

Michigan’s strength is its defense, while its offense ranks 125th in yards per game and 105th in points per game. The quarterback may not matter because the larger problem appears to be on the sideline. Indiana could reach 27 points, but Michigan may struggle to score more than 10. A 9-0 halftime score would not be surprising.

Indiana’s national championship price is also surprising. Indiana is 8 to 1 to win the title, compared with Ohio State at 5 to 1. Their recent meeting appeared even, and Indiana arguably should have won at home. The teams now have the same record, but one has a healthy quarterback and the other does not. The difference between their championship prices remains difficult to understand.