Chiefs Divisional Playoffs Top 5 Player Props | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

Xavier Worthy OVER 3.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

We've already targeted Xavier Worthy's reception prop. Now, we will target his rushing one. The Chiefs are famous for these gadget-type plays in the postseason, and there's no doubt in my mind that they'll want to utilize Worthy's electric speed. Worthy has rushed for four or more yards in each of his last four games. Worthy had three carries against the Texans for ten yards when these teams last collided. 

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Isiah Pacheco OVER 41.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Although the Kansas City rushing attack has been inconsistent this season, the bye week and extra rest should work in Isiah Pacheco's favor. When the Chiefs hit their stride offensively, Pacheco is a key contributor. This number feels a bit too low for me, even with Kansas City's tendency to utilize a backfield-by-committee approach. Pacheco exceeding the number in a game where the Chiefs should operate with a run-heavy approach feels right. 

Spread: Chiefs -8.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -490 | Texans +380 | Total: 41.5

Xavier Worthy OVER 4.5 Receptions (-148)

There's a lot of juice on this number for a prop, but for good reason. That's not ultimately going to be what scares us away from this prop. Xavier Worthy has been a key contributor for the Chiefs down the stretch, and there's a lot to like about that continuing in this Divisional Round clash. Worthy has hauled in at least five receptions in each of his last five games, including a seven-catch, eleven-target performance against these same Texans.

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Patrick Mahomes OVER 23.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

You might think we will target Patrick Mahomes to have a big day through the air, but that's not what we're looking toward in this matchup. The Texans have a strong pass rush, forcing Mahomes to use his legs, which he's continued to prove he's comfortable doing. Mahomes took off for five rushes the last time these teams played on December 21 for 33 yards, which highlights some value in this prop. Mahomes has an elite football IQ and won't be afraid to take off when the pressure is there from Houston's defensive front.

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Xavier Worthy OVER 3.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

We've already targeted Xavier Worthy's reception prop. Now, we will target his rushing one. The Chiefs are famous for these gadget-type plays in the postseason, and there's no doubt in my mind that they'll want to utilize Worthy's electric speed. Worthy has rushed for four or more yards in each of his last four games. Worthy had three carries against the Texans for ten yards when these teams last collided. 

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