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NFL · 7 months ago

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Predictions | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

Grant White

Host · Writer

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Predictions | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

It all comes down to this. After 18 weeks of regular season action and three grueling playoff rounds, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are the only remaining teams. In one corner, the Chiefs want to become the first three-peat Super Bowl Champion. Standing in the other is a feisty Eagles squad playing in their third championship game over the last eight years. While the Chiefs have earned a reputation for being a dynamic offensive team over the years, their defense has been a big part of their pilgrimage to New Orleans. Defense first is a brand of football the Eagles can get behind. Philadelphia built one of the most imposing defensive units in recent memory, but it still has offensive playmakers who can put points on the board. Wherever your allegiances lie, Super Bowl LIX promises to be a clash for the ages. 

Where to Watch Chiefs vs Eagles

  • Location: Caesar’s Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
  • Time: Sunday, February 9, 4:30 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: FOX
  • Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -120 | Total: 48.5

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Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Best Bet ATS: Eagles +1.5

Super Bowl LIX will be the Philadelphia Eagles’ 21st game of the season. Their presence in the big game speaks for itself, but it’s time to appreciate the Eagles’ proficiency at covering the spread. Philadelphia is 13-7 against the spread, including 4-1 since Week 17. Moreover, they are 3-0 as underdogs, cashing on the moneyline on all three occasions. While the Chiefs are back in the Super Bowl, they’ve been much less effective at covering the number. Kansas City is 9-10 against the spread this season, looking entirely out of sorts in the second half. The two-time defending Champs have just four ATS wins since Week 8, accumulating a disastrous 4-9 record. The ATS trends certainly lend themselves to the Eagles, but there’s more supporting their claim to pulling off the upset. As a result, backing Philadelphia as +1.5 underdogs is our preferred play.

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Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Best Bet Total: Under 48.5

Both teams deserve credit for their offensive prowess this season. Still, both teams have prioritized defense in the playoffs, leaving an edge in betting the under. Philadelphia’s defensive dominance has been the hallmark of its success since early in the season. The Eagles ended the campaign with the top-ranked defense, a standard they’ve maintained over their recent schedule. In three playoff matchups, the NFC Champs have held their opponents to an average of 351.3 yards and 19.0 points per game. Turnovers have been an unequivocal strength, with the Eagles netting 10 takeaways across the three-game sample. KC is playing with the same ferocity, albeit with a leakier rush defense. In just two playoff games, opponents average 20.0 points per game on 355.0 yards. The more concerning metric is Kansas City’s limited offensive production. The Chiefs’ 55 points are propped up by just 580 yards of total offense, implying they are regression candidates against the Eagles. Likewise, Philadelphia won’t be able to replicate the 55 points they totaled in the NFC Championship Game. Consequently, this game should fall below 48.5 points.

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Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Best Player Props

Hollywood Brown to Have the Longest Air Yards From a Single Reception +710

The Super Bowl brings a long list of props not typically available. Within that category, we’ve identified one of our favorite plays for Super Bowl LIX. At +710, we’re backing Hollywood Brown to have the longest air yards from a single reception. This is a multi-factorial wager. First, the Chiefs generally throw the ball more frequently than the Eagles. Second, Patrick Mahomes has a superior throwing arm than Jalen Hurts. Mahomes has completed gains for at least 31 yards in four straight, surpassing 49 yards in two of his past three. Finally, Brown has the frame to stretch the field and should have more room to operate with any safety help dedicated to Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce. Brown has burner potential. He should have no problems using his elusiveness to get open downfield. This player prop isn’t worth passing up. We predict that Hollywood Brown will end the day with the longest air yards from a single reception, cashing as a substantive +710 underdog.