Predicting the MVP Race: Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens vs. Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills

The 2024 NFL MVP Race: Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills vs. Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens

As the NFL season nears its conclusion, the MVP race is shaping up as a two-horse battle between Allen of the Bills and Jackson of the Ravens. Both quarterbacks have delivered MVP-caliber performances in 2024, with dominant stats and highlight-reel moments that make this one of the most tightly contested races in years. But who will ultimately take home the league’s top individual honor? Let’s dive into the case for each, explore the narratives, and break down the betting angles.

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The Case for Josh Allen: A Season of Resilience

Allen has been a force for the Bills this season, leading his team to a dominant record and putting up monster numbers. His arm strength, ability to extend plays, and knack for delivering in crunch time have been on full display in 2024.

Allen’s numbers are jaw-dropping:

• Passing yards: 4,500+
• Passing TDs: 40+
• Rushing yards: 500+
• Total TDs: 45+

Buffalo has consistently leaned on Allen to carry their offense, and he’s delivered, even against top-tier defenses. What makes Allen’s case even stronger is his value to the Bills. Without him, Buffalo’s offense would fall apart, and that narrative resonates with MVP voters.

Betting Angle: Allen is currently listed at +120 to win MVP. If you believe in his ability to close out the season with a flourish and lead Buffalo to the AFC’s top seed, this is the time to bet.

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The Case for Lamar Jackson: A Revival in Baltimore

Jackson has reminded everyone why he was the league MVP in 2019. Under a revamped offense that allows him to thrive as both a passer and a runner, Jackson has elevated the Ravens to one of the best teams in the NFL.

Jackson’s dual-threat dominance:

• Passing yards: 4,000+
• Passing TDs: 35+
• Rushing yards: 1,200+
• Total TDs: 45+

Beyond the stats, Jackson’s leadership and ability to make clutch plays in critical moments have defined Baltimore’s success this season. He’s had signature wins against top AFC rivals, and his efficiency as a passer has reached new heights.

Betting Angle: Jackson is listed at +150 to win MVP. If you think voters will lean toward his narrative of resurgence and his unparalleled versatility, this is a solid bet.

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The Tie Narrative: Could It Really Happen?

This MVP race is so close that some are speculating about the possibility of a tie, a rare but not unprecedented outcome. Both quarterbacks have compelling cases, and voter fatigue toward Allen or a preference for Jackson’s dynamic playstyle could split the vote evenly.

Betting Angle: Some sportsbooks offer odds on a tie for MVP, typically at longshot odds like +2500. It’s a risky bet, but this year feels like one where it’s not entirely out of the question.

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Offensive Player of the Year: A Consolation Prize?

In many cases, the MVP runner-up is awarded Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY), and this season could follow that trend. If Allen wins MVP, Jackson is a near-lock for OPOY, and vice versa. Other candidates, like Saquon Barkley of the Philadelphia Eagles or Jamar Chase of the Cincinnati Bengals, have had great seasons but likely fall short compared to the quarterback dominance.

Betting Angle: If you’re betting OPOY futures, targeting the MVP runner-up could be a smart play. Jackson is currently favored at +100 for OPOY, while Barkley is a distant +400.

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Prediction: Who Takes the MVP Crown?

Ultimately, this race will come down to narrative and finishing strong. Allen has been the league’s most consistent force, but Jackson’s resurgence and dual-threat dominance might sway voters looking for a fresh story.

Final MVP Pick: Jackson.

Jackson’s ability to take over games and lead the Ravens back to prominence makes him the slight favorite in one of the closest MVP races in recent memory.

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Betting Recap

1. MVP Winner: Jackson +150.
2. OPOY Winner: Allen +120 (if Jackson wins MVP).
3. Tie for MVP: Longshot at +2500, but worth a small sprinkle given the even split in narratives.
4. Dark Horse MVP: Barkley +1500, if both quarterbacks falter down the stretch and Barkley finishes with a record-breaking season.

The 2024 NFL MVP race is as thrilling as the games themselves, and with every snap, the odds shift. Whether you’re backing Allen, Jackson, or hoping for a surprise, this year’s race is a perfect example of why the NFL is the ultimate drama.

You can read all about what’s going on in the National Football League at SportsGrid.com.