Colts vs. Vikings Betting Preview: Picks and Predictions

Segment Spotlight: Quick Hits From NFL Pro Football Today

Colts-Vikings Debate Centers on Coaching Fallout, Minnesota’s Defense and a 6.5-Point Spread

After the Titans knocked off the Colts and Indianapolis fired its general manager, the focus turns to whether the change will spark a response. Teams often rally after someone is fired, and the records against the spread in these situations have been impressive in both college football and the NFL.

With the Colts getting 6.5 points, Indianapolis is the only side worth considering from that perspective. However, Minnesota is coming off a bye and has had extra time to prepare. That makes it difficult to back the Colts confidently, even though Minnesota’s offense has struggled despite its strong defense.

The expectation is that Indianapolis will show up and keep the game competitive rather than suffer a lopsided defeat. Still, the extra preparation time for the Vikings makes this a game to avoid.

There is also reason to question whether firing a general manager creates the same response as firing a head coach. A coaching change can cause a locker room to rally and circle the wagons, but a general manager’s dismissal may not have the same effect.

The case for Minnesota begins with an Indianapolis defense that has struggled since Week 1. The Colts’ offense is also missing Alec Pierce and Warren, leaving Daniel Jones with limited weapons against an unprecedented 77.8% blitz rate.

That matchup supports the belief that Minnesota can cover the 6.5-point spread. Jordan Mason over 49.5 rushing yards and Justin Jefferson to score a touchdown at plus 165 are also appealing. The Vikings’ defense could even produce a score that makes the difference.

At the same time, teams favored by six or 6.5 points have struggled to cover this season, while underdogs at those numbers have covered at a high rate. That keeps Indianapolis as a lean for one perspective, while the other expects Minnesota’s defense to help the Vikings cover and potentially end the Colts’ season.