NHL Monday Predictions | Wild, Sabres and Maple Leafs Best Bets

NHL Best Bets for Monday Night

Looking for the best NHL bets for Monday night? We’ve got you covered with three high-value plays based on advanced metrics and key trends. The Buffalo Sabres look to take advantage of a struggling Boston Bruins squad, while the Toronto Maple Leafs and Calgary Flames are primed for a low-scoring battle. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Wild are due for a breakout performance against the Los Angeles Kings. Let’s dive into why these picks make sense!

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Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins

Monday’s matchup between the Buffalo Sabres and Boston Bruins highlights a team on the rise against one heading in the wrong direction. Oddsmakers have made this game a virtual toss-up, yet even that line may be too generous toward the struggling Bruins.

Boston was utterly outclassed in their last outing, posting one of the lowest expected goals-for ratings of the season at 14.9%. Their defensive breakdowns were alarming, surrendering 34 scoring chances and 18 high-danger opportunities while managing just 11 and 4 of their own. Across their past two games, they’ve combined for only 25 scoring chances and 10 high-danger chances—numbers more suited for a single contest rather than two.

Meanwhile, Buffalo’s underlying numbers indicate they are due for positive regression. Over their last seven games, the Sabres have an expected goals-for percentage of 50.3%, yet their actual goals-for sits at 38.2%. This disparity suggests they are underperforming offensively and should see improved results soon.

With the Sabres playing better hockey and the Bruins struggling, Buffalo offers excellent on the moneyline at -110.

Best Bet: Sabres Moneyline (-110)

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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs

The Toronto Maple Leafs have seen a shift in style under head coach Craig Berube, and the early returns aren’t promising. Once an offensive juggernaut, Toronto has become the NHL’s least effective team in terms of expected goals-for-percentage since February 25.

Despite this offensive decline, the Leafs have overperformed in terms of actual goal output. At five-on-five, Toronto has scored 18 goals over its last stretch despite its expected mark of just 14.2 goals. This suggests a correction is coming, and their offensive inefficiency will soon match their expected production.

On the other side, the Calgary Flames offense has been nearly nonexistent. The Flames have generated more than nine high-danger chances in only one of their last 14 games, leading to just nine five-on-five goals over their past eight contests. Given their conservative playing style, this game profiles as a low-event matchup.

The combination of Toronto’s regression and Calgary’s lack of offensive spark makes Under 5.5 goals (+100) the best bet for this matchup.

Best Bet: Under 5.5 Goals (+100)

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Los Angeles Kings vs Minnesota Wild

The Minnesota Wild are still in a solid playoff position, but they have an opportunity to push for a top-three spot in the Central Division. Monday night’s game against the Los Angeles Kings presents a perfect chance to gain ground.

Minnesota’s underlying metrics indicate they’ve been unlucky in recent games. Over their last two weeks, the Wild have only five five-on-five goals, operating seven goals below their expected output. This has led to a 17-point discrepancy between their expected and actual goals-for ratings—a sign that their offense is due for improvement.

Meanwhile, the Kings’ offense has struggled to generate consistent pressure. Over their last three games, Los Angeles has managed just 20 high-danger chances, converting them into a mere three five-on-five goals and only eight across all strengths. That lack of finishing ability could be exposed against Minnesota’s defensive structure.

While the under is a tempting bet here, the Wild at +126 on the moneyline is too valuable to ignore as they look to capitalize on Los Angeles’ scoring issues.

Best Bet: Wild Moneyline (+126)

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NHL Monday Best Bets Recap

This slate presents multiple opportunities for value bets. The Sabres’ improved play makes them a strong pick against a floundering Bruins squad. The Leafs and Flames’ offensive struggles set up a low-scoring affair in Toronto. Finally, the Wild are primed for a breakout against an inconsistent Kings offense. Backing these three plays should provide strong returns on Monday night’s NHL action.

✅ Sabres Moneyline (-110)

✅ Flames-Leafs Under 5.5 Goals (+100)

✅ Wild Moneyline (+126)

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Lock in these bets, and let’s cash in on another profitable NHL night! 🏒💰

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