Arizona’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability

Q: Has Arizona won the NCAA Championship?

Yes. Arizona won the national title in 1997 under legendary coach Lute Olson, famously defeating three #1 seeds on its way to the trophy.

Q: What is Arizona’s basketball style known for?

Under Tommy Lloyd, Arizona plays a fast-paced, high-possession style. They are second in the Big 12 in assists per game and bank on transition scoring, emphasizing a "pass-first" mentality that utilizes a "Twin Towers" frontcourt and elite rim-running.

Live prediction market forecasts for Arizona based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.

📊 Arizona Market Brief

Updated: Jan 27, 2026

The betting market for the Arizona Wildcats is currently defined by surging momentum and high-conviction backing. Unlike the neutral sentiment seen elsewhere, Arizona’s unblemished 20-0 start (including a perfect Big 12 record to open 2026) has forced oddsmakers to shorten their prices aggressively. Among the sport’s leaders according to prediction markets, the Wildcats have ascended the AP and Coaches polls and are now a primary "chalk" play for the National Championship. The market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, reflecting a team that has already passed significant road tests and "blue-blood" gauntlets.

Arizona’s health remains excellent, with head coach Tommy Lloyd utilizing his deepest rotation to date. The frontcourt tandem of Motiejus Krivas and Tobe Awaka has mitigated workload concerns by effectively splitting minutes, while five-star freshmen like Koa Peat and Brayden Burries have integrated seamlessly. In the analytical landscape, Arizona is a "metric darling," consistently ranking in the top five in NET and the top six in KenPom efficiency

$858.4K Volume

Market

Arizona18%

Updated 7:18 AM

Key Stats

18%

Current Probability

+5%

30-Day Change

Current Rank

What's Driving Arizona's Odds

Elite Two-Way Balance: Arizona ranks in the top six nationally for both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, the statistical "sweet spot" for national champions.
Resume Dominance: The Wildcats have secured high-leverage wins over UConn, Auburn, Florida, and Alabama. This "anywhere, anytime" resume has removed the "soft schedule" skepticism often associated with early-season unbeatens.
The "Lloyd Effect" & Recruitment: Arizona’s success with international talent (Krivas, Ivan Kharchenkov) paired with the highest-rated recruiting class in school history (Peat, Burries, Dwayne Aristode) has created a high-ceiling roster that provides bettors with both veteran stability and NBA-level talent.

Arizona vs Other Top Contenders

ArizonaCurrent18%

Michigan17%

Duke9%

Houston9%

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Arizona Wildcats March Madness FAQs

Yes. Arizona won the national title in 1997 under legendary coach Lute Olson, famously defeating three #1 seeds on its way to the trophy.

Under Tommy Lloyd, Arizona plays a fast-paced, high-possession style. They are second in the Big 12 in assists per game and bank on transition scoring, emphasizing a "pass-first" mentality that utilizes a "Twin Towers" frontcourt and elite rim-running.

Current Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr, former All-Stars Gilbert Arenas and Richard Jefferson, and current NBA standouts Bennedict Mathurin, Lauri Markkanen, and Aaron Gordon.